1. Concept note for Social Investment Program Project (SIPP), Bangladesh Team Members : Md. Abdul Momen Md. Golam Faruque Md. Lutfor Rahman MIM Zulfiqar Dr. Erwin Bulte Dr. Elliot Mghenyi

2. Objective of SIPP  To improve the livelihoods, quality of life and resilience to climate variability, natural hazards and other shocks of the rural poor, especially the left-out poor and vulnerable households.

3. Project description  Project duration : 5-Years (June 2015)  Project villages to be covered : 1500;  Target group : Poor and Hardcore Poor (Identified through PIP) and Unemployed Youth (from HCP and Poor)  Target beneficiaries : 200,000 HHs  Total project cost SIPP-2: US$ 115 million

4. Project description- Contd.  Component A: Community and Livelihood Development at village level  Institutional development (e.g. Capacity building, Institutional set-up, grant to vulnerable, loan to youth for skill dev. )  Livelihoods (community finance) ( e.g. grant to the VO but loan to the targeted community )  Community infrastructure and social services ( e.g. Construction /rehabilitation of community assets)  Component B: Institutional Development and Livelihoods Promotion at the Inter-village  Market linkages and aggregate institutions  Inter-village community infrastructure

5. Research questions Focus now is on component-A ( Community and Livelihood Development at village level)  Question 1 : What is the impact CDD process on social empowerment, governance, inclusion, social capital and cohesiveness?  Question 2 : What is the impact of livelihood development fund on economic wellbeing ?

6. Indicators Research Question 1  Attitudes, preferences etc  Proxies of social relations / social conflict  Disputes/Conflict resolution of the villages  Advance labor selling  Indebtedness  Child marriages  Access to public and private services/resources Research Question 2  Income ;  Consumption  Assets;  Employment;  No. of meals in a day  Food habit- Meat or fish in a week

7. Randomized sub-treatments  Project restricts 70% of VO positions to hardcore poor – subtreatment will relax the restriction  Livelihoods development fund to be expanded to non- target households – the rich (using external funds). The idea is to test whether inclusiveness improves project outcomes  Others to be decided

8. Identification strategy  Admin structure: District>Upazila (sub- district)>union>village>target households)  District and Upazila (sub-district) will be selected based on published poverty data, Vulnerability index, Accessibility information;  Randomly assign cluster intensity to unions (100% villages treated, 70%, 30%, 0%)  Randomly assign unions to phases (3 phases in total but only 1 and 3 used in the evaluation). Phase 3 is pipeline control  Randomly select treatment villages in unions

9. Sample  Multi-stage clustered random sample ▪ Select district and sub-district (upazila) based on; poverty data, vulnerability index, regional characteristics e.g. Cyclone, flood, seasonal famine etc. ▪ Randomly select clusters (unions) ▪ Randomly assign unions into phases (3) – only 1 and 2 used for evaluation ▪ Randomly select treatment and control villages ▪ Randomly sample target and control households

10. Timeline  Baseline : November 2010  First follow-up : November 2012  Second follow-up : November 2014

11. Impact evaluation team  Project Team;  World Bank Team;  Research Team – External e.g. DIME & Local;  IE Survey Agency (Consulting Firm/Agency)

12. Estimated budget  Project already allocated US$ 2.00 million for survey data collection, process monitoring and thematic studies ;  Team will raise additional resources for coordination and analysis

13. Q & A

14. Thank you