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1 Measuring re-exports Jasper Roos CBS / Statistics Netherlands Unit International trade.

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Presentation on theme: "1 Measuring re-exports Jasper Roos CBS / Statistics Netherlands Unit International trade."— Presentation transcript:

1 1 Measuring re-exports Jasper Roos CBS / Statistics Netherlands Unit International trade

2 2 Re-exports vs domestic exports Difference in economic impact Role: Re-exports –Only distribution and / or trade Exports from domestic production –Also production

3 3 Re-exports Ways to define re-exports –Origin criteria –Value added –Change of goods - Description –Change of goods - Change of product code Decision: Change on 6-digit Harmonized System-code ? => no re-exports

4 4 Estimating re-exports (1) Supply and use tables P + M = C + I + IC + E

5 5 Estimating re-exports (1) Supply and use tables P + M = C + I + IC + E P + M = C + I + IC + E import + E prod.

6 6 Estimating re-exports (2) Statistical procedure Statistical procedure: –Additional variable in the Netherlands –Specification of the trade flow Gives underestimation –Unfamiliarity + discussion about the definition of re-exports –Companies sometimes are unable to tell the origin –No information for countries outside EU (customs)

7 7 Estimating re-exports (3) Comparison of import and export Value of exports ---------------------- < 2 Value of imports

8 8 Estimating re-exports (3) Comparison of import and export Value of exports ---------------------- re-exports Value of imports Else => some exports from domestic production Comparison by –6-digit HS-code –Company (preferable enterprise-group level)

9 9 Example (1) Time periodimportsexportsEstimated re-exports X

10 10 Example (1) Time periodimportsexportsEstimated re-exports X€ 900€ 300

11 11 Example (1) Time periodimportsexportsEstimated re-exports X€ 900€ 300

12 12 Example (2) Time periodimportsexportsEstimated re-exports Y

13 13 Example (2) Time periodimportsexportsEstimated re-exports Y€ 0€ 200

14 14 Example (2) Time periodimportsexportsEstimated re-exports Y€ 0€ 200€ 0

15 15 Example (3) Time periodimportsexportsEstimated re-exports Z

16 16 Example (3) Time periodimportsexportsEstimated re-exports Z€ 100€ 500

17 17 Example (3) Time periodimportsexportsEstimated re-exports Z€ 100€ 500€ 40

18 18 Example (4) Time periodimportsexportsEstimated re-exports April€ 900€ 300 May€ 0€ 200€ 0 June€ 100€ 500€ 40 2 nd quarter

19 19 Example (4) Time periodimportsexportsEstimated re-exports April€ 900€ 300 May€ 0€ 200€ 0 June€ 100€ 500€ 40 +++ 2 nd quarter€ 1000 € 340 (?)

20 20 Enhancements of the model Enhancements: –Profiling of the largest companies –Knowlegde of production structure –Statistical procedure

21 21 Results - Exported goods in 2005

22 22 Results - Destination of the exports in 2005

23 23 Results - Origin of the re-exports in 2005

24 24 Questions ?


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