1. Impact Evaluation of a Community Development Program in the Central African Republic Radu Ban, World Bank Matthias Rieger, Graduate Institute Geneva

2. Central African Republic

3. PDCAGV details  Projet de Développement Communautaire et Aide aux Groups Vulnérables

4. PDCAGV details  Projet de Développement Communautaire et Aide aux Groups Vulnérables  USD 8 million project

5. PDCAGV details  Projet de Développement Communautaire et Aide aux Groups Vulnérables  USD 8 million project  3 Project components 

6. PDCAGV details  Projet de Développement Communautaire et Aide aux Groups Vulnérables  USD 8 million project  4 Project components  Capacity building for local development 1.5m  Priority response fund 1.86m  Local development fund 2.79m  Project management, monitoring, and evaluation 1.85m

7. Recall CDD unanswered questions

8.  What is the impact of participation by itself?

9. Recall CDD unanswered questions  What is the impact of participation by itself?  What is the impact of the community driven approach relative to a centralized counterfactual?  What, if any, are the complementarities between a community driven and centralized approach

10. How will this IE answer these questions?

11.  By using a randomized roll-out of the different project components

12. How will this IE answer these questions?  By using a randomized roll-out of the different project components  The capacity building component will be a “participation shock”  The two funding interventions (PRF and LDF) will provide an opportunity to assess the relative effectiveness of the community-driven and centralize approach

13. Project implementation and identification  The project targets 102 communes in 10 prefectures

14. Project implementation and identification

15.  The project targets 102 communes in 10 prefectures  To identify the effects of the program these 102 communes are divided into 4 random groups and the different project components are rolled out as follows:

16. Project implementation and identification Group (number of communes by group) 1(48)2(18)3(18)4(18) Stage 1CB-CB+PAF 2-CBLDF- 3- -- CB : capacity building PAF: priority action fund LDF: local development fund

18. Surveys Group (number of communes by group) 1(48)2(18)3(18)4(18) Stage 1CB-CB+PAF 2-CBLDF- 3- -- CB : capacity building PAF: priority action fund LDF: local development fund BASELINE 1 st FOLLOW 2 nd FOLLOW

19. Measuring the effects  Baseline means:  1 st follow up means:  2 nd follow up means:

20. Measuring the effects  Capacity building effect =  PRF impact =  LDF impact =

21. Survey instruments  Measuring a wealth of indicators:  socio-economics  child anthropometrics  access to public services  social capital (for now only with surveys, games later)  conflict resolution  and other interesting topics

22. Survey instruments

24. How much does this cost?

25. How much does this cost