1. DAT/SEN Mar 22, 2006 1 The Junior Woodchucks Guidebook for Fighter Pilots Lars Rosenberg Randleff Ph.D. student Danish Defence Research Establishment

2. DAT/SEN Mar 22, 2006 2 Junior Woodchucks Guidebook In Disney's fictional Scrooge McDuck universe, The Junior Woodchucks are the Boy Scout-like youth organization to which Donald Duck's nephews, Huey, Dewey and Louie, belong. Source: Wikipedia.org The nephews always carry with them a copy of the Junior Woodchucks Guidebook, a fictional guidebook which is full of detailed and pertinent information about whatever country or situation in which Donald and the boys find themselves. Its depth of coverage is remarkable, considering that it is a small paperback book.

3. DAT/SEN Mar 22, 2006 3 Vision for the project Numbers of threats, guidance methods and countermeasures are increasing 600 missile systems developed 200-300 missile systems currently deployed (http://missile.index.ne.jp) Not easy to find the best action Takes training to do it in time Solution depends on mission “The worlds best pilot as the co-pilot”

4. DAT/SEN Mar 22, 2006 4 Missile guidance Semi-active Radar Infrared Electro- Optical Active Radar Track-Via- Missile INS/GPS Command Beam Rider Anti- Radiation

5. DAT/SEN Mar 22, 2006 5 Data flow Position DSS Situational Awareness Decision Presentation to the pilot Audio? Display? Force feedback? RWR MWS Velocity Orientation Jammer Chaff Flares Mission data Link-16 data Knowledge Base AA SA Single threat Multiple threats Jammer Chaff Flares

6. DAT/SEN Mar 22, 2006 6 Data flow Position DSS Situational Awareness Decision Presentation to the pilot Audio? Display? Force feedback? RWR MWS Velocity Orientation Jammer Chaff Flares Mission data Link-16 data Knowledge Base AA SA Single threat Multiple threats Jammer Chaff Flares

7. DAT/SEN Mar 22, 2006 7 Approaches AI techniques Bayesian Networks Prolog-based Expert System Artificial Neural Networks OR techniques Mathematical Modelling Metaheuristics

8. DAT/SEN Mar 22, 2006 8 The Bayesian Network

9. DAT/SEN Mar 22, 2006 9 Dependency tables A lot of work to fill them Not easy without firm knowledge of all dependencies Can be done using HUGIN (Structural Learning) Not easy to get data

10. DAT/SEN Mar 22, 2006 10 Using Fly-In Uses models to simulate an IR guided missile approach Can generate data to be used in Structural Learning Has a lot of parameters!

11. DAT/SEN Mar 22, 2006 11 Looking ahead Decisions depend on what to expect Maximizing the survivability Lethality vs. Survivability What to optimize? Defining scenarios Threats Countermeasures

12. DAT/SEN Mar 22, 2006 12 Survivability

13. DAT/SEN Mar 22, 2006 13 Efficiency of CM (α)

14. DAT/SEN Mar 22, 2006 14 Threat Lethality (II) ScenarioLethality

15. DAT/SEN Mar 22, 2006 15 Decision Schedule Jammer Decoy Chaff

16. DAT/SEN Mar 22, 2006 16 Final remarks Difficult to get proper data No ground truth to test with Work in progress. No “best solution” found yet