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Commercial (Non Government Sponsored) Health Plan Medical Cost and Premium Trends Pharmaceuticals15%14% 12% 11%1.8% Hospital Inpatient2510 9 72.3 Outpatient2515.

Published byBetty Marshall Modified over 9 years ago

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Presentation on theme: "Commercial (Non Government Sponsored) Health Plan Medical Cost and Premium Trends Pharmaceuticals15%14% 12% 11%1.8% Hospital Inpatient2510 9 72.3 Outpatient2515."— Presentation transcript:

1 Commercial (Non Government Sponsored) Health Plan Medical Cost and Premium Trends Pharmaceuticals15%14% 12% 11%1.8% Hospital Inpatient2510 9 72.3 Outpatient2515 15 113.8 Physician35 8 7 72.5 100% 11.2% 10.4%8.5% 10.4% Source: Alliance Capital Management L.P. estimates Premium Rate Increase 13-14% 13% 9.5% Contribution to % Cost Medical Cost Medical Cost Trend Increase Component % of Medical Costs 2002E 2003E 2005E 2003E

2 U.S. Pharmaceutical Cost Trends (All Payors) 1992-2005E Assumes No Medicare Drug Benefit Source: IMS Health and Alliance Capital Management L.P. estimates

3 U.S. Pharmaceutical Market $ Sales Growth Source: IMS Health

4 U.S. Pharmaceutical Market Drug Price Inflation Year-to-year % change Source: IMS Health

5 U.S. Pharmaceutical Market Prescription Growth Year-to-year change Source: IMS Health

6 GENERICS ARE GAINING TRACTION % Dollars% Total Prescriptions Dispensed

7 Worldwide Revenue for Products Off-Patent Years 2002-2006 Source: Merrill Lynch US PHARMACEUTICAL MARKET Patent Expiration Exposure

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