3. Two parts 1.Trends survey 2.What you can do with trends

4.  Monthly environmental scan report  Trends identified, tested, projected

6. STEEP  Social  Technological  Environmental  Economic  Political

8.  digital video  cloud wars  augmented reality  automation and artificial intelligence

9. social media triumphing

11.  crowdfunding growing  copyright battles continue  durability of Moore’s Law  office versus Web office

14. Design for mobile *first *

15. https://www.flickr.com/photos/collegeofsanmateolibrary/15373589050/

17. Nicholas Carr, linked http://bryanalexander.org/2013/08/15/have-ebooks-plateaued/http://bryanalexander.org/2013/08/15/have-ebooks-plateaued/

18.  New forms of creativity  Open source  The limits of the Web  Onshoring hardware production  Shopping continues to migrate online

19.  New interfaces  Digital security threats  Device ecosystem keeps growing  Fragmented internet?  Internet of things.

20.  Rise of the stacks  Post- Snowden  Hardware + networks: multiple ecosystems  Digitization

21. Results of some trends:  PCs getting crowded out  Mouse and keyboard declining

22. Education systems  Reform movements (K-12, higher ed)  Rising student debt  Alternative certification pilots (competency, badges)

23.  International higher ed systems building up  More international students heading to the US  US campuses expanding overseas presence

25. 200818,632 200919,764 201020,275 201120,397 201219,930 201319,467

26. Adjunctification rising

28.  Inter-institutional collaboration (except SUNY)  Senior admin compensation  Intergenerational strife  Library budget massacre

29.  Campuses and sexual assault controversy.  Racial inequality in/and education.  Alternative degrees  Remedial classes  Challenges to internships  K-12 and higher education.  Campuses and sustainability.

30. Demographics:  Increasing nonwhite population  Youth population shrinkage  Ballooning senior population…

33. US labor market changes › 1 job/career->many gigs › declining participation › Automation

34. https://www.helloalfred.com/ manufacturing->service

36. Top and bottom vs middle

38.  blended/flipped classroom  rise of the net.generation  distance learning grows  gaming in education

39.  educational entrepreneurship  big data and data analytics develop  campus digital security threats growing

40.  Uses of social media  Uses of Web video  Changes in the LMS world  Learning analytics  Changes in library role  Digital humanities (in classroom)  The rise of the Maker movement

42.  Credit for MOOCs  STEM vs humanities  Sustainability?  xMOOC vs cMOOC  Liberal arts campuses entering

44.  Badges  Ebooks in higher education  Shared academics  3d printing across the curriculum  Video and education

45.  Crowdsourcing in academia  Faculty criticizing deployment of technology  Crowdfunding in academia  Automation in education.  Mobile devices in education.

46.  How much reading is being done?  How is digital reading different?  Literacies changing?

47. Part 2: so what do you do with trends?

48. Which of these trends are the most powerful?

49. Which of these trends are the most unpredicatble?

50. Extrapolations:  Transnational campuses  Average student age: 40  Hourly faculty  Hogwarts vs CCs  Disintegrated computing as a service  Extensive surveillance, creativity  Student as producer

51. Example: the higher education bubble  Continued cost/quality anxiety  Student and parent anxieties about debt and employment  Grad school crises  Bipartisan political pressure

52.  Endowments returning, maybe (11%+ in 2013)  Debt closer to car ownership

55.  Content  Teaching  Access  Source

56.  Rise of the sharing mindset  Gig economy: rapid switching, less employee loyalty

57.  Global conversations increase, filter bubble pops  More access, more information  Lots of creativity

58.  Information prices drop  Faculty creativity, flexibility grow  IT “ “ “  Academic content unleashed on the world

59.  Industries collapse  Authorship mysterious  Some low quality tech (videoconf.)

60.  Some higher costs  More malware + less privacy  Increased fallibility of scholarship

61.  Tech challenges  Outsourcing and offshoring  PLE beats LMS  Crowdsourcing faculty work  Information literacy central

62.  Internet has always been open  Web <> money  Online identity has always been fictional, playful