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The Automobile Era By the Numbers Norman W. Garrick Lecture 3.1 Sustainable Transportation.

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Presentation on theme: "The Automobile Era By the Numbers Norman W. Garrick Lecture 3.1 Sustainable Transportation."— Presentation transcript:

1 The Automobile Era By the Numbers Norman W. Garrick Lecture 3.1 Sustainable Transportation

2 1915 Model T http://www.seriouswheels.com/pics-1800-1919/1915-Ford-Model-T-b-nf.jpg Henry Ford did not invent the automobile or the assembly line. He did, however, change the world by using an assembly line technique to produce cars which could be afforded by everyone. From 1909 to 1927, the Ford Motor Company built more than 15 million Model T cars. Without a doubt, Henry Ford transformed the economic and social fabric of the 20th century. http://www.modelt.ca/background.html

3 http://www.uniquecarsandparts.com.au/images/car_info/large/ford_model_t_ad.jpg

4 What Issues of Sustainability are Associated with Increased VMT?

5 Vehicle Miles Traveled or The World After the Model T Ref for VMT ---- http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/statistics/2007/vmt421.cfm 1908 The Model T 1930s The Great Depression 1940-45 World War II 1956 Highway Bill 1973 First Oil Crisis 1979 Second Oil Crisis 1949 Housing Act 1992 ISTEA Post 2005 ???

6 Before-the-War After-the-War Ref for VMT ---- http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/statistics/2007/vmt421.cfm

7 3,000,000,000,000 miles per year 3 Trillion Miles How much fuel? At average fleet efficiency rate of 20 mpg we use 150,000,000,000 gallons of gasoline per year

8 150,000,000,000 gallons of gasoline per year What is the retail cost this gasoline? At an average cost of $4:00 per gallon We spend $600,000,000,000 on gasoline per year

9 $15,000,000,000,000 Gross Domestic Product of the USA Retail gasoline cost as a fraction of USA GDP? 4 out of every $100 4 %

10 % of GDP spent on Housing 24 % Healthcare 16 % Food 12 % Transportation 11% Education 7 %

11 VMT/day/capita Ref for Vehicle Data ---- http://www1.eere.energy.gov/vehiclesandfuels/facts/2007_fcvt_fotw474.html Ref for VMT ---- http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/statistics/2007/vmt421.cfm

12 VMT/capita in USA Peaked at 27.9 miles per day per capita in 2004 Deceased by 1.4 miles per day in 2008 – largest one year decrease ever in absolute terms In 1942 and 1943, VMT/capita decreased by over 20% in consecutive years In contrast the decrease in 2008 was only 5% The only times VMT/capita decreased was during i)The great depression of the 1930s, ii)World War II iii)The Oil Crisis of the 1970s, and iv)The recession of the early 1980s v)Now

13 VMT in USA is about 27 miles per day per person

14 VMT/capita/day Portland (OR) Metropolitan Area

15 VMT/capita versus GDP Ref: Millard-Ball, A and Schipper, L ‘Are We Reaching a Plateau or “Peak” Travel? Trends in Passenger Transportation in Six Industrialized Countries’, TRB Meeting 2010

16 Motor Vehicles/1000 in USA Ref for Vehicle Data ---- http://www1.eere.energy.gov/vehiclesandfuels/facts/2007_fcvt_fotw474.html Ref for VMT ---- http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/statistics/2007/vmt421.cfm China 1995 Western Europe China 2005 Africa 2005 Central and South America

17 Motor Vehicles/1000 USA versus China 2007 240 million vehicles in USA 28 million vehicles in China

18 Motor Vehicles/1000 China

19 Motor Vehicles in USA 800 per 1000 people

20

21 Motor Vehicles per 1000 The result of supply driven transportation in Zürich?

22 Total Number of Vehicles versus Population in USA 1900 to 2005 Ref for Vehicle Data ---- http://www1.eere.energy.gov/vehiclesandfuels/facts/2007_fcvt_fotw474.html Ref for VMT ---- http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/statistics/2007/vmt421.cfm

23 Vehicles versus VMT in USA 1900 to 2005 Ref for Vehicle Data ---- http://www1.eere.energy.gov/vehiclesandfuels/facts/2007_fcvt_fotw474.html Ref for VMT ---- http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/statistics/2007/vmt421.cfm

24 VMT per Vehicle in USA 1900 to 2005 Ref for Vehicle Data ---- http://www1.eere.energy.gov/vehiclesandfuels/facts/2007_fcvt_fotw474.html Ref for VMT ---- http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/statistics/2007/vmt421.cfm

25 Creating Automobility How did we go from 5 to 200 vehicles per 1000 in less that 20 years? This change required an enormous shift in how we lived and the structure of our cities. One battle ground in this revolution was our city streets. VMT/capita/dayVehicle per 1000

26 Before the advent of the automobile, the users of city streets were diverse and included children at play and pedestrians at large. By 1930, most streets were primarily motor thoroughfares where pedestrians were condemned as ‘jaywalkers.’ In Fighting Traffic, Peter Norton argues that to accommodate automobiles, the American city required not only a physical change but also a social one: before the city could be reconstructed for the sake of motorists, its streets had to be socially reconstructed as places where motorists belonged. It was not an evolution, but a bloody and sometimes violent revolution.


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