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Published byColin Hunt Modified over 9 years ago
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1 2007 A Look at the Washington Metro Area Apartment Market January 26, 2011
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2 APARTMENT VACANCY RATES SELECT METRO AREAS YEAR-END 2010 Vacancy Rate (All Apartment Classes) Note: Mid-Year 2010 data except for Washington, Baltimore, and Philadelphia which are as of Year-End 2010. Source: MPF, Delta Associates; January 2011.
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3 CLASS A & B APARTMENT ANNUAL NET ABSORPTION SELECT METRO AREAS 12 MONTHS ENDING DECEMBER 2010 Apartment Units 12,529 Note: Mid-Year 2010 data except for Washington. Source: MPF, Delta Associates; January 2011.
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4 CLASS A & B APARTMENT ANNUAL NET ABSORPTION WASHINGTON METRO AREA 2007 – 2010 Apartment Units Long Term Average Absorption= 5,339 12 months ending 2008 2009 2010 2007 Source: Delta Associates; January 2011. Class A Class B
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5 RISE IN RENTER HOUSEHOLDS WASHINGTON METRO AREA % of Total Households U.S. change = 130 Basis Point Increase Washington Metro change = 450 Basis Point Increase Source: Census Bureau, Delta Associates; January 2011.
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6 Number of projects in initial lease-up 28 28 17 19 30 46 37 31 ABSORPTION PACE PER PROJECT PER MONTH WASHINGTON METRO AREA 2003 – 2010 Units per Month Source: Delta Associates; January 2011.
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7 ANNUAL RENT GROWTH CLASS A APARTMENTS WASHINGTON METRO AREA 2005 – 2010 Effective Rent Growth 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010* 2010* Washington Metro U.S. 1/ Long Term Average Rent Growth = 5.1% 1/ Preliminary Est. 7.8% 2.0% Source: Delta Associates; January 2011. Growth in Face Rent
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8 CONCESSIONS FOR PROPERTIES IN LEASE-UP WASHINGTON METRO AREA 2003 –2010 Concession as a Percentage of Face Rent Source: Delta Associates; January 2011.
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9 36 MONTH DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE WASHINGTON METRO AREA 2000 – 2010 Market Rate Units Planned & U/C Total: 36,291 Total: 16,606Total: 23,880 Source: Delta Associates; January 2011.
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10 APARTMENT CONSTRUCTION STARTS WASHINGTON METRO AREA 2008 – 2010 Apartment Units 2008 2009 Average Quarterly Starts Since 2000: 1,900 2010 Source: Delta Associates; January 2011.
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11 PROJECTED APARTMENT DEMAND & DELIVERIES WASHINGTON METRO AREA 36 MONTHS ENDING DECEMBER 2013 Deliveries Demand Total = 23,880 units Delivered and leasing: 3,671 units Planned and may deliver by 12/2013: 13,735 units = 6,000/Yr. = 18,000 District Sub. MD No. VA Estimated Stabilized Vacancy Rate at 12/2013: 4.1% Region-Wide 5.0% 4.2% 3.9% = = Class A Market Rate Units in Thousands U/C and not yet leasing: 6,474 units = Source: Delta Associates; January 2011.
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12 Percent Effective Rent Growth CLASS A APARTMENT RENT GROWTH PER YEAR WASHINGTON METRO AREA 2000 – 2014 Long-Term Average = 5.1% Source: Delta Associates; January 2011.
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13 Source: Delta Associates, January 2011. CLASS B APARTMENT RENTAL AND VACANCY RATES WASHINGTON METRO AREA 2001 – 2010 Stabilized Vacancy Rate Average Effective Base Rent
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14 Vacancy Rate Source: Delta Associates, January 2011. CLASS B APARTMENT VACANCY RATES WASHINGTON METRO AREA 2003 – 2010
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15 Source: Delta Associates, January 2011. CLASS B APARTMENT ANNUAL RENT GROWTH WASHINGTON METRO AREA 2009 vs. 2010 Percent Effective Rent Growth
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16 2007 A Look at the Washington Metro Area Apartment Market January 26, 2011
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