1. INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Mar 2011 MIPIM 2011 Cannes Gaëtan Siew UIA Imm P President GLOBALTRENDS GLOBAL TRENDS “It is not a matter of predicting the future, but of being prepared for it” Pericles (500-429 BC) Greek politician and commander

2. Key Points 1.The World World of Contrasts Urban World Mobile world Refuge Blocks Global players Global issues /Crisis Global Imbalances 2.Global Trends Mobility Digital Era Identity –Culture 3.Lessons ? Innovate. Integrate.Inspire Global Trends INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS

3. A World of Contrasts INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Sao Paulo, Brazil North – Old and Rich South – Young and Poor South 90% < 25 years old Jodhpur, India Rich/poor Knowledge Digital fracture Brain drain/Mobility Competing Cities Digital fracture 6,5 billions population 5,2 billions mobiles 4,5 billions radios 3,5 billions tv 1,6 billion computers 0,5 b Facebook

4. An Urban World INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS The World 2007 : > 50% urban population Monster or sustainable cities ? + 3 b people in South Cities by 2050 500 000 slum dwellers /month Sao Paulo, Brazil An Urban World Population m Tokyo 35.2 Jakarta 22,0 Bombay 21,2 Delhi 21,0 Manila 20,8 New York 20,6 Sao Paulo 20,2 Seoul 19,9 Mexico 18,7 Shanghai 18.4 Cairo 17,3 GUP b € Tokyo 1 191 New York 1 133 Los Angeles 639 Paris 460 Chicago 460 Londres 452 Osaka-Kobe 341 Mexico 315 Philadelphia 312 Washington 299

5. A World of mobility INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS 6 % The world Population – 2008 2020 : 15% of EU population from Africa Delocalisation v/s immigration Climate refugees Mass tourism Retired living 2 summers Expats for Creative cities Nomades, Mali A Mobile World People – Ideas - Goods Hanoi, Vietnam

6. A World of refuge blocks INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Diversity Regionalisation By Region By Culture By Trade By Geopolitics

7. INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Emerging nations BRICS + CIVETS 2008 : FDI 65 000 billions US$ Networks Power Multinationals World Finance Civil Society NGOs A World of Global Players Global Entreprises Exxon – BP – Toyota - Nokia Vectors of norms New kind of economy based on networks New principlesNew principles New ways of creating valuesNew ways of creating values

8. A World of Global Issues and Crisis INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Climate Change Cultural Diversity Economic Crisis Food crisis Land ownership CO2 Emissions tons/person Qatar48.3 Bahrein27.0 Emirates25.9 Koweit25.7 Luxembourg23.6 Climate refugees Bangladesh Abandoned city Texas, USA

9. Global Trends Technological progress Global imbalances Health and Pandemias Increasing Mobility Environment Decline Identity v/s Globalisatio Identity v/s Globalisation INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS

10. Specific Trends for the Trade Asymmetrical Market Sustainability Opportunities Retired population market Mass Tourism Cultural projects INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Louvre Abu Dhabi

11. MOBILITY - PIG : People – Ideas - Goods Global Trends : MOBILITY - PIG : People – Ideas - Goods Mobility Air Travel Intermodal container Cyberspace Global hubs INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Choking cities Jakarta – Up to 10h/day India - $6b/year Bogota TransMilenio 400km by 2012 Curitiba – 1100 km : 2m pax 2015: 600 m living 2 summers 2020: 1,6 b tourists2010: $ 460 b remittance - 230 m people HNI : with nomad tools Urban mobility Management models MIT + Singapore

12. Digital Era Death of distance? Mobility accelerator New organisation of space INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Increased productivity/efficiency Online database Health identifier Distance learning Exchange accelerator Mobile meteo for farmers in Africa Internet / Facebook revolution Wikileaks : Big brother II DIGITAL ERA Global Trends : DIGITAL ERA

13. Identity - Culture INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS March 2011 Rio carnival Rio carnival Francophony day Francophony day Haiku – World Poetry Day Haiku – World Poetry Day IDENTITY - CULTURE Global Trends : IDENTITY - CULTURE Bilbao Singapore –National Art Gallery Hybrid/Fusion = Innovation

14. Lessons ? INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Think outside the box New Model Connecting mobilities, affinities, identities, languages Understanding a globalized, integrated, collaborative world Sharing new mobility (knowledge/resources) Designing necessity into beauty

15. Shi Shei Gratias Obrigado Merci Spasiba Thank you Shoukran INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Gaëtan Siew Imm P President