1. Population Trends in Maryland, 2000-2006 2007 Spring Planning Directors Meeting May 22, 2007

2. Population Data Source U.S. Census Bureau annual estimates through July 1, 2006 –Data for states released end of December, 2006 –Data for counties released end of March, 2007

3. U.S. Census Bureau Population Cohort Component Estimates Births & deaths from administrative records Internal (domestic) migration from federal tax returns and Medicare records International migration – a national estimate is distributed to states & counties based on Census 2000 ratios

4. Maryland Population, 2000 & 2006 (and rank within U.S.) (19 th )

5. Maryland Population Change, 2000- 2006 Total Change = 319,221 (14 th largest) Percent Change = 6.0% (21 st fastest) –But below the overall U.S. rate of 6.4%

6. Annual Average Growth Rates for Maryland’s Population Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census Bureau Data.

8. Annual Population Change for Maryland (and rank within U.S.) 14th 10th16th18th 27th

9. Annual Pct Change in Pop in Maryland, 2000- 2006 (and rank within U.S.) 13th18th12th 22nd27th36th

10. Net Natural Change (Births – Deaths) for Maryland

11. Net International Migration and Federal Citizens’ Movement for Maryland

12. Net Internal Migration for Maryland, 2000 – 2006 * (24 th )(14 th )(11 th )(15 th ) (40 th )(42 nd )(43rd) * And rank of net internal migration among the 50 states and District of Columbia

13. Components of Population Change for Maryland: 2000 - 2006 Residual Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, December, 2006

16. Reasons for Maryland Net Internal Out Migration Decreasing relative “economic vitality” Higher housing costs compared to neighboring states

17. Annual Pct Change in MD W&S Jobs and Pct Pt Difference: MD – U.S.

19. 2000 Median Value of Owner Occupied Housing – Bordering Counties, MD & PA

20. 2005 Median Value of Owner Occupied Housing – Bordering Counties, MD & PA* * Median value, plus and minus the margin of error

21. Change in Median Value of Owner Occupied Housing, 2000-2005 Source: Census 2000 and the 2005 American Community Survey

22. 2005 Median Value of Owner Occupied Housing Built Between 2000 and 2004 * * Median value, plus and minus the margin of error

23. Inmigration to Maryland From PA and Outmigration from Maryland To PA

24. Net Migration for Maryland With Pennsylvania

25. *Baltimore, Carroll, Frederick, Harford & Washington

26. Net Migration for Maryland With West Virginia

27. Net Migration for Maryland With Delaware

28. Total Population Change for Maryland’s Jurisdictions, 2000 - 2006

30. Population Change, 2000 - 2006 (-3.0%)(-2.8%)

31. Components of Population Change for Allegany County, 2000-2006

32. Components of Population Change for Baltimore City, 2000-2006

33. Net Internal Migration for Baltimore City

34. Percent Change in Population for Maryland’s Jurisdictions, 2000-2006

36. Annualized Pop Change for Maryland’s Jurisdictions, 2000-2003 & 2003-2006

40. Population Growth in the Upper & Lower Eastern Shore Regions, as a Pct of Statewide Growth, 1991-2006

41. Population Growth in the Eastern Shore Region & Washington County, as a Pct of Statewide Growth, 1991-2006

44. Net Migration Outflow from Baltimore County to Pennsylvania, 2000 - 2005 Source: Maryland Department of Planning, Planning Data Services, from IRS County-to-County Migration data

45. Net Migration Outflow From Carroll County to Pennsylvania, 2000 - 2005 Source: Maryland Department of Planning, Planning Data Services, from IRS County-to-County Migration data

46. Net Migration Outflow From Frederick County to Pennsylvania, 2000 - 2005 Source: Maryland Department of Planning, Planning Data Services, from IRS County-to-County Migration data

47. Net Migration Outflow From Frederick County To Washington Co., 2000 - 2005 Source: Maryland Department of Planning, Planning Data Services, from IRS County-to-County Migration data

48. Net Migration Inflow To Frederick Co. From Montgomery County, 2000 - 2005 Source: Maryland Department of Planning, Planning Data Services, from IRS County-to-County Migration data

49. Net Migration Inflow To Washington Co from Montgomery Co, 2000 - 2005 Source: Maryland Department of Planning, Planning Data Services, from IRS County-to-County Migration data

50. Net Migration Inflow To Cecil Co from Harford Co, 2000 - 2005 Source: Maryland Department of Planning, Planning Data Services, from IRS County-to-County Migration data

51. Population Change, 2000-2006, as a Percent of 1990-2000 Change

53. Summary Slower overall population growth in Maryland in last three years due to increasing net out migration Increasing out migration linked to decreasing relative economic vitality and higher housing prices Slower growth more apparent in central Maryland

54. Summary (cont.) Outlying areas with relatively lower housing prices have been the recipient of some of the displaced growth from central Maryland This has led to these outlying areas accounting for a greater share of statewide growth and in some cases to have surpassed the previous decade’s total growth