1. Heating Oil By: Artem Khmelyov

2. Heating oil, or oil heat, is a low viscosity, flammable liquid petroleum product used as a fuel for furnaces or boilers in buildings The chemical formula for heating oil is HHO Heating oil is commonly delivered by tank truck to residential, commercial and municipal buildings It is normally stored in above-ground storage tanks which are located in the basements, garages, or outside adjacent to the building. Although sometimes it is stored in underground storage tanks The above ground heating tanks are used for small installations because of the low cost factor Heating oil is less commonly used as an industrial fuel or for power generation Background…

3. Where heating oil is used... Modern fuel efficient heating appliances which include; furnaces boilers water heaters oil tanks air conditioning systems equipment protection plans air quality solutions * A major company that specializes in this product is Petro Canada

4. A Few Interesting Facts… Comfortable – It produces the hottest flame of any home heating fuels, this means that it heats your house faster using less fuel Economical - it contains 138,690 BTU's (British Thermal Unit, which is a unit of energy) per gallon while Natural Gas contains 99,000 BTU's per therm. On average it takes 1.4 therms to equal the heat content of 1 gallon of heating oil. Safe -compared to other heating sources heating oil is really safe, since it’s a liquid it can’t combine with air to form an explosive mixture which means there's no chance of explosions Clean – it’s a clear, rosy-red liquid that burns very clean. The Environmental Protection Agency says that modern oil burners are one of the cleanest combustion sources available. Due to the Oil Heat's high BTU content, it costs less per unit of heat produced.

5. My Question... How has the price of heating oil varied over the past 25 years? Start Point : 1986 End Point: 2011 Independent Variable: Temperature Dependent Variable: Heating Oil Cost

6. Hypothesis… As the years go by, the cost of heating oil will increase due to the increase in colder temperatures. The temperature over the winter months will decrease making the weather conditions colder, this means that more heating oil will be used to heat homes in order to keep people warmer.

7. Years (1986 - 2011)Temperature (°C)Price 1986-5.6111111110.397142857 1987-50.521666667 1988-4.6111111110.465833333 1989-4.3888888890.5575 1990-4.8888888890.688333333 1991-2.8333333330.614166667 1992-3.9444444440.573333333 1993-5.2222222220.526666667 1994-7.7222222220.494166667 1995-3.4444444440.495 1996-6.0555555560.631666667 1997-2.7777777780.563333333 1998-1.6666666670.393333333 1999-2.6111111110.488333333 2000-3.9444444440.8775 2001-5.1666666670.7125 2002-0.6111111110.680833333 2003-6.8333333330.8525 2004-6.1111111111.116666667 2005-4.9444444441.620833333 2006-2.9444444441.804166667 2007-3.5555555562.03 2008-3.6666666672.853333333 2009-5.2777777781.643333333 2010-4.4444444442.125 2011-5.7777777782.91

8. -1 (strong) -0.67 (moderate) -0.33 (weak) 0 (weak) 0.33 (moderate) 0.67 (strong) 1 R = 0.0556 Mean = -1.68112 Median = -0.10889 Linear Regression y= -0.0264x + 0.9086 Standard Deviation σ= 0.755441803 (U.S. dollar per gallon )

9. Single Variable Median - 0.65625Mean - 1.024505 (U.S. dollar per gallon )

10. More Graphs…

11. Sampling Techniques Sampling Bias no sampling bias was found due to the fact that the data that was used was yearly weather temperatures and yearly cost for heating oil No regular sampling technique because the information for the raw data of heat oil was obtained from a New York Harbor No. 2 Heating Oil Spot While the raw data for the weather was obtained from the daily weather, which was archived daily

12. Hidden Variables - Climate change which could alter temperature that can cause an increase or decrease in heating oil use, which will in turn increase or decrease the price of the heating oil - Financial state of the U.S. market, if the country is in a recession people could be forced to cut back on spending money for heating oil to heat their homes, and resort to other means of keeping warm with minimal house heating.. - Global warming changes could affect the collected data due to the hotter summers, and the colder winters.

13. Conclusion Restated Thesis - As the years go by, the cost of heating oil will increase due to the increase in colder temperatures. The temperature over the winter months will decrease making the weather conditions colder, this means that more heating oil will be used to heat homes in order to keep people warmer. In conclusion my hypothesis is incorrect The temperature doesn’t play a role in the price of heating oil over a 25 year span Although the price of heating oil has increased drastically in the few recent years, this sudden change could be caused by the inflation of the global market Another theory: the government holds no control over the oil companies, hence while the price of oil stays the same, the refined product prices such as heating oil are being inflated by the oil companies in order to make a profit

14. Work Cited… "Heating Oil Facts." Rossoe Energy Systems. N.p., n.d. Google. Web. 11 June 2011.. "Home Heating." Petro Canada. N.p., n.d. Google. Web. 11 June 2011.. "Heating Oil Monthly Price." Index Mundi. Google, n.d. Google. Web. 11 June 2011.. "Winter (Dec-Feb) Temperature New York." Climate At A Glance. N.p., June 2011. Web. 11 June 2011..