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Published byRoderick Sutton Modified over 9 years ago
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1 Measuring re-exports Jasper Roos CBS / Statistics Netherlands Unit International trade
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2 Re-exports vs domestic exports Difference in economic impact Role: Re-exports –Only distribution and / or trade Exports from domestic production –Also production
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3 Re-exports Ways to define re-exports –Origin criteria –Value added –Change of goods - Description –Change of goods - Change of product code Decision: Change on 6-digit Harmonized System-code ? => no re-exports
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4 Estimating re-exports (1) Supply and use tables P + M = C + I + IC + E
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5 Estimating re-exports (1) Supply and use tables P + M = C + I + IC + E P + M = C + I + IC + E import + E prod.
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6 Estimating re-exports (2) Statistical procedure Statistical procedure: –Additional variable in the Netherlands –Specification of the trade flow Gives underestimation –Unfamiliarity + discussion about the definition of re-exports –Companies sometimes are unable to tell the origin –No information for countries outside EU (customs)
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7 Estimating re-exports (3) Comparison of import and export Value of exports ---------------------- < 2 Value of imports
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8 Estimating re-exports (3) Comparison of import and export Value of exports ---------------------- re-exports Value of imports Else => some exports from domestic production Comparison by –6-digit HS-code –Company (preferable enterprise-group level)
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9 Example (1) Time periodimportsexportsEstimated re-exports X
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10 Example (1) Time periodimportsexportsEstimated re-exports X€ 900€ 300
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11 Example (1) Time periodimportsexportsEstimated re-exports X€ 900€ 300
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12 Example (2) Time periodimportsexportsEstimated re-exports Y
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13 Example (2) Time periodimportsexportsEstimated re-exports Y€ 0€ 200
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14 Example (2) Time periodimportsexportsEstimated re-exports Y€ 0€ 200€ 0
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15 Example (3) Time periodimportsexportsEstimated re-exports Z
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16 Example (3) Time periodimportsexportsEstimated re-exports Z€ 100€ 500
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17 Example (3) Time periodimportsexportsEstimated re-exports Z€ 100€ 500€ 40
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18 Example (4) Time periodimportsexportsEstimated re-exports April€ 900€ 300 May€ 0€ 200€ 0 June€ 100€ 500€ 40 2 nd quarter
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19 Example (4) Time periodimportsexportsEstimated re-exports April€ 900€ 300 May€ 0€ 200€ 0 June€ 100€ 500€ 40 +++ 2 nd quarter€ 1000 € 340 (?)
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20 Enhancements of the model Enhancements: –Profiling of the largest companies –Knowlegde of production structure –Statistical procedure
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21 Results - Exported goods in 2005
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22 Results - Destination of the exports in 2005
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23 Results - Origin of the re-exports in 2005
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24 Questions ?
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