1. WHO TURNED OUT IN THE 2014 MIDTERM ELECTION A P OST -E LECTION D EBRIEF Presented by

2. ABOUT NONPROFIT VOTE AND CIRCLE About Us Founded in 2005, Nonprofit VOTE partners with America's nonprofits to help the people they serve participate and vote. CIRCLE conducts research on young Americans’ voting and political participation, service, activism, media use, and other forms of civic engagement. Find out more about our mission and partners on our sites www.nonprofitvote.org, www.civicyouth.org

3. TODAY’S PRESENTERS Who Abby Kiesa Youth Coordinator and Researcher CIRCLE George Pillsbury Founder and Executive Director Nonprofit VOTE

4. Agenda

5. AGENDA Agenda 2014 Voter Turnout 2014 Share of the Vote Partisan Preference by Demographic Voters on the Issues Election Democracy Takeaways

6. 2014 VOTER TURNOUT

7. Voter Turnout Trend, Midterms and Presidential 1990-2014 VOTER TURNOUT TREND 2014 Turnout SOURCE: United States Election Project, Voter Turnout: http://www.electproject.org/home/voter-turnout/voter-turnout-data

8. TOP 5, BOTTOM 5 STATES 2014 Turnout SOURCE: United States Election Project, November 2014 General Election Turnout Rates: http://www.electproject.org/2014g Voter Turnout Trend, Midterms and Presidential 1990-2014

9. THE DRAG DOWN EFFECT 2014 Turnout Low Turnout in CA, NY & TX Drags Down Overall Turnout SOURCE: Nonprofit VOTE’s calculations, based on USEP data

10. 2014 SHARE OF THE VOTE

11. A poll of 19,441 Election Day voters and 2,800 absentee and early voters. WHAT IS THE NATIONAL ELECTION EXIT POLL? The Poll Conducted by Edison Research on behalf of major American news outlets a consortium of ABC News, Associated Press, CBS News, CNN, Fox News and NBC News SOURCE: New York Times, Election 2014, Exit Polls: http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2014/11/04/us/politics/2014- exit-polls.html SEE ALSO: Edison Research, National Exit Poll FAQs: http://www.edisonresearch.com/election-polling/#toggle-id-4

12. SHARE OF THE VOTE IN 2014 Share of The Vote SOURCE: CNN, House Full Results, Exit Polls: http://www.cnn.com/election/2014/results/race/house#

13. SHARE OF THE VOTE IN 2014 Share of The Vote SOURCE: CNN, House Full Results, Exit Polls: http://www.cnn.com/election/2014/results/race/house#

14. SHARE OF THE VOTE: 2014 VS. 2010 Share of the electorate was the same as 2010 across all demographics The young and diverse voters served by nonprofits voters of color, youth(18-29) and low income (<$50k) held steady when compared to 2010. African-Americans, Asian Americans and young voters did see a one point increase each in share of the electorate. Share of The Vote SOURCE: CNN, House Full Results, Exit Polls: http://www.cnn.com/election/2014/results/race/house#

15. LATINO SHARE OF THE VOTE IN 2014 Latinos were 8% of the voting electorate but 11% of eligible electorate Most competitive races for Senate and Governor were not in states with large Latino populations. Close to half of the Latino population lives in CA, NY and TX – among the least competitive with lowest turnout. Latinos are ten years younger than the U.S. median population Share of The Vote SOURCE: Pew Research Hispanic Trends Project, "Latino Voters and the 2014 Midterm Elections": http://www.pewhispanic.org/2014/10/16/latino-voters-and-the- 2014-midterm-elections/

16. Percentage Point Increase/Decrease asdf SHARE OF THE VOTE: 2014 vs. 2012 Share of The Vote SOURCE: Nonprofit VOTE calculations based on exit poll data

17. Share of Vote 2012 to 2014 for Under 40, Over 50 asdf UNDER 40 DROPOFF: 2012 TO 2014 Share of The Vote SOURCE: Nonprofit VOTE calculations base d on exit poll data

18. VOTER CONTACT IN THE MIDTERM Share of The Vote SOURCE: Latino Decisions and Asian American Decisions, Election Eve Polls : http://www.latinodecisions.com/2014-election-eve-poll/ http://asianamericandecisions.com/2014/11/06/asian-american- decisions-releases-2014-election-eve-poll-results-2/

19. 21.5% Estimated Youth Turnout, Comparable to Recent Midterm Years CIRCLE’s estimate of two-day-after youth turnout, is based on exit polls, the number of ballots counted, and demographic data from the US Census

20. www.civicyouth.org Youth Made up 13% of the Overall Electorate

21. Youth Turnout & Election Competitiveness

22. www.civicyouth.org High Profile Ballot Measures

23. Who Youth Voted For Nationally, 18-29 year olds preferred Democratic House candidates 54% to 43% (57% of youth voted for Democratic House candidates in 2010) Only age group where most of vote went for Democratic candidate in statewide races: Iowa (Senate), Louisiana (Senate), Wisconsin (Gov) Voted with other age groups: New Hampshire More youth voted Republican: Alaska and Arkansas Significant reduction in youth support from 2008: North Carolina and Virginia

24. PARTISAN PREFERENCE

25. 2010 to 2014: Partisan preferences were virtually the same as 2010 except people earning over $200,000 became more liberal 2012 to 2014: Most demographics became slightly more conservative in compared to 2012 by anywhere from 2 to 9 points. Partisan Preference SOURCE: CNN, House Full Results, Exit Polls: http://www.cnn.com/election/2014/results/race/house#

26. Most GOP and Most Dem by Demo OTHER PREFERENCE GAPS Partisan Preference SOURCE: Nonprofit VOTE calculations based on exit poll data

27. Partisan Split in 2014, Under 40, Over 50 YOUTH PREFERENCE Partisan Preference SOURCE: Nonprofit VOTE calculations based on exit poll data

28. VOTERS ON THE ISSUES

29. VOTERS WEIGH IN – NONPROFITS SUPPORT Ballot Measures Winning Ballot Measures 2014 Economic Security Increased the minimum wage in Alaska, Arkansas, Nebraska, and South Dakota. Voting Rights Protected Election Day voter registration in Montana. Rejected a sham early voting in Missouri. Reproductive Choice Defeating personhood amendments, protecting reproductive rights in Colorado and North Dakota.

30. CHANGING ISSUE PREFERENCES Percent Change from 2010 in Voter Rank as Important SOURCE: Nonprofit VOTE calculations based on exit poll data

31. CHANGING ISSUE PREFERENCES 2014 Partisan Split on Most Important Issues SOURCE: Nonprofit VOTE calculations based on exit poll data

32. ELECTION DEMOCRACY

33. Voter ID: Photo ID has public support, but overly strict laws create barriers. In Texas: # of registered voter up 700,000 since 2010 # of voters down 271,000 Redistricting: Only 66 of 435 House seats were competitive in 2014. RESTRICTIONS & CHALLENGES Election Democracy SOURCE: Cook Political Report: http://cookpolitical.com/house/charts/race-ratings

34. Online Voter Registration: 20 states have OVR 10 more since the last midterm Election Day Registration: 12 states have EDR Colorado, Connecticut and Illinois for the first time Used by 7 of the top 10 turnout states EXPANDING ACCESS & OPPORTUNITY Election Democracy SOURCE: National Conference of State Legislatures: http://www.ncsl.org/research/elections-and-campaigns.aspx

35. Close the age gap: Increase turnout of voters under 40 Take the “ground game” to public settings Modernize voting to match expectations Government is us. Close the partisan gap: No party should concede any demographic. Expand Democracy: Hold elected officials accountable Increase Competition: Nonpartisan Redistricting Commissions Keep Competing: In all 50 states TAKEAWAYS Takeaways

36. RESOURCES Resources

37. www.civicyouth.org

38. info@nonprofitvote.org 617.357.VOTE (8683) www.nonprofitvote.org Nonprofit VOTE 89 South Street Suite 203 Boston, MA 02111 George Pillsbury gpillsbury@nonprofitvote.org Abby Kiesa Abby.kiesa@tufts.edu