1. Theory of Change

2. Text and content copyright © 2014 Project Oracle. All rights reserved. How others in the sector see the value of creating and having a Theory of Change: 2 Theory of Change in practice

3. Text and content copyright © 2014 Project Oracle. All rights reserved. A practical model that allows you to articulate how you will achieve your aim, and what assumptions you are making, so you don’t have… 3 Theory of Change Activity Work with young people Magic Aim Reduce re-offending

4. Text and content copyright © 2014 Project Oracle. All rights reserved. Logic Model Shows project components and describes the project, including processes BUT doesn’t show HOW activities are expected to produce outcomes Theory of Change ALSO requires justifications at each step – HOW something will cause something else Explains the pathway of change 4 Theory of Change vs Logic Model

5. Text and content copyright © 2014 Project Oracle. All rights reserved. 5 Theory of Change: Essential Elements Assumptions Pathway Activities What you do Aim Outcomes The change or ‘impact’

6. Text and content copyright © 2014 Project Oracle. All rights reserved. Outcomes can be: immediate intermediate long term They should be: specific measurable: using language such as ‘greater’, ‘improved’ or ‘increased’ be phrased as if they have been achieved already Outcomes: so what?

7. Text and content copyright © 2014 Project Oracle. All rights reserved. SO THAT… chain Outcome 1 Outcome 2 Aim

8. Text and content copyright © 2014 Project Oracle. All rights reserved. 8 Session 4 Linking it all together…

9. Activities Aim Assumptions Outcomes Support accessing housing Mentoring by an ex-offender Increased number stable & safer environment Improved pro- social skills Reduced likelihood of gang activity Improved confidence Reduced likelihood of offending or re-offending Increased number have sustainable income Reduced dependency on negative peers for physical support Employability training & job application support Reduced dependency on negative peers for emotional support Increased number in permanent housing Increased number in employment Assumes ex-offender mentors are more likely to build a rapport with clients Assumes some housing is available in the borough Increased independence Increased ability to make positive life decisions Example: Reducing Youth Re-offending Project

10. Text and content copyright © 2014 Project Oracle. All rights reserved. 1. Basic information on your project 2. A Theory of Change for your project 3. An evaluation plan for your project Register and validate your project at: www.project-oracle.com www.project-oracle.com Deadlines: 1 st March, 1 st June, 1 st September and 1 st December 10 Standard 1 Validation: What’s required

11. Text and content copyright © 2014 Project Oracle. All rights reserved. 1. Further Training on Evaluation Planning & Tools… 2. Cohort Participation… 3. Events Contact us: Haile Warner Provider Lead 020 7148 6726 info@project-oracle.com Follow @Project_Oracle 11 How we can support you further…