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Welcome to Finance and Accounting Abhijan Khosla (Director of Mentorship)
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Debt vs. Equity GTSF Investments Committee2 Debt is a loan If things go south you get first rights to what’s left in the company (usually hard assets) Equity is ownership There is only a fixed amount of equity in a company You can make more but the existing owners shares are worth less As an owner you have rights to the company’s profits (EPS/Dividends) When things go south you go last
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Quiz Time! GTSF Investments Committee3 Who is the father of value investing? 1.Alexander Graham Bell 2.Benjamin Graham 3.Warren Buffett 4.Ben Bernanke
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Quiz Time! GTSF Investments Committee4 Who is the father of value investing? 1.Alexander Graham Bell 2.Benjamin Graham 3.Warren Buffett 4.Ben Bernanke
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Quiz Time! GTSF Investments Committee5 You shorted AAPL at $750 and covered at $250 (assuming $10 in fees) how much do you make on this trade? 1.200 2.490 3.-200 4.-190
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Quiz Time! GTSF Investments Committee6 You shorted AAPL at $750 and covered at $250 (assuming $10 in fees) how much do you make on this trade? 1.200 2.490 3.-200 4.-190
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Quiz Time! GTSF Investments Committee7 Which is not true of an OTC Market? 1.The prices are not listed in any central location 2.Buyers assume all the risk 3.Market makers help to determine prices 4.Fixed income is an example of an OTC security
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Quiz Time! GTSF Investments Committee8 Which is not true of an OTC Market? 1.The prices are not listed in any central location 2.Buyers assume all the risk 3.Market makers help to determine prices 4.Fixed income is an example of an OTC security
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Who Am I? GTSF Investments Committee9
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The 1 thing you need to know A dollar today is worth MORE than a dollar tomorrow Today > Tomorrow GTSF Investments Committee10
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Time Value of Money GTSF Investments Committee11 Interest has an impact on the value of an investment If compound interest is used then the growth of an investment in different time periods reflects all previous interest earned If I earned 10% a day on $100 how much would I have tomorrow? In 4 days? In 10 days?
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Time Value of Money GTSF Investments Committee12 Use a timeline to visualize cash flows Future Value - Value at a time in the future Present Value - Value in “todays dollars” Which one should be greater? Formula; FV = PV (1 + I/Y)^N FV = future value PV = present value I/Y = interest rate per period N = number of periods
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A few practice problems GTSF Investments Committee13 Bill earns a 4% annual return on his HLF short, if he invested $1,000 exactly 3 years ago how much does he have today? Ben needs $50,000 by 2020, if he started investing in 2014 and earned a 5% annual return how much does he need to invest? Geoff began investing in 2010. He invested $100 and earned a 2.5% quarterly return. How much does he have today? How much will he have in 5 years?
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But.....Why? GTSF Investments Committee14 As in investor you must be compensated for giving up your money Compensation depends on risk What are some main risks? Counterparty (Default) Risk Reinvestment Risk Maturity or Duration Risk
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The 3 Financial Statements GTSF Investments Committee15 What are the 3 Financial Statements? Income Statement Statement Of Cash Flows Balance Sheet
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● Called a snapshot in time ● Reflects the company’s assets, liabilities and shareholder equity at the time (quarterly or annually) ● Listed in order of Liquidity Assets = Liabilities + Shareholder Equity Balance Sheet GTSF Investments Committee16
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GTSF Investments Committee17
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GTSF Investments Committee18
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Income Statement GTSF Investments Committee19 ● Major Line items of an Income Statement; Revenues - Cost of Goods Sold Gross Margin - Operating Expenses Operating Income - Other Expenses -Income Taxes Net Income
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Income Statement GTSF Investments Committee20
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Statement Of Cash Flows(CF) GTSF Investments Committee21 3 Components of the Statement of CF Cash from Operations Cash from Investing Cash from Financing Beginning Cash + CF from Ops+ CF from Investing + CF from Financing = End Cash
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Statement Of Cash Flows(CF) GTSF Investments Committee22 Cash from Operations Cash generated from the normal operations of the company Cash from Investing Change in cash from activities outside normal scope of business May include the purchase of property, plant and equipment, and other investments not on the income statement Cash from Financing Cash from the issuance or repurchase/repayment of equity and debt
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The 3 Musketeers GTSF Investments Committee23 ● The 3 statements work together; Net income (Income Statement) Cash flow from Operations (Statement of CF) Cash from previous Balance Sheet (Balance Sheet) Beginning Cash Balance (Statement of CF) Ending Cash Balance (Statement of CF) Cash on Balance Sheet (Balance Sheet)
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Company Reporting GTSF Investments Committee24 Any publicly traded US company is required to report comprehensive financials Quarterly reports - 10Q Annual Reports - 10K Foreign companies with stock trading in the US must also file annual and quarterly financial reports sec.gov Footnotes –can often house interesting information about the company that must be disclosed but is not part of the 3 financial statements
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Valuation GTSF Investments Committee25 What is valuation? Who uses valuation? What are some of the most common metrics used when valuing a company? What are some of the different ways to value a company?
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Valuation Basics GTSF Investments Committee26 Valuation is the procedure of calculating the worth of an asset, security, company, etc... Valuation is one of the primary tasks done by investment banks Being good at providing valuations for companies is an invaluable skill set used in all facets of finance There are 4 main ways to value companies Comparable Companies Precedent Transaction Discounted Cash Flow Modeling Leverage Buyout Modeling
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Commonly Used Metrics GTSF Investments Committee27 One way to value a company is to compare it to its peers (Comparable Multiples Method) There are a multitude of multiples used The most common are Enterprise Value (EV) /EBITDA Price/ Book Value Price/Earnings PEG EV/Sales Price/Sales
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Enterprise Value (EV) GTSF Investments Committee28 EV- Enterprise Value Value of the entire firm including both debt and equity EV = Market Value of Equity + Debt + Preferred Stock + Minority Interest - Cash Why take out cash? Cash is already counted in market value in equity (in theory) You can use cash to pay down debt or pay a dividend - you would not buy a company for its cash
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EBITDA GTSF Investments Committee29 EBITDA - earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization Good way to evaluate a company’s profitability EBITDA = Revenues - Expenses (excluding taxes, interest, depreciation and amortization) Represents the earnings that can effectively service debt, rose to prominence during the leverage buyout boom of the 80’s
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Income Statement GTSF Investments Committee30
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Free Cash Flow (FCF) GTSF Investments Committee31 Simply the amount of free cash a company has Formula: EBIT (1-tax rate)+Depreciation & Amortization - Change in Net Working Capital - Capital Expenditures NWC = current assets - current liabilities Why do we use 1-tax rate? Why subtract Change in NWC and Capital Expenditures?
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EV/EBITDA GTSF Investments Committee32 Essentially “at what multiple of earnings is the entire company valued at” EV/EBITDA is the most common metric used when doing comparable multiple analysis Varies greatly with industry If the industry average EV/EBITDA multiple is 6X and your company has an EBITDA of $100MM what is your company’s EV?
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Price/Book GTSF Investments Committee33 The current share price / book value of the firm Book value = total assets - intangible assets - liabilities Book value is the theoretical value of assets that would be recovered in the event of a total firm liquidation Assume ; Total assets; 10MM Intangible assets; 1MM Liabilities; 6MM Market Value; 21 MM Price/Book?
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Price/Earnings (P/E) GTSF Investments Committee34 The PE ratio of a firm is the multiple at which the stock price is trading as compared to earnings per share (EPS) P/E - Current stock price / EPS Stock Price - 502.20 EPS - 40.44 P/E - ? What do you do if you have negative EPS?
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PEG GTSF Investments Committee35 The PEG ratio of a firm is the Price/Earnings to Growth ratio P/E ratio divided by the growth of the earnings over a specified period of time Can be in the past or the future (trailing vs forward) PEG takes into account the growth of earnings and helps to give a more complete picture of relative price If our firm’s P/E was 40 and our annual EPS growth rate was 20% what is our PEG? For what kind of firms would PEG be a good metric?
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Price and EV/Sales GTSF Investments Committee36 Price/Sales Current Market Cap / Sales EV/Sales Enterprise Value/Sales If AAPL generated $32MM in sales has a market cap of $640MM, debt of $17MM and cash on hand of $20MM what are the price/sales and EV/sales ratios? Name 2 companies for which Price/Sales is a good metric and 2 for which it is bad
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DCF and LBO GTSF Investments Committee37 DCF - discounted cash flow model A common modeling method which uses free cash flow (similar to EBITDA) to drive the valuation of the firm We project out FCF, decided on terminal growth rates and discount the cash flows back to present day LBO - leverage buyout model Used primarily by PE firms when valuing companies they may be interested in acquiring Centered around the use of enormous amounts of debt which will be paid off to increase the PE firms relative ownership stake
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Other Ratios GTSF Investments Committee38 Valuation ratios are used to determine how a stock is valued in the marketplace All the metrics described depend on the current price of the stock or the current market capitalization of the company These ratios are often swayed by market dynamics which are not always accurate Efficiency ratios help us to simply look at the effectiveness of the company without the market’s interference
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Efficiency Ratios GTSF Investments Committee39 Allow investors to see how effectively a firm is using its resources The most common are; Operating Margin Profit Margin Return on Equity Return on Assets Return on Invested Capital
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Operating and Profit Margin GTSF Investments Committee40 Allow investors to see what percentage of each dollar made translates to the company’s bottom line Operating Margin EBIT/Sales gives an idea of how well management has been at generating income from the operation of the business EBIT includes all revenues, not just sales Profit Margin % of sales that flows directly to profit Net income/Sales
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Income Statement GTSF Investments Committee41
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Return on Equity and Assets GTSF Investments Committee42 Return on equity represents the amount of profit generated on each dollar of equity funding in the company Net Income/ Shareholders Equity Return on Capital represents the amount of profit generated on each dollar of assets held by the company Net Income/Total Assets Helps to measure how good management is at using assets on hand
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Return on Invested Capital GTSF Investments Committee43 Return on invested capital is a measure of how well capital is being used to generate profits, essentially with all the funding being given to the company how much are they using to make money? Net income - Dividends / Total Capital Use the balance sheet and income statements on the next slides to calculate Return on Equity, Assets and Invested Capital
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Income Statement GTSF Investments Committee44
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GTSF Investments Committee45
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Ratios in Perspective GTSF Investments Committee46 Ratios help to clarify investing theses It is important to use ratios and number to backup your thoughts about a company There is no “magic ratio” Learning which ratios work the best takes time and experience The one thing you NEVER use to decide on an investment PRICE
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