1. Your guide to a world of Opportunities #globalopportunity

2. 1.What it is 2.Why we make it – and who ”we” are 3.How we make it – and why this is important 4.How to use the report 5.5 Risks – 15 Opportunities 6.Main findings – Introducing the opportunity manager Global Opportunity Report

3. What it is

4. Criteria for risks: -Of global importance -Actionable -Timely -Uncertainty is low – real challenge An investigation of five of the most important risks facing societies today What it is

5. Criteria for opportunities: -Addresses the risk -Opportunities for society first -Sustainable By uncovering the opportunities they also present What it is

6. Insights: -How optimistic are different regions/age groups/sectors about our ability to seize the opportunities -Which opportunities represent the preferred strategy choice for addressing the risks in regions/sectors etc. -From both a society and a business perspective What it is …and testing these against the people we need to engage in a transition to a safe and sustainable future – private businesses

7. What it is BUT, it is also: a demonstration of the Opportunity Mindset – a collaborative process designed to provide insights that facilitate action

8. Why we make it

9. Who “we” are – Three principal partners

10. “In human decision-making, losses loom larger than gains.” — Kahneman & Tversky

11. If, faced with risk, we are hesitant to take the first step – what then, can make us take a big leap?

12. Why we make it

14. 1.A positive mindset and narrative 2.A collaborative process engaging stakeholders and experts  To motivate and inspire collaborative action on some of the greatest challenges ahead – by offering: Why we make it

15. How we make it

16. 5 Risks

17. 8 Panels 5 Risks8 Panels

18. 5 Risks8 Panels15 Opportunities

19. 5 Risks8 Panels15 Opportunities120 Solutions

20. 6,160 private and public sector leaders 5 Risks8 Panels15 Opportunities120 Solutions 6,160 private and public sector leaders

21. 5 Risks8 Panels15 Opportunities120 Solutions 6,160 private and public sector leaders Global Opportunity Report

22. 5 Risks8 Panels15 Opportunities120 Solutions 6,160 private and public sector leaders Global Opportunity Report Collaborative Innovation Platform

23. How we make it Circular Process

24. How to use the report

25. Introduction

26. How to use the report Introduction

27. How to use the report Introduction

28. How to use the report Survey Results – Global

29. How to use the report Survey Results – Regional

30. How to use the report Demographic cross sections

31. How to use the report Business Sector results

32. How to use the report Manufacturing Sector results

33. How to use the report Presenting Risks

34. How to use the report and the Opportunities

35. How to use the report and Survey Data for each Opportunity

36. 5 risks – 15 Opportunities

37. Risk 1 Extreme Weather Human society is becoming increasingly vulnerable to extreme weather events.

38. The number of people affected by extreme weather will more than double from 1970 to 2030 From 1992 to 2012, 64% of the world population was impacted by extreme weather Risk 1 Extreme Weather Human society is becoming increasingly vulnerable to extreme weather events. Since 1972 floods have caused losses of 720bn USD

39. Cost-Effective Adaptation #14 Investments in Resilience #15 Early Warning & Forecasting Services #9 ‣ Most attractive in North America ‣ An Opportunity for the Future ‣ Best in high-risk areas Opportunities: Risk 1 Extreme Weather

40. Early Warning & Forecasting Services Risk 1 Extreme Weather Best Opportunity: #9 In the top three for finance sector Most attractive in North America

41. Early Warning & Forecasting Services Risk 1 Extreme Weather Runner-ups: #14 ‣ Strong backing in lower-middle income economies ‣ An Opportunity for the future Investments in Resilience #15 ‣ Best in high-risk areas ‣ Least preferred for business

42. Risk 2 Lack of Fresh Water Lack of fresh water threatens health and social cohesion and poses risks to food and energy security.

43. Risk 2 Lack of Fresh Water Lack of fresh water threatens health and social cohesion and poses risks to food and energy security. The demand for fresh water is expected to overshoot supply by 40% in 20 years Manufacturing and power generation are the sectors driving most of the increased demand Almost 800mio. People do not have access to a proper source of water

44. Fresh Water Production #3 Smart Water Regulation #5 Water-Efficient Agriculture #1 ‣ Average opportunity for business ‣ Rated highly in Europe and North America ‣ No. 1 in South America Opportunities: Risk 2 Lack of Fresh Water

45. Risk 2 Lack of Fresh Water Water-Efficient Agriculture Best Opportunity: #1 Average opportunity for business Least favored by young generation

46. Fresh Water Production Runner-ups: #3 ‣ Rated highly in Europe and North America ‣ Asia is sceptical Smart Water Regulation #5 ‣ No. 1 in South America ‣ A favourite among women Risk 2 Lack of Fresh Water

47. Risk 3 Unsustainable Urbanisation Cost of congestion, pollution, and the detrimental health effects of rapidly growing cities threaten future prosperity.

48. Each year cities globally grow by 70mio. People – one new Chicago pr. two weeks Many cities are polluted, congested and vulnerable to natural disasters Global warming exacerbates many of the cities’ problems in coming decades Risk 3 Unsustainable Urbanisation Cost of congestion, pollution, and the detrimental health effects of rapidly growing cities threaten future prosperity.

49. Rural Growth Initiatives #12 Smart Cities #10 ‣ A favorite in China and India ‣ Good for finance but No New Biz Opportunities: Risk 3 Unsustainable Urbanisation Compact, Green and Connected Cities #13 ‣ Favourite among the young

50. Risk 3 Smart Cities Best Opportunity: #10 Top choice in China Favourite among the young Unsustainable Urbanisation

51. Rural Growth Initiatives Runner-ups: #12 ‣ Good for finance but No New Biz ‣ Not for Europe and North America Compact, Green and Connected Cities #13 ‣ A favorite in China and India ‣ Not for those aged 50 and above Risk 3 Unsustainable Urbanisation

52. Risk 4 Non-Communicable Diseases NCDs pose a significant threat to lives, livelihoods and economic development globally.

53. 6 out of 10 greatest causes of death are NCDs (including heart disease, cancers and diabetes) In 2030 NCDs are projected to cause three times as many “healthy life-years” as communicable diseases 80% of NCD deaths – 29 mio/year – occur in middle and low-income countries Risk 4 Non-Communicable Diseases NCDs pose a significant threat to lives, livelihoods and economic development globally.

54. Innovative Finance for a Healthy Generation #7 Combat NCDs with Mobile Technologies #11 Everyday Health Enablers #2 ‣ Most favorable for business ‣ Preferred in the Americas ‣ India expects rapid deployment Opportunities: Risk 4 Non-Communicable Diseases

55. Everyday Health Enablers Best Opportunity: #2 Most favorable for business Consistently high score Risk 4 Non-Communicable Diseases

56. Innovative Finance for a Healthy Generation Runner-ups: #7 ‣ Preferred in the Americas ‣ Not picked up by finance sector Combat NCDs with Mobile Technologies #11 ‣ Lack of investment interest ‣ India expects rapid deployment Risk 4 Non-Communicable Diseases

57. Risk 5 Large investments in fossil fuels create a lock-in inhibiting reductions in GHG Lock-in to Fossil Fuels

58. Investment in fossil fuels is 4X greater than investments in renewables In the past 20 years fossil fuels’ share in the global energy supply has been stable around 86% In 2012, the 200 largest oil and gas companies spent 674bn dollars on developing new reserves Risk 5 Large investments in fossil fuels create a lock-in inhibiting reductions in GHG Lock-in to Fossil Fuels

59. Regulated Energy Transition #6 Energy Autonomy #8 Green Consumer Choices #4 ‣ Governments likely to invest ‣ Top opportunity for under 30s ‣ Strong business impact Opportunities: Risk 5 Lock-in to Fossil Fuels

60. Green Consumer Choices Best Opportunity: #4 Splits business Governments likely to invest Risk 5 Lock-in to Fossil Fuels

61. Regulated Energy Transition Runner-ups: #6 ‣ Top opportunity for under 30s ‣ Less popular with Business Energy Autonomy #8 ‣ Strong business impact ‣ Income divide Risk 5 Lock-in to Fossil Fuels

62. Main findings

63. Profile of the Opportunity Manager She is a woman

64. Main findings Profile of the Opportunity Manager She is a woman She is young

65. Main findings Profile of the Opportunity Manager She is a woman She is young She lives in China, India or South America

66. Main findings Profile of the Opportunity Manager She is a woman She is young She lives in China, India or South America She works in the manufacturing or finance sector

67. Main findings Profile of the Opportunity Manager She is a woman She is young She lives in China, India or South America She works in the manufacturing or finance sector She embraces regulation

68. She is a woman She is young She lives in China, India or South America She works in the manufacturing or finance sector She embraces regulation She has confidence in our ability to transform our energy systems Main findings Profile of the Opportunity Manager

69. #globalopportunity Your guide to a world of Opportunities www.globalopportunitynetwork.org

70. Opportunity ranking Opportunities ranked by potential positive impact on society Water Efficient Agriculture Green Consumer Choices Everyday Health Enablers Smart Water Regulation MENA favorite Above 50s favorite Fresh Water Production Europe favorite Governmental sector favorite South East Asia & Australia favorite Other Asia favorite Manufacturing sector favorite South America favorite #2#4#3#1#5

71. Opportunity ranking Opportunities ranked by potential positive impact on society Regulated Energy Transition Early Warning and Forecasting Services Innovative Finance for a Healthy Generation Smart Cities Sub-Saharan Africa favorite Energy Autonomy North America favorite “Other businesses” sector favorite #7 #9 #8 #6 #10

72. Opportunity ranking Opportunities ranked by potential positive impact on society Combat NCDs with Mobile Technologies Cost-Effective Adaptation Rural Growth Initiatives Investments in Resilience Compact, Green and Connected Cities India favorite #12 #14 #13#11#15