2. The Tragedy of the Commons Belongs to a Class of Problems that have no Technical Solutions The Nuclear Arms Race Human Population Growth

3. The Tragedy of the Commons Background: What Shall We Maximize? Thomas Malthus on Population Growth Jeremy Bentham: Greatest Good for the Greatest Number Adam Smith: The Invisible Hand

4. Thomas Malthus: Unlimited Growth Unlimited Population Growth Based on the Exponential Equation

5. Limited Population Growth Based on the Logistic Equation Pierre Francois Verhulst: Limited Growth

6. rate of change = The Logistic Equation N = Population Size R = Reproductive Capacity of the Species K = Carrying Capacity of the Ecosystem

7. Multiple “Steady States” Possible with the Logistic Equation Pierre Francois Verhulst: Limited Growth Multiple “Steady States” Possible with the Logistic Equation

8. The optimum population is less than the maximum possible population. But: “The difficulty of defining the optimum is enormous…”

9. Tragedy of Freedom in a Commons Pasture Example (the village green) Grazing Example (the wide open west) “Inexhaustible” Resources of the Ocean

10. Tragedy of Freedom in a Commons Pasture Example (the village green) What are the benefits and costs to me of adding one more animal to my herd? Benefit: I get all the biomass generated by that animal Costs: The village green is degraded a bit, but that cost is shared by all other animal owners

11. Tragedy of Freedom in a Commons Oceans Example (fisheries) What are the benefits and costs to me of taking yet more fish from a stressed population? Benefit: I get all the biomass generated by those fish. Costs: The fish population is further degraded, but that degradation is shared by all my competitors.

12. Pollution A Commons Can Absorb the Pollution of a Small Population, but Not of a Large One.

13. Bottom Line Use of a Commons Involves: Privatization of Profit; Socialization of Costs

14. Bottom Line Use of a Commons Involves: Privatization of Benefits Socialization of Risks

15. Legislating Temperance Morality is System-Sensitive Prohibition (“Thou Shalt Not…”) is Easy Legislating Temperance is Difficult

16. Freedom to Breed is Intolerable ????????

17. To couple the concept of freedom to breed with the belief that everyone born has an equal right to the commons is to lock the world into a tragic course of action.

18. Freedom to Breed is Intolerable

21. Conscience is Self-Eliminating and Pathogenic The genes of those with the conscience to restrict their uses of the Commons or to restrict their breeding will sooner (themselves) or later (their lack of offspring) be eliminated from the population.

22. Mutual Coercion Mutually Agreed Upon We institute … taxes and other coercive devices to escape the horror of the Commons

23. Recognition of Necessity The Commons is justifiable only under conditions of low population density Injustice is preferably to total ruin Freedom is the recognition of necessity (Hardin Quoting Hegel)

24. Tragedy of the Anticommons The existence of numerous rights-holders impedes the attainment of a socially desirable outcome Patents Permits Biodiversity Access

25. The Ingredients for Avoiding a Tragedy of the Commons: Elinor Ostrom 1. The nature of the resource 2. Recognition of resource depletion 3. Nature of the community: “Small and stable populations with a thick social network and social norms promoting conservation do better”

26. The Bermuda Fisheries: A Tragedy of the Commons Averted? James Butler James Burnett-Herkes John Barnes Jack Ward

27. Where?

31. The Bermuda Fisheries: A Tragedy of the Commons Averted? Background: 1. A Problem Perceived 2.A Study Undertaken 3. A Policy Changed

32. The Ingredients for A Tragedy of the Commons

33. The Ingredients for Avoiding a Tragedy of the Commons: Elinor Ostrom 1. The nature of the resource 2. Recognition of resource depletion 3. Nature of the community: “Small and stable populations with a thick social network and social norms promoting conservation do better”

34. Prior to 1970: Resource was in excess of the demand. A “Commons” use of the resource seemed OK. Policy was to increase fisheries activity. In 1975: Policy was to “exploit the harvestable resources to their maximum sustainable levels”

39. Parrotfish Snapper Grouper

40. x x X Hamlet o o o o

42. 1980 and 1984 attempts to regulate the use of fish pots, but problems remained: Pots were too indiscriminately efficient Pot fishery was too difficult to police Fishermen used more pots than they were allotted - and tagged their illegal pots with other fisher’s names! Fishermen took other fisher’s pots

44. 1980 and 1984 attempts to regulate the use of fish pots, but problems remained: Pots were too indiscriminately efficient Pot fishery was too difficult to police Fishermen used more pots than they were allotted - and tagged their illegal pots with other fisher’s names! Fishermen took other fisher’s pots

45. I. Reporting and Measurement Issues “I Fish, Therefore I Lie”

46. 1980s: A growth in the use of the resource by other economic interests. Tourism: Scuba, Snorkel, Glass-Bottom Boat Charter fishermen found their interests aligned more with tourism than with commercial fishing

47. 1990:Anne Cartwright DeCouto moves the Fish Pot Ban through Parliament Fish Pots redeemed by the government for substantial cash compensation 1991 and beyond: Fish Pot ban to be permanent Reef fishery goal to be “obtaining the maximum yield of fish consistent with the conservation of resources for other users." In short, “Fish to well below the MSY”

50. The Bermuda Example of Averting a “Tragedy of the Commons” Made possible by a fortuitous set of circumstances: A. Affluence B. Isolation C. Changing Economic Interests D. An Advantageous Political Environment

51. The Ingredients for Avoiding a Tragedy of the Commons: Elinor Ostrom 1. The nature of the resource 2. Recognition of resource depletion 3. Nature of the community: “Small and stable populations with a thick social network and social norms promoting conservation do better”

52. Garrett Hardin: Summary and Epilogue He was a controversial misanthrope, and he loved it: A. Right-wing ideologues hated him because of his ideas on population control - he promoted contraception and abortion. B. Left-wing ideologues hated him because of his “lifeboat” mentality - he favoured strict controls on immigration, and opposed humanitarian foreign aid. C. He did his part to reduce human population.

53. Pioneering professor, wife die in apparent double suicide by Scott Steepleton September 18, 2003 Garrett James Hardin, a pioneer in the field of population's effect on Earth, died over the weekend along with his wife in an apparent double suicide. The bodies of Mr. Hardin and his wife, Jane, were found inside their Santa Barbara home Sunday. Mr. Hardin was a professor emeritus at UCSB whose groundbreaking 1968 essay "The Tragedy of the Commons" put forth the notion that human misery would increase greatly without the recognition that livable space on Earth is finite.