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Hotel Capital Markets Hodges Ward Elliott Presented to

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1 Hotel Capital Markets Hodges Ward Elliott Presented to
Hotel Asset Managers Association Hodges Ward Elliott Mark W. Elliott Senior Managing Director

2 Current EBITDA Multiples

3 Current Multiples of Public Lodging REITS
Company (as of 10/4/10) 2010E EBITDA X 2011E EBITDA X Host Hotels & Resorts 18.3x 16.4x Sunstone Hotel Investors 14.6x 13.5x LaSalle Hotel Properties 17.0x 14.1x Strategic Hotels & Resorts 20.5x 18.8x DiamondRock Hospitality 15.8x 13.0x Hersha Hospitality 14.2x 12.6x FelCor Lodging Trust 12.0x 10.5x Ashford Hospitality Trust 15.3x 12.8x Lodging REITS 15.2x 13.4x Source: Hodges Ward Elliott; Bloomberg

4 Current Transactions

5 Current Transactions Asset Rooms Price Price Per Room
Westin Philadelphia 294 $145,000,000 $493,197 Royal Palm 409 $117,000,000 $286,063 Sir Francis Drake 416 $90,000,000 $216,346 Tampa Embassy Suites 360 $77,000,000 $213,889 Cap Rates range from 1.88% to 6.48% and EBITDA Multiples range from to X. Source: Hodges Ward Elliott

6 Rationale

7 Demand vs. GDP 1988 – 2010E Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis; Smith Travel Research; Hodges Ward Elliott; Bloomberg Contributor Composite

8 Source: Smith Travel Research; Bloomberg
Demand vs. GDP October 2009 – July 2010 Source: Smith Travel Research; Bloomberg

9 Source: Smith Travel Research, Hodges Ward Elliott
US Market RevPAR RevPAR (1988 – 2010E) Source: Smith Travel Research, Hodges Ward Elliott

10 Source: Smith Travel Research, Hodges Ward Elliott
US Market Supply Supply (1988 – 2010E) 23-Year Average, , 2.1% Source: Smith Travel Research, Hodges Ward Elliott

11 Trough-to-Peak RevPAR/NOI:
Review of Past Cycles Trough-to-Peak RevPAR/NOI: The sample below contains statistics for full-service hotels from 2003 – 2007: Years CAGR in RevPAR CAGR in NOI 2003 – 2007 7.4% 17.9% Source: Hodges Ward Elliott

12 Impact of EBITDA Growth
Assumptions/Scenarios: 2010E EBITDA grows at 17.9% over the next 5 years. Corresponding EBITDA multiple if the growth rate is 17.9% and the stock price remains constant. Value of stock if balance sheet remains the same and company is valued at 10.7 X EBITDA.

13 Impact of EBITDA Growth
Company Stock Price – 10/4/10 2010E EBITDA 2010E EBITDA X 2015E EBITDA (Growing at 17.9% annually) EBITDA X with same stock price (EV) Stock price % change if balance sheet remains the same & company is valued at 10.7 X EBITDA Host Hotels & Resorts $14.64 $769 18.3 X $1,752 8.1 X 24.20% Sunstone Hotel Investors $9.47 $153 14.6 X $348 6.4 X 107.69% LaSalle Hotel Properties $23.15 $156 17.0 X $355 7.5 X 71.37% Strategic Hotels & Resorts $4.25 $119 20.5 X $270 9.1 X 44.76% DiamondRock Hospitality $9.70 $133 15.8 X $302 6.9 X 52.99% Hersha Hospitality $5.10 $112 14.2 X $256 6.3 X 159.31% FelCor Lodging Trust $4.55  185 12.0 X $421 5.3 X 385.82% Ashford Hospitality Trust $9.29 219 15.3 X $498 6.7 X 357.23% Source: Hodges Ward Elliott; Bloomberg

14 Sources of Capital Public Issuance Private Equity Debt Markets

15 Lodging Stock Issuance
1995 – Year-to-Date 2010 Source: Bloomberg

16 Global CMBS Issuance for Hotels
1995 – Year-to-Date 2010 Source: Bloomberg

17 Identified Hotel Private Equity Availability
Capital Identified Hotel Private Equity Availability Equity Equity Allocation Total Buying Raised % Allocated for Hotels Power Company (in Billions) to Hotels RLJ Development $1.1 100% $1.10 $2.20 Rockpoint $2.3 35% $0.81 $1.61 Westbrook $2.2 $0.77 $1.54 Northwood $1.2 60% $0.72 $1.44 HEI $0.5 $0.50 $1.00 Lubert-Adler $1.3 $0.46 $0.91 Walton Street Capital MSREF (US) $0.42 $0.84 Paulson & Company $1.0 $0.35 $0.70 Rockwood Starwood Capital $2.00 Cornerstone Total $14.6 $7.4 $14.9 Source: Hodges Ward Elliott

18 Estimated Impaired Hotel Debt (Billions)
Capital Estimated Impaired Hotel Debt (Billions) CMBS Bank Life Co Other Total 2005 $17.9 $7.0 $4.6 $9.8 $39.3 2006 $22.4 $10.2 $5.8 $48.7 2007 $30.0 $16.4 $7.9 $22.9 $77.1 2008 $0.2 $3.8 $1.7 $5.0 $10.8 $70.5 $37.5 $20.0 $47.9 $175.9 Available Equity $14.9 Potential Capital Gap Amount $160.8 Source: MBA; Hodges Ward Elliott

19 Hotel Asset Managers Association
Hodges Ward Elliott, Inc Mark W. Elliott Senior Managing Director Sovereign Building, 25th Floor 3344 Peachtree Road NE Atlanta GA (404) Hotel Asset Managers Association


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