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4/19/2017 Although wealthy nations have better child survival, there is enormous variation in child survival at any given level of national wealth. Child.

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Presentation on theme: "4/19/2017 Although wealthy nations have better child survival, there is enormous variation in child survival at any given level of national wealth. Child."— Presentation transcript:

1 4/19/2017 Although wealthy nations have better child survival, there is enormous variation in child survival at any given level of national wealth. Child survival (to age 5) in the US is lower than in other countries with comparable wealth. It is possible that this variability is associated, at least in part, by the way in which the health systems of the countries are oriented towards equitable distribution of health services. Starfield Annotated Medical Home

2 4/19/2017 Benefits of Primary Care: Evidence from International Comparisons of 13 Industrialized Countries Starfield 09/02 Annotated Medical Home

3 The Countries, Mid-1990s Australia (AUS) Belgium (BEL) Canada (CAN)
4/19/2017 The Countries, Mid-1990s Australia (AUS) Belgium (BEL) Canada (CAN) Denmark (DK) Finland (FIN) France (FR) Germany (GER) Japan (JAP) Netherlands (NTH) Spain (SP) Sweden (SWE) United Kingdom (UK) United States (US) Starfield Annotated Medical Home

4 Primary Care Orientation of Health Systems: Rating Criteria
4/19/2017 Primary Care Orientation of Health Systems: Rating Criteria Health System Characteristics Type of system Financing Type of primary care practitioner Percent active physicians who are specialists Professional earnings of primary care physicians relative to specialists Cost sharing for primary care services Patient lists Requirements for 24-hour coverage Strength of academic departments of family medicine Each country was rated (scores of 0, 1, or 2) on the strength of 9 characteristics of health policy that are conducive to strong primary care. Source: Starfield B. Primary Care: Balancing Health Needs, Services, and Technology. New York: Oxford University Press, 1998. Source: Starfield, 1998. Starfield Annotated Medical Home

5 Primary Care Orientation of Health Systems: Rating Criteria
4/19/2017 Primary Care Orientation of Health Systems: Rating Criteria Practice Characteristics First-Contact Longitudinality Comprehensiveness Coordination Family-centeredness Community orientation The countries were also scored (0, 1, or 2) with regard to the strength of 6 key characteristics of primary care practice. Source: Starfield B. Primary Care: Balancing Health Needs, Services, and Technology. New York: Oxford University Press, 1998. Source: Starfield, 1998. Starfield Annotated Medical Home

6 Primary Care Scores, 1980s and 1990s
4/19/2017 1980s 1990s Belgium France Germany United States Australia Canada Japan Sweden Denmark Finland Netherlands Spain United Kingdom Both in the 1980s and in the 1990s, the countries’ average scores on the 15 characteristics fell into three clear groups: those with poor primary care (including the US), those with intermediate scores, and those with strong primary care. Starfield 2000 Annotated Medical Home

7 4/19/2017 System and Practice Characteristics Facilitating Primary Care, Early-Mid 1990s GER FR BEL US SWE JAP CAN FIN AUS SP The stronger the health policies for primary care, the stronger the primary care practices. DK NTH UK Starfield 11/00 Annotated Medical Home

8 Health Care Expenditures per Capita, 1996
4/19/2017 Health Care Expenditures per Capita, 1996 Belgium France Germany United States ----- 1693 1978 2222 3708 Australia Canada Japan Sweden 1776 2002 1581 1405 Denmark Finland Netherlands Spain United Kingdom 1430 1389 1756 1131 1304 Health expenditures are greater the weaker the primary care. In the poor primary care group, all but one country has expenditures over 20,000 US dollars per capita. In the middle primary care group, expenditures were between 15,000 and 20,000 US dollars per capita. In the good primary care group, all but one country had expenditures of less than 15,000 US dollars per capita. Starfield 2000 Annotated Medical Home

9 Primary Care Score vs. Health Care Expenditures, 1997
4/19/2017 Primary Care Score vs. Health Care Expenditures, 1997 UK DK NTH FIN SP CAN AUS SWE JAP The stronger the primary care, the lower the health care expenditures overall, even when the very expensive United States is removed from consideration. GER US BEL FR Starfield 10/00 Annotated Medical Home

10 International Comparisons: Birth Outcomes and Primary Care Score
4/19/2017 Primary Care Score Low Med High 14 11.5 12 9.5 10 Countries with weak primary care infrastructures have poorer health performance. 8 7.3 Average Rankings 5.5 6 4.8 4.6 4 For both low birthweight and postneonatal mortality, the stronger the primary care, the better the ranking of the countries. Source: Starfield B, Shi L. Policy relevant determinants of health: an international perspective. Health Policy 2002; 60(3): 2 Low: BEL, FR, GER, US Med: AUS, CAN, JAP, SWE High: DEN, FIN, NTH, SP, UK Low BirthWeight Post Neonatal Mortality R= -.74; p<.001 R= -.38 NS Source: Starfield & Shi, 2002. Starfield 09/02 Annotated Medical Home

11 4/19/2017 Average Rankings for Health Indicators, YPLL (Total and Suicide) in Countries Grouped by Primary Care Orientation All Except Suicide Suicide All Except External Female Male Female Male Female Male Lowest (Belgium, France, Germany, US) Middle (Australia, Canada, Japan, Sweden) Highest (Denmark, Finland, Netherlands, Spain, UK) Countries with poor primary care have worse rankings for years of potential life lost. Years of potential life lost due to suicide are directly related to the strength of primary care. Source: OECD. OECD Health Data Paris: OECD Secretariat Health Policy Unit and Centre de Recherch, d'Etude et de Doucementation en Economie de la Santé, 1998. Source: OECD, 1998. Starfield 2000 Annotated Medical Home

12 Average Rankings for World Health Organization
Health Indicators for Countries Grouped by Primary Care Orientation 4/19/2017 DALEs Child Survival Equity Overall Health Lowest (Belgium, France, Germany, US) 16.3 22.5 36.3 Middle* (Australia, Canada, Sweden, Japan) 4.8 16.5 26.0 29.1 11.0 15.8 DALE: Disability adjusted life expectancy (life lived in good health) Child survival: survival to age 2, with a disparities component Overall health: DALE minus DALE in absence of a health system Maximum DALE for health expenditures minus same in absence of a health system For indicators used by the World Health Organization, countries with poor primary care rank worse. This is especially true for child survival (until age 2), for which the poor primary care countries have much poorer rankings and the best primary care countries have the overall best rankings. Source: World Health Organization. The World Health Report Health Systems: Improving Performance. Geneva: World Health Organization, 2000. Highest* (Denmark, Finland, Netherlands, Spain, UK) 16.0 15.2 31.6 Source: Calculated from WHO, 2000. Starfield 10/02 Annotated Medical Home

13 4/19/2017 Primary Care Features Consistently Associated with Good/Excellent Primary Care System features Regulated resource distribution Government-provided health insurance No/low cost-sharing for primary care Practice features Comprehensiveness Family orientation There are 5 characteristics that distinguish better primary care from the poor primary care countries. Three of the 5 are system characteristics, and two are practice characteristics. Starfield 10/01 Annotated Medical Home

14 Benefits of Primary Care: Within-Country Studies
4/19/2017 Benefits of Primary Care: Within-Country Studies Ecological analyses: Effect of primary care doctor to population ratios (US, UK) Case control studies (US) Hospitalizations for avoidable conditions or complications (US, Spain) Survey data on impact of affiliation with a primary care doctor (US, Spain) Path analyses at state and local levels (US) Other studies, done in various countries using different methods, also show the benefits of primary care. Starfield 09/02 Annotated Medical Home

15 Rates of Avoidable Pediatric Hospitalization for Diabetes Mellitus and Pneumonia and Family Physicians per 10,000 Population 4/19/2017 Areas with higher family physician to population ratios have overall lower rates of child hospitalizations for diabetes mellitus and pneumonia, two conditions for which good primary care should reduce hospitalization rates. Source: Parchman ML, Culler S. Primary care physicians and avoidable hospitalizations. J Fam Pract 1994; 39(2): Source: Parchman & Culler, 1994. Starfield 10/02 Annotated Medical Home

16 State Level Analysis: Primary Care and Life Expectancy
4/19/2017 LA SC . GA NV MS AL WV DE NC KY KS TN ID MI TX IA UT NY CA MD ND WI NM AZ NE MA CT HI MN AK IL VA PA FL MT OR NJ ME NH SD AR WA RI R=.54 P<.05 States of the US with more primary care physicians per population have higher life expectancy than states with fewer such physicians per population. Source: Shi L, Starfield B, Kennedy BP, Kawachi I. Income inequality, primary care, and health indicators. J Fam Pract 1999; 48(4): PC physicians/population positively associated with longer life expectancy. Source: Shi et al., 1999. Starfield 03/02 Annotated Medical Home

17 Path Coefficients for the Effects of Income Inequality and Primary Care on Health Outcome: 50 US States, 1990 4/19/2017 Total Mortality Infant Mortality .42** .35* -.36** -.29* Income Inequality (Robin Hood Index) -.33* Both income inequality in a state and the state’s primary care physician to population ratio are related to total mortality, infant mortality, and life expectancy at birth. Other analyses that also consider the effects of sociodemographic and socioeconomic characteristics on low birthweight show an effect of primary care on low birthweight as well. That is, greater primary care physician to population ratios are associated with lower death rates and better life expectancy. Source: Shi L, Starfield B, Kennedy BP, Kawachi I. Income inequality, primary care, and health indicators. J Fam Pract 1999; 48(4): Primary Care Physicians -.37** .58** Life Expectancy .41** -.17 Low Birthweight Source: Shi et al., 1999. *p<.05; **p<.01. Starfield Annotated Medical Home

18 Postneonatal Mortality
Path Coefficients for the Effects of Income Inequality and Primary Care on Health Outcome: 50 US States, 1990 4/19/2017 Life Expectancy Total Mortality Neonatal Mortality .39** .40** -.35** -.38** -.18 Income Inequality (GINI COEFFICIENT) -.33* Primary Care Physicians Higher primary care physician to population ratios are associated especially with lower stroke mortality and postneonatal mortality. Income inequality and primary care physician to population ratios are associated with each other, showing that social policies and health policies in individual states go together; the better is one, the better the other. Source: Shi L, Starfield B, Kennedy BP, Kawachi I. Income inequality, primary care, and health indicators. J Fam Pract 1999; 48(4): .16 .18 .42** Stroke Mortality -.38** -.33* Postneonatal Mortality Life Expectancy Source: Shi et al., 1999. *p<.05; **p<.01. Starfield Annotated Medical Home

19 Percent reporting fair or poor health
4/19/2017 Reductions in Inequality in Health by Primary Care: Self-Reported Health, 60 US Communities, 1996 Percent reporting fair or poor health Areas with low income inequality No effect of primary care resources* Areas with moderate income inequality 16% increase in areas with low primary care resources* Areas with high income inequality 33% increase in areas with low primary care resources* *compared with median # of primary care physicians to population ratios The effect of primary care on self-reported good health is greater in areas that are more inequitable in income distribution. Based on information in Shi L, Starfield B. Primary care, income inequality, and self-rated health in the United States: a mixed-level analysis. Int J Health Serv 2000; 30(3): Based on data in Shi & Starfield, 2000. Starfield 2000 Annotated Medical Home

20 *compared with population mean
4/19/2017 Reductions* in Inequality in Health by Primary Care: Postneonatal Mortality, 50 US States, 1990 Areas with low income inequality High primary care resources 0.8% decrease in mortality Low primary care resources 1.9% increase in mortality Areas with high income inequality High primary care resources % decrease in mortality Low primary care resources 6.9% increase in mortality The effect of primary care in reducing postneonatal mortality is greater in areas that are more inequitable in income distribution. Based on information in Shi L, Starfield B. Primary care, income inequality, and self-rated health in the United States: a mixed-level analysis. Int J Health Serv 2000; 30(3): *compared with population mean Based on data in Shi & Starfield, 2000. Starfield 2000 Annotated Medical Home

21 Low Birthweight among US Rural, Urban, and Health Center Infants
4/19/2017 Low Birthweight among US Rural, Urban, and Health Center Infants US urban infants 8.8 Urban health center infants infants 7.5 Geographic area US rural infants 6.8 Rural health center infants 6.0 African American urban infants 13.6 African American urban health center infants In both rural and urban areas, and for both all infants as well as just African American infants, those born to users of primary care health centers are less likely to be of low birthweight than infants of mothers who are not users of those centers. Source: Politzer RM, Yoon J, Shi L, Hughes RG, Regan J, Gaston MH. Inequality in America: the contribution of health centers in reducing and eliminating disparities in access to care. Med Care Res Rev 2001; 58(2): 10.4 Racial composition African American rural infants 13.0 African American rural health center infants 7.4 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 Source: Politzer et al., 2001. Starfield 09/02 Annotated Medical Home

22 Primary Care and Health: Evidence-Based Summary
4/19/2017 Countries with strong primary care have lower overall costs generally have healthier populations Within countries areas with higher primary care physician availability (but NOT specialist availability) have healthier populations more primary care physician availability reduces the adverse effects of social inequality Starfield 09/02 Annotated Medical Home

23 Primary Care and Equity: Evidence-Based Summary
4/19/2017 Primary Care and Equity: Evidence-Based Summary In areas with low social inequity, the additional effect of primary care is small. In areas of high social inequity, the additional effect of primary care is larger. Starfield 09/02 Annotated Medical Home


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