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Housing and Economic Outlook David F. Seiders Chief Economist October 25, 2006.

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Presentation on theme: "Housing and Economic Outlook David F. Seiders Chief Economist October 25, 2006."— Presentation transcript:

1 Housing and Economic Outlook David F. Seiders Chief Economist October 25, 2006

2 NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index 2

3 Single-Family Building Permits (000s, SAAR) 3

4 NAR’s Composite Housing Affordability Index A value of 100 means that a family with the median income has exactly enough income to qualify for a mortgage on a median-priced home. 4

5 Existing Home Sales (Single-Family and Condo) (000s, SAAR, 3 Month Moving Average) 5

6 Single-Family Inventory (New and Existing) ( 000s, SAAR, 3 Month Moving Average) 6

7 Existing Condo/Co-op Inventory (000s, 3 Month Moving Average) 7

8 Sales Cancellation Rate (New Homes) (%, 3 Month Moving Avg., 30 Companies) 8

9 Existing Home Prices (Single-Family and Condo) (Median, Yr-Yr % Change, 3 Month Moving Average) 9

10 Fed Funds Rate Target Percent 10

11 Home Mortgage Rates Percent Fixed-Rate Mortgages Adjustable Rate Mortgages 11

12 (Overall Index -- Year-to-Year % Chg.) House Price Index: Nominal Versus Real Nominal Real 12

13 Single-Family Housing Starts (Thousands of Units, SAAR) 13

14 Multifamily Housing Starts (Thousands of Units, SAAR) 14

15 Manufactured Home Shipments (Thousands of Units, SAAR) 15

16 Residential Remodeling (Billions $2000) 16

17 Residential Fixed Investment (Billions 2000 $, SAAR) 17


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