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Prepared by Planet Retail | April 2005 THE UK DISCOUNT SECTOR – TRENDS & IMPLICATIONS
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 2 West European Outlet Trends
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 3 Discount Stores Number of discount stores in Europe by country, 2004 (% of total) Number of discount stores in Europe by country, 1992 (% of total) 3 The UK has seen its status as a discount market increase in recent years
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 4 Channel Development for Key Grocery Formats, 2004-2009 – Number of Outlets (W Euro) Growth will continue over the next five years 4
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 5 181.8 Convenience & forecourt stores 179.9 Cash & carries 173.4 Hypermarkets & superstores 151.5 Supermarkets & neighbourhood stores 186.6 Discount Stores European Market Developments by Channel, Leading Retailers (indices) Leading retailers are planning to grow discount formats faster than others 5
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 6 Discount Stores Discount store numbers in Europe, 1992 - 2008 (no. of stores) The European discount channel will continue to see growth in store numbers… 6
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 7 Discount Sales Discount Store Sales in Europe, 1992-2008 (EUR mn; incl. sales tax) …with sales to approach EUR140 billion… 7
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 8 Discount Share Discount Store Market Shares in Europe, 1992-2008 (% of modern grocery distribution sales) …and market share set to hit 11%. 8
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 9 Number of New Stores, 2004-2009 Discount Stores The UK will continue to see reasonable discount channel growth, although it will be outpaced by more discount- centric markets. 9
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 10 Discount Stores No. of discount stores in Europe by country (no. of stores, 2004) 14,407 Although it is home to a reasonable number of discount stores, the UK lags other markets by a massive margin. 10
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 11 Discount Stores Food market share of discounters in Europe, 2004 (discounters’ food sales as % of modern grocery distribution, grocery sales) Due to slow growth and low consumer enthusiasm for discount stores, market share has remained lower than average in the UK. 11
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 12 Discounting in the UK Key Trends & Major Players 12
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 13 Key Trends Hard discounting has been slow to take off in the UK, as mainstream grocery retailers have introduced economy private label ranges (benchmarked in price against the discounters) The British shopper has been reticent in exploiting the discount channel, preferring instead the tidier supermarkets with their well- known brands Consumer acceptance of discounters will increase over time Immigration – from Eastern & Central Europe in particular – will drive traffic within the hard discount channel Manufacturers are slowly being impacted by the channel as its key players demand shelf-ready or pallet-mounted product 13
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 14 Key Trends Soft discounter Kwik Save is set to continue its decline. Post-merger problems and ongoing portfolio rationalisation have seen it significantly shrink Aldi and Netto are set for dramatic growth, actively seeking out hundreds of new stores between them Future growth will focus on regions such as Scotland, Wales and Northern England The growth of discounters will see product mix shift from brands towards private label products 14
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 15 Growth Trends – Store Numbers Discount Store Numbers, 1999-2009 Store numbers to resume upward trend after Kwik Save slimming is complete 15
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 16 Growth Trends – Total Sales Area Discount Store Sales Area (‘000 m 2 ), 1999-2009 Similarly, sales area will resume upward progress as rivals take up Kwik Save slack 16
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 17 Growth Trends – Average Sales Area Discount Store Average Sales Area (m 2 ), 1999-2009 Average store size will increase to extend product offers and improve the instore environment 17
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 18 Growth Trends – Retail Banner Sales Discount Store Retail Banner Sales (GBP mn), 1999-2009 Retail sales through the discount channel are poised to exceed GBP6 billion by 2009. 18
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 19 Growth Trends – Market Share Discount Store Market Share (%), 1999-2005 Slow growth and Kwik Save downsizing has seen sectoral market share slide 19
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 20 Leading Players - 1999 Leading Discounters by Stores, 1999 Kwik Save ended the 1990s with a clear advantage over its German/Scandinavian rivals. 20
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 21 Leading Players - 2004 Leading Discounters by Stores, 2004 By 2004, Lidl had overtaken Aldi and had closed the gap on the shrinking Kwik Save. 21
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 22 Leading Players - 2009 Leading Discounters by Stores, 2009 Growth plans suggest that Aldi will take top spot in outlet numbers by 2009. 22
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 23 Leading Players - 1999 Leading Discounters by Sales (GBP mn), 1999 Kwik Save enjoyed clear market leadership in 1999. 23
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 24 Leading Players - 2004 Leading Discounters by Sales (GBP mn), 2004 By 2004, Lidl had leapfrogged Aldi. 24
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 25 Leading Players - 2009 Leading Discounters by Sales (GBP mn), 2009 Aldi is on track for sector leadership. 25
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 26 Leading Players Top Discounters by Market Share, 2005 (% of MGD grocery sales) 26
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 27 Leading Players – Kwik Save Website: www.kwiksave.co.uk Retail sales, 2004:GBP1,748 million No. of stores, 2004:520 Average sales area: 738 sq. m. Five-year growth rates, 2000/04 No. of stores:-29.2% Retail banner sales:-11.5% Market share 2004:1.73% 27
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 28 Leading Players – Kwik Save 28
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 29 Leading Players – Lidl Website: www.lidl.co.uk Retail sales, 2004:GBP1,311 million No. of stores, 2004:330 Average sales area: 837 sq. m. Five-year growth rates, 2000/04 No. of stores:32.0% Retail banner sales:48.5% Market share 2004:1.30% 29
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 30 Leading Players – Lidl 30
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 31 Leading Players – Aldi Website: www.aldi-stores.co.uk Retail sales, 2004:GBP1,080 million No. of stores, 2004:290 Average sales area: 800 sq. m. Five-year growth rates, 2000/04 No. of stores:20.8% Retail banner sales:18.7% Market share 2004:1.07% 31
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 32 Leading Players – Aldi 32
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 33 Leading Players – Netto Website: www.netto.co.uk Retail sales, 2004:GBP536 million No. of stores, 2004:140 Average sales area: 650 sq. m. Five-year growth rates, 2000/04 No. of stores:13.8% Retail banner sales:11.4% Market share 2004:0.53% 33
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| e-intelligence on global retailing - www.planetretail.net Source: M+M Planet Retail Ltd 2004-01 34 Leading Players – Netto 34
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