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IPTV Research James Heath Research Director Dittberner Associates Inc. 4641 Montgomery Avenue Bethesda MD 20814 USA Toll Free: 1 888 652 8382 Tel: 301 652 8350 Fax: 301 657 8084 www.dittberner.comwww.dittberner.com info@dittberner.cominfo@dittberner.com
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Dittberner’s Associates, Inc © 2005 Dittberner Associates, Inc. 2 Dittberner’s Research KnowledgeBases One-Stop Source for Tracking Technology Innovation In business for 40 years! Dittberner’s Technology KnowledgeBases are the distinctive reference source for world class, carrier grade next generation system offerings and solutions. Unique monitoring service comes equipped with powerful web-based tools for instant, accurate and dependable answers. Customers include: Sprint, France Telecom, Deutsche Telecom, NTT, Vodacom, Saudi Arabia Telecom Cisco, Huawei, Siemens.
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Dittberner’s Associates, Inc © 2005 Dittberner Associates, Inc. 3 Technology Areas Covered NGN / IMS Solutions; Security Technologies (VPN, Biometrics, PKI, contingency planning) OSS/BSS; Digital Switching; Optical Switching; xDSL; Fiber Deployments (FTTx); Multi Service Switches / HS Routers; Wireless Fixed Mobile Convergence We also offer strategic market consulting and customized research in all of the above areas.
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Dittberner’s Associates, Inc © 2005 Dittberner Associates, Inc. 4 IPTV Research Report “IPTV Impact on Public Networks 2006-2013” Technology Review Bottom Up Forecast Activity in 77 National Markets Network Models described Service Provider Case Studies Equipment Supplier Reviews
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Dittberner’s Associates, Inc © 2005 Dittberner Associates, Inc. 5 IPTV Research Results Case 1: Ninety channels of SDTV, no channels of HDTV, each VoD bandwidth is 3 Mbps and VoD peak usage is 2% of TVs. Case 2: Same as Case 1, but with assumption that peak VoD usage is double, or 4% of TVs Case 3: Same as Case 1, but with 300 SDTV channels pushed out to the DSLAM Case 4: Same as Case 1 but with an additional 100 HDTV broadcast channels being pushed out to the DSLAM. Case 5: Same as Case 4 but with the average VoD bandwidth being 6.5Mbps instead of 3 Mbps Effect of Bandwidth Demand on Equipment Revenue in 2013
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Dittberner’s Associates, Inc © 2005 Dittberner Associates, Inc. 6 IPTV Research Conclusions IPTV Takeup will Be Slow 53 Million Subscribers to Telco TV by 2013. Incremental Cost per Subscriber is Low VDSL Incremental Cost $560* FTTH Incremental Cost $383* Service Provider Incremental Revenue is Low $14 B in 2013 * Includes network equipment upgrade, STB, Headend, Middleware, DRM, and Content
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