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Nebraska Economic Update and Housing Outlook NIFA’s Housing Innovation Marketplace Omaha, NE – January 27, 2010 January 27, 20101K. Edmiston, FRB KC
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The Housing Market January 27, 2010K. Edmiston, FRB KC2
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Existing Home Sales (Index Q2 1999 = 100) January 27, 2010K. Edmiston, FRB KC3 Omaha (annual change %)
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Months Supply of Existing Homes January 27, 2010K. Edmiston, FRB KC4 Source: Area Residential Realtors Associations
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Existing Home Prices (Index Q3 1991 = 100) January 27, 2010K. Edmiston, FRB KC5
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Value of Residential Construction Contracts (January 2005 = 100) January 27, 2010K. Edmiston, FRB KC6
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Delinquencies and Foreclosures January 27, 2010K. Edmiston, FRB KC7
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Data Source: Lender Processing Services, Inc. Applied Analytics
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Omaha Area Foreclosure Rates 2009 Data Source: RealtyTrac
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Future Direction January 14, 2010K. Edmiston, FRB KC10 Delinquencies remain high, and are on the rise Modification efforts likely delaying more than preventing foreclosures
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Status of Mortgage Pool in Nebraska and U.S. Status of Mortgage PoolNebraskaUSA Delinquent 30 days2.983.79 Delinquent 60 days1.191.77 Delinquent 90 days +2.254.38 TOTAL PAST DUE6.419.94 Foreclosures Started0.731.42 In Foreclosure Process1.884.47 SERIOUSLY DELINQUENT4.138.85 Source: Mortgage Bankers Association January 14, 201011K. Edmiston, FRB KC
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Future Direction January 14, 2010K. Edmiston, FRB KC12 Delinquencies remain high, and are on the rise Modification efforts likely delaying more than preventing foreclosures Subprime mortgage resets were generally modest in light of low mortgage rates, and resets are about over But remaining subprime mortgage holders often are in trouble
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Subprime Mortgages in Nebraska and U.S 3 rd Qtr. 20063 rd Qtr. 2009 Share of Mortgages Nebraska11.997.39 USA13.5610.57 Past Due (%) Nebraska14.1522.64 USA12.9526.42 Foreclosure Rate (%) Nebraska5.137.73 USA3.8615.35 Source: Mortgage Bankers Association January 14, 201013K. Edmiston, FRB KC
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Future Direction January 14, 2010K. Edmiston, FRB KC14 Delinquencies remain high, and are on the rise Modification efforts likely delaying more than preventing foreclosures Subprime mortgage resets were generally modest in light of low mortgage rates, and resets are about over But remaining subprime mortgage holders often are in trouble New wave of resets is coming
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Mortgage Resets 15 Source: American Loan Performance, UBS January 14, 2010K. Edmiston, FRB KC
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Future Direction January 14, 2010K. Edmiston, FRB KC16 Delinquencies remain high, and are on the rise Modification efforts likely delaying more than preventing foreclosures Subprime mortgage resets were generally modest in light of low mortgage rates, and resets are about over But remaining subprime mortgage holders often are in trouble New wave of resets is coming Much will depend on the economy and housing markets (up ahead!)
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The Economic Situation January 27, 2010K. Edmiston, FRB KC17
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Gross Domestic Product (percent change from previous quarter – annual rate) January 27, 2010K. Edmiston, FRB KC18 Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
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U.S. Retail Sales ($millions) January 27, 2010K. Edmiston, FRB KC19 Source: U.S. Census Bureau
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Industry Employment (Percent change from one year ago) January 27, 2010K. Edmiston, FRB KC20 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
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Unemployment Rates January 27, 2010K. Edmiston, FRB KC21 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
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Nebraska Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance (Percent change from one year ago) January 27, 2010K. Edmiston, FRB KC22 Source: U.S. Department of Labor
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Kelly D. Edmiston 1 Memorial Drive Kansas City, MO 64198 (816) 881-2004 Voice (816) 881-2199 Fax Kelly.edmiston@kc.frb.org January 27, 201023
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