1. Superstorm Sandy at the Jacques Cousteau National Estuarine Research Reserve (JCNERR) Gregg P. Sakowicz Jacques Cousteau National Estuarine Research Reserve NERRS Technician Training Workshop 12-14 February 2013

3. Superstorm Sandy Landfall Monday October 29 th, 2012 at 7PM in Atlantic City, NJ. Second-largest Atlantic tropical cyclone on record (Hurricane Olga set the record in 2001) Strengthened under –PNA Took a very atypical path due to a strong –NAO

4. PNA (Pacific/North American Teleconnection Pattern) Associated with the strength and location of the East Asian Jet Stream Affects movement of weather systems and development of tropical systems

5. +PNA (exaggerated for illustrative purposes) Cold air tropical development hindered H

6. -PNA (exaggerated for illustrative purposes) Warm air tropical development supported L

7. Image credit: NOAA Climate Prediction Center

8. North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) Controls strength and direction of Westerly winds and storm tracks across North Atlantic +NAO leads to increased westerly winds, Arctic air corralled at high latitudes -NAO suppresses westerly winds, causes Jet Stream to meander, and sets up conditions for a “blocking high” over Greenland

9. +NAO (exaggerated for illustrative purposes) systems move quickly, offshore Bermuda High

10. -NAO (exaggerated for illustrative purposes) systems pushed towards coast and strengthen Blocking High

11. How did the PNA and NAO interact with Sandy? A -PNA set up conditions for tropical development Conditions associated with -NAO blocked escape and pushed her towards the Eastern Seaboard

13. Hurricane vs. Superstorm Designation Hurricane Sandy (Cat 1) hybridized with a Nor’easter developing over the Northeastern seaboard and went “extratropical” – “Warm core” vs. “cold core” – Similar mechanism as 1991 “Perfect Storm” Despite this reclassification, barometric pressure (940mmHg) was characteristic of a Category 3 or 4 hurricane Winds did not significantly weaken and storm actually grew before making landfall

14. Why Was Damage So Severe? Size of storm maximized surge Track of storm maximized surge Maximum surge arrived with high-tide under full moon Pressure-driven storm surge magnified by low bp Debris and jetsam caused mechanical damage Over-confidence (“The Irene-effect”) Declassification confused public and officials

16. Why Was Damage So Severe? (continued) Rain runoff stacked more water on top of surge in bays Wind strength created significant waves even in sheltered waters Wind-shift to SSW after eye passage drove water into bayside communities and South-facing corners and coves in bays Etc. etc. etc. Call to evacuate was delayed (in my opinion)

17. NOAA’s GFS model vs. the others

18. Sandy in the JCNERR As seen through SWMP (System-Wide Monitoring Program)

21. Nacote Creek Weather Station The NC weather station captured Sandy’s effects and survived the storm Recorded barometric pressure of 946mmHg Peak wind speed of 25.6m/s (57.3mph) Rainfall high in SNJ, less northward

24. Wind Speed

25. Four days Rainfall

26. Four days Rainfall = 138.2 mm = 125.0 mm

27. Water-Quality Stations All 4 station datasondes survived(ish) the storm Telemetry at B6 transmitted data live through the event Telemetry station at NE was lost

32. Water Quality Stations Sandy’s surge stacked the following water ON TOP OF the already-high tides at each station: –Buoy 126: 1.3m (4.3ft.) –Buoy 139: 1.2m (3.9ft.) –Chestnut Neck:1.3m (4.3ft.) –Lower Bank:2.0m (6.6ft.) (All values approximate)

37. How did the JCNERR Fair? Relatively natural system - Populated areas in striking contrast vs. natural Storm surge protected marsh surface Hard, vertical features and structures bore brunt of impact Some bank erosion and habitat loss Underwater effects yet to be studied

38. RUMFS

43. Holgate & Forsythe Reserve

44. Holgate & Forsythe Reserve

45. Holgate & Forsythe Reserve

46. Little Beach

48. Parson’s Clam Hatchery

50. Tuckerton Cove

52. Future Work Analysis of Satellite and LiDAR imagery

53. Future Work

56. In Summary Preliminary assessment of the reserve is favorable The JCNERR’s SWMP stations captured Sandy as intended* Data will be useful in studies examining how the environment and organisms recover from this event Data are comparable to that collected at other NERRs Data are available for download at www.nerrsdata.orgwww.nerrsdata.org