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The Economy Today: What our measures tell us about the current recession Keith Hall Commissioner Bureau of Labor Statistics March 05, 2010
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Civilian unemployment rate, 1990-2010 Seasonally adjusted, percent NOTE: Shaded areas represent recessions as determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). NBER has not yet determined an endpoint for the recession that began in December 2007. SOURCE: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey, March 5, 2010. 2 Unemployment rate = 9.7% in February 2010
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Current Indicators
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Industries
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Household Survey
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Unemployment rates for persons 25 years and older by educational attainment, 1992-2010 Seasonally adjusted, percent NOTE: Shaded areas represent recessions as determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). NBER has not yet determined an endpoint for the recession that began in December 2007. SOURCE: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey, March 5, 2010. 21 Bachelor's degree and higherSome college or associate degree High school graduates, no college Less than a high school diploma
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Unemployment rates for whites, blacks or African Americans, and persons of Hispanic or Latino ethnicity, 1990-2010 Seasonally adjusted, percent NOTE: Shaded areas represent recessions as determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). NBER has not yet determined an endpoint for the recession that began in December 2007. SOURCE: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey, March 5, 2010. 22 Whites Hispanic or Latino ethnicity Blacks or African Americans
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Alternative measures of labor underutilization, 1994-2010 Seasonally adjusted, percent NOTE: Shaded areas represent recessions as determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). NBER has not yet determined an endpoint for the recession that began in December 2007. SOURCE: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey, March 5, 2010. 23 U-3 Unemployment rate U-2 U-1 U-4 U-5 U-6
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Unemployment rate and long-term unemployment rate, 1994-2010 Seasonally adjusted, percent NOTE: Shaded areas represent recessions as determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). NBER has not yet determined an endpoint for the recession that began in December 2007. SOURCE: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey, March 5, 2010. 24 Unemployment rate Long-term unemployment rate Long term unemployment rate = 4.0% in February 2010
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Comparisons with Prior Recessions
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Recession Stages
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29 SOURCE: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, March 5, 2010.
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SOURCE: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, March 5, 2010. 31
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SOURCE: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, March 5, 2010. 32 ** The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) denoted recessions starting in January 1980 and July 1981.
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