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Functions of the Traffic Manager

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Presentation on theme: "Functions of the Traffic Manager"— Presentation transcript:

1 Functions of the Traffic Manager
Rate Determination/Negotiation Mode Choice/Carrier Selection Documentation: Bill of Lading Freight Bill Loss & Damage Claims Vehicle Load Planning Determining Shortest Routes Managing the Private Fleet Handling Small Shipments Shipping Hazardous Materials Handling International Shipments Appearing Before Rate Bureaus, Commissions, and Courts Planning/Evaluation

2 Functions of the Traffic Manager
Rate Determination/Negotiation Mode Choice/Carrier Selection Documentation: Bill of Lading Freight Bill Loss & Damage Claims Vehicle Load Planning Determining Shortest Routes Managing the Private Fleet Handling Small Shipments Shipping Hazardous Materials Handling International Shipments Appearing Before Rate Bureaus, Commissions, and Courts Planning/Evaluation

3 Rate Determination/Negotiation
FOB vs Delivered Pricing Value of Service/Differential Pricing Optimal Pricing Factors that Affect Rates Weight Breaks Rate Negotiation

4 FOB vs Delivered Pricing
Free on Board FOB Origin (Buyer Owns Goods in Transit) FOB Destination (Seller Owns Goods in Transit) Prepaid vs Collect/Allowed vs Charged Back Delivered Pricing Seller Retains Ownership in Transit Seller Arranges Transportation Seller Files Freight Claims Average Transportation Market Expansion Phantom Freight Freight Absorption

5 . FOB vs Delivered Pricing FOB Plant= $10/cwt Rate to C2 = $4/cwt
Delivered Price to all = $13/cwt . C1 C2 C1 pays more than fob C2 is subsidized

6 Forms of FOB Pricing FOB Destination, Freight Allowed:
Buyer is allowed to deduct the freight charges from the invoice. FOB Origin, Charged Back: Seller is allowed to add freight charges to the invoice. FOB Destination, Collect and Allowed: Buyer pays freight but deducts it from the invoice. FOB Origin, Prepaid and Charged Back: Seller pays the fright but adds it to the invoice.

7 Value of Service/Differential Pricing
What is it? Why Use it? High Fixed Costs Excess Capacity Opportunity Competition When is it Profitable? When Above Full Cost When Below Full Cost If: Above Variable Cost Elastic Demand

8 Value of Service/Differential Pricing
Unwise Truck Lines The Unwise Truck Lines Company operates five pieces of equipment daily over five routes with end points in common. The company just hired a new comptroller who is studying the profitability in order to determine which, if any, of the routes are not covering full costs, and, thus, not contributing to profits. He found that each route incurred $500 per day in variable operating expenses and earned the following revenue per day: Route 1 = $1,440; Route 2 = 1,220; Route 3 = 960; Route 4 = 800; Route 5 = 640. The new comptroller has stated that any route showing a loss after variable costs and a prorated share of overhead will be eliminated. Presently, the daily overhead is $1,500, or $300 per route. If any run is eliminated, overhead will decline by $50. Equipment will be sold to payoff any outstanding debt.

9 Value of Service/Differential Pricing
Unwise Truck Lines Should any routes be eliminated? Revenue Variable Over- Route per Run Cost/Run Gross head Net 1 1,440 (500) (300) 2 1,120 (500) (300) (500) (300) (500) (300) (500) (300) (160.00)

10 Value of Service/Differential Pricing
Unwise Truck Lines Eliminate Route 5  Revenue Variable Over- Route per Run Cost/Run Gross head Net 1 1,440 (500) (300) 2 1,120 (500) (300) (500) (300) (500) (300) (500) (300) (160.00)

11 Value of Service/Differential Pricing
Unwise Truck Lines Eliminate Route 4  Revenue Variable Over- Route per Run Cost/Run Gross head Net 1 1,440 (500) (362.50) 2 1,120 (500) (362.50) 3 960 (500) (362.50) 4 800 (500) (362.50) (62.50)

12 Value of Service/Differential Pricing
Unwise Truck Lines  Eliminate Route 3 Revenue Variable Over- Route per Run Cost/Run Gross head Net 1 1,440 (500) (466.67) 2 1,120 (500) (466.67) (500) (466.67) (6.67)

13 Value of Service/Differential Pricing
Unwise Truck Lines Eliminate Route 2 Revenue Variable Over- Route per Run Cost/Run Gross head Net 1 1,440 (500) (675.00) 2 1,120 (500) (675.00) (55.00)

14 Value of Service/Differential Pricing
Unwise Truck Lines Eliminate Route 1 Revenue Variable Over- Route per Run Cost/Run Gross head Net 1 1,440 (500) (1,300) (360.00)

15 Price Elasticity of Demand
Elasticity = Response in Quantity Sold to a Change in Price Q % P E = = 1 = Unitary Elasticity > 1 = Elastic < 1 = Inelastic

16 Price Elasticity of Demand
Inelastic Unitary P Q

17 Price Elasticity of Demand
Changing Prices Increase price in an elastic market and decrease revenue Decrease in price in an elastic market and increase revenue Increase in price in an inelastic market and increase revenue Decrease in price in an inelastic market and decrease revenue

18 Optimal Pricing To Maximize Profit:
Price Where Marginal Cost Equals Marginal Revenue Which Financial Statement has Marginal Cost? Which Financial Statement has Marginal Revenue?

19 $ Optimal Pricing Optimal Pricing 8 Maximizing Revenue Inelastic Range
* Elastic Range Revenue Curve Price Zero Price, Large Q, 0* = 0 High Price, Zero Q, P*0 = 0 8

20 Optimal Pricing Profit = Revenue - Cost (p = R - C) Revenue = Price * Quantity (R = P * Q) Cost = Fixed Cost + Variable Cost * Q (C = F + VQ) Quantity = a + bP (Q = a + bP) (p = R - C) (R = P * Q) (C = F + VQ) (Q = a + bP)

21 General Form of a Straight Line
Optimal Pricing General Form of a Straight Line (Quantity Sold is Dependent upon Price) Y Y = a + bX b (Slope) Intercept a X

22 General Form of a Straight Line
Optimal Pricing General Form of a Straight Line (Quantity Sold is Dependent upon Price) Q Q = a + bP b (Slope) Intercept a P

23 General Form of a Straight Line
Optimal Pricing General Form of a Straight Line (Quantity Sold is Dependent upon Price) Q = a + bP However, the slope (b) is probably negative, but that must be determined)

24 p = [P(a + bP) - (F + V(a + bP))] p = [aP + bP2 - (F + aV + bVP)]
Optimal Pricing p = [PQ - (F + VQ)] Q = a + bP p = [P(a + bP) - (F + V(a + bP))] p = [aP + bP2 - (F + aV + bVP)] p = aP + bP2 - F - aV - bVP To maximize Profit, set 1st derivative = zero, solve for P

25 p = aP + bP2 - F - aV - bVP p' = [aP + bP2 - F - aV - bVP]
Optimal Pricing p = aP + bP2 - F - aV - bVP First Derivative = p' = [aP + bP2 - F - aV - bVP] To maximize Profit, set 1st derivative = zero, solve for P p' = a + 2bP - bV = 0 2bP = -a + bV -a V + 2b 2 P* =

26 $ Optimal Pricing Profit = aP + bP2 - F - aV - bVP Profit Curve
* Slope = Zero Slope Positive Slope Negative Price

27 What does Theory Explain?
Optimal Pricing What does Theory Explain? -a V + 2b 2 P* = What happened to Fixed Costs? Relate this to Differential Pricing. Are Fixed Costs relevant? -a/2b = price that will maximize revenue (check back in derivation). Add half your variable costs (or anything), and you are in the elastic range. Relate to Differential Pricing. Lower price to expand revenue, “only if demand is elastic.”

28 Factors that Affect Rates
Cost Related   Commodity Factors Route Factors    Demand Related

29 Factors that Affect Rates
Cost Related Commodity Factors Loading Characteristics Susceptibility to Loss and Damage Volume of Traffic Regularity of Movement Equipment Requirements Route Factors Distance Operating Conditions Traffic Density Backhaul

30 Factors that Affect Rates
Demand Related  Commodity Factors Value of Commodity Economic Conditions of User Industry Competing Rates Route Factors Competition with Other Carriers Competition in Shipper Industry Competition in Receiver Industry Traffic Density

31 $ Weight Breaks A point of indifference between a given rate
and a rate charged for a larger volume TL LTL Volume $

32 Weight Breaks TL * MW = LTL * X Example: TL = $8.00/cwt MW = 40,000
X = 160 or 16,000 lbs If shipment is less than 16,000 lbs, ship LTL If shipment is over 16,000 lbs, ship TL as full TL (40,000lbs)

33 Rate Negotiation New Business Threat of Loss of Old Business
Rule of Analogy (Protests) Bases of Power Reward Coercive Legitimate Referent Expert Know the Cost of Your Next Best Alternative

34 Functions of the Traffic Manager
Rate Determination/Negotiation Mode Choice/Carrier Selection Documentation: Bill of Lading Freight Bill Loss & Damage Claims Vehicle Load Planning Determining Shortest Routes Managing the Private Fleet Handling Small Shipments Shipping Hazardous Materials Handling International Shipments Appearing Before Rate Bureaus, Commissions, and Courts Planning/Evaluation

35 Carrier Selection Available Modes Selection Criteria Carrier Competition Total Cost

36 Available Modes Motor Carriers ‑ Express, LTL, TL, Contract, Private, Exempt Railroads ‑ Carload, Unit Train, TOFC/COFC, Contract, Private Airlines ‑ Express, All Cargo, Combination, Private Water Carriers ‑ Trades, Barge, Private, LASH, RORO Pipelines ‑ Crude, Products, Private Intermediaries - Brokers, Freight Forwarders, Shipper Assn, IMC, 3PL

37 Carrier Selection Available Modes Selection Criteria Carrier Competition Total Cost

38 Carrier Selection Criteria
Importance Selection Criteria Score Rank Transit Time Reliability/Consistency Door to Door Transport Rates/Cost Total Door to Door Transit Time Willingness to Negotiate Rates Financial Stability of Carrier Equipment Availability Frequency of Service Pickup and Delivery Service Freight Loss and Damage Shipment Expediting

39 Carrier Selection Criteria
(Continued) Importance Selection Criteria Score Rank Quality of Operating Personnel Shipment Tracing Willingness to Negotiate Services Scheduling Flexibility Line Haul Service Claims Processing Quality of Carrier Salesmanship Specialized Equipment

40 Carrier Selection Available Modes Selection Criteria Carrier Competition Total Cost

41 $ Carrier Competition Distance MC RR
RR= Higher Fixed Costs, Lower Variable Costs MC= Lower Fixed Costs, Higher Variable Costs

42 Motor Carrier Competition
Basic Competition Express Carriers: Traditionally restricted to shipments under 150 lbs LTL: Defined by the ICC as shipments up to 10,000 lbs TL: Full truckloads of 40,000 lbs Actually a lot of competition between segments

43 Motor Carrier Competition
Express vs LTL Small shipments are a problem of long standing. Express Carriers do well with shipments under 150 lbs. LTL does well with shipments over 500 lbs. Shipments between 150 lbs and 500 lbs are a problem. FedEx and UPS moving into LTL, but not set up for it.

44 ~ $ Motor Carrier Competition ? Express vs LTL Express LTL 150 lbs
LTL Market Express Market 500 lbs ? 6k k Volume ~ Express vs LTL

45 Motor Carrier Competition
Express vs LTL Small Shipment Specialists (SSS)? Opportunities for new carriers with specialized equipment? Focus on shipments form 150 to 500 lbs? Focus on service?

46 ~ $ Motor Carrier Competition ? Express vs LTL Express LTL 150 lbs
LTL Market Express Market 500 lbs ? 6k k Volume SSS* ~ Express vs LTL

47 Motor Carrier Competition
LTL vs TL LTL vs TL Weight Breaks Between Modes Many traffic managers use TL for shipments of 6K to 10K Some competition between LTL and TL, but also a gap in service: LTL prefers 1,000-5,000 lbs; TL will try to re-sell the capacity remaining.

48 $ Motor Carrier Competition LTL vs TL Weight Breaks
A point of indifference between a given rate and a rate charged for a larger volume TL LTL Volume $ V*

49 Motor Carrier Competition
LTL vs TL Weight Break Example TL Cost[1] = LTL rate * Volume (V) Ship 6,000 lbs from Fayetteville, AR to Phoenix, AZ (1,200 Miles) Actual Rate via ABF = 60.58; with 60% Discount = $24.23/cwt TL Cost = $1.25/Mile * 1,200 Miles = $1,500.00 LTL rate for 5,000 to 10,000 lbs = $25.00/cwt $1,500 = * V 1,500/25.00 = V V = 6,000 lbs If shipment is less than 6,000 lbs, ship LTL If shipment is over 6,000 lbs, ship TL (pay for the entire truck) [1] TL Volume at 40,000 lbs

50 ~ $ Motor Carrier Competition ? LTL vs TL TL LTL 150 lbs LTL Market
6k k Volume ~ LTL vs TL

51 Motor Carrier Competition
LTL vs TL LSS = Large Shipment Specialists Opportunities for new carriers with sophisticated information systems? Jevic, Holland – Others? Carriers that handle large LTL shipments (i.e., 6k to 20k) like TL carriers (i.e., door-to-door, without terminals). Role of Density? Role of Intermodal? Role of Information?

52 ~ $ Motor Carrier Competition ? LTL vs TL 6k 10k Volume 150 lbs
TL Market 500 lbs LTL ? LTL Market *LSS = Large Shipment Specialists ~ LTL vs TL LSS* TL

53 ~ $ Motor Carrier Competition ??? Express TL 150 lbs 500 lbs SSS
6k k Volume LTL LSS $ ???

54 Motor Carrier Competition
What will the industry look like in the future? New forms of competition? or Mega Carriers Providing Service to all Segments?

55 Carrier Selection Available Modes Selection Criteria Carrier Competition Total Cost


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