1. READY-TO-USE DATA New sources of open risk information

2. Global Assessment Report

3. Global Risk Assessment

4. RISK What is “risk”? consequences uncertainty events probability severity Risk is the probability of an adverse outcome (Graham and Weiner, 1995) Risk is a measure of the probability and severity of adverse effects (Lowrance, 1976) Risk is the combination of probability of an event and its consequences (UNISDR, 2007)

5. Risk assessment thus analyse what could happen in a near future following hazardous events (e.g. floods, cyclones, earthquakes) Further than “what could happen”, the risk assessment also provide information on “how likely this is to happen” Once the decision makers know how likely and how severe the events (and their consequences) are, they can act upon them What is “risk”? RISK consequences uncertainty events probability severity

6. Global Exposure Database The Global Exposure Database provides the distribution of the value of the urban built environment around the world in a 5Km x 5 Km grid

7. Global hazard assessment Earthquake Hazard for different return periods, developed using the open source program CRISIS2012 (www.ecapra.org)

8. Cyclonic wind hazard for different return periods, developed using the open source program ERN-Hurricane (www.ecapra.org) Global hazard assessment

9. Tsunami hazard for ~1 in 500 years return period Global hazard assessment

10. Global Flood Model, pilot study for Thailand Global hazard assessment

11. CAPRA COMPREHENSIVE APPROACH TO PROBABILISTIC RISK ASSESSMENT www.ecapra.org Global Risk Assessment

12. Annual Average Losses (AAL) Estimated average loss per year, over a long time period and considering the range of loss scenarios with different occurrence probabilities Probable Maximum Losses (AAL) Maximum loss that could be experienced in the occurrence of a disaster with a particular return period Global Risk Assessment

15. Drought Hazard and Risk Agricultural drought hazard for Africa and the Mediterranean Regions between 2000 and 2010 Assessment of likelihood of crop losses for Mali, Niger, Mozambique and Kenya

16. OPEN QUAKE Developed by the Global Earthquake Model Web-based risk assessment platform, an integrated environment for modelling, viewing, exploring, and managing earthquake risk … Looking forward

17. Global Volcano Model A sustainable, accessible platform for information on volcanic hazard and risk CEV WOVO GNS New Zealand V HUB UNAM Global assessment of relative threat for each volcano at a national scale Regional stochastic models of volcanic ashfall and risk case studies … Looking forward

18. All the GAR13 (and more) data available from: www.preventionweb/gar Further information on data uses, methods and tools in the Global Assessment Report 2013 Annex 1

19. Thank you www.preventionweb.net/gar