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Myanmar’s Peace Process Update Min Zaw Oo Washington D.C. March 25, 2015
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Ceasefires under the Tatmadaw Government Total number of armed groups that agreed ceasefire under the Tatmadaw government 40 Number of remaining ceasefire groups by 200925 Number of ceasefire groups that joined BGF5 Number of ceasefire groups that transformed into People Militia15 Number of ceasefire groups refused to join BGF and People Militia 5 Number of armed groups that the government currently recognizes as ‘dialogue partners’ 16
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Ceasefire Timeline 2011 (4)2012 (9)2013 (2) SepNovDecJanFebMarAprAugMay State-level Ceasefire UWSA DKB A RC SS ND AA CNFKNU SS PP KNU/ KNLA (PC) NMS P KNPPALP NSCN -K PNLOABSDFKIA
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ROAD MAP OF THE PEACE PROCESS Union Peace Accord and Implementation Union Peace Dialogue Framework for Political Dialogue Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement and Implementation
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INCIDENTS IN STATES AND REGIONS (JANUARY 2011– DECEMBER 2014 ) *Majority of incidents are in Kachin and Shan State
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Kachin State June 2011 to Dec 2013…………1450 clashes (47 clashes per month average) Jan to Dec 2014…………………….67 clashes (6 clashes per month average)
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CONFLICT AFFECTED TOWNSHIPS* (JANUARY 2011– DECEMBER 2014 ) * Both Government and Media Sources Before Ceasefire Initiatives (2011) N= 43 2014 N= 28
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NUMBER OF ARMED CONFLICT AFFECTED TOWNSHIPS ( JANUARY 2011 – DECEMBER 2014 )
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ALLEGED ILLEGAL ACTIVITIES ( JANUARY 2013 – DECEMBER 2014 )
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ALLEGED ILLEGAL ACTIVITIES CONFLICT IMPACTED TOWNSHIPS 2013 N=113 2014 N=93
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Summary of Nationwide Incidents by the Government (September 2012 – October 2013) Source : ND-Burma Report (AAPP, KWAT, CHRO, HURFOM, PWO, TSYO)
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NATIONWIDE CEASEFIRE AGREEMENT DRAFTING MEETINGS
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Thank You
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