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Do You Deviate? Do You Deviate?. The standard deviation measures the spread of a set of data around the mean of the data. In a normal distribution, approximately.

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Presentation on theme: "Do You Deviate? Do You Deviate?. The standard deviation measures the spread of a set of data around the mean of the data. In a normal distribution, approximately."— Presentation transcript:

1 Do You Deviate? Do You Deviate?

2 The standard deviation measures the spread of a set of data around the mean of the data. In a normal distribution, approximately 68 percent of scores fall within plus or minus one standard deviation of the mean, and 95 percent fall within plus or minus two standard deviations of the mean. Definition of Standard Deviation

3 What the Heck? I am not a Math PhD!

4 How far is too far? How Far is too Far?

5 Price 800 SMA Far away Far, Far Away

6 Price 800 SMA Closer! Closer (not far away)

7 How far is too far? How Far is Too Far?

8 Truckloads of data Truckloads of Data 1

9 Truckloads of Data 2

10 Every Pair is an Individual

11 60 Minute Currency Pairs AUD/JPY350 CAD/JPY700 CHF/JPY225 EUR/JPY575 GBP/JPY1000 NZD/JPY600

12 AUD/JPY 5 Minute Scatter

13 AUD/JPY 5 Minute Scatter 2

14 AUD/JPY 5 Min AUD/JPY 5 Minute Distribution

15 AUD/USD 5 Min AUD/USD Scatter

16 AUD/USD 5 Min Average:6 Maximum:115 Minimum:-279 STDEV:51 2 STDEV:108 AUD/USD Summary Statistics

17 AUD/USD 5 Min 100 pips above 800 AUD/USD Chart 5 Minute

18 GBP/USD 5 Min GBP/USD 5 Minute Scatter

19 GBP/USD 5 Min GBP/USD 5 Minute Distribution

20 GBP/USD 5 Min Average:4 Maximum:396 Minimum:-433 STDEV:97 2 STDEV:198 GBP/USD 5 Minute Summary Statistics

21 GBP/USD 5 Min 200 pips above 800 GBP/CHF 5 Minute Chart

22 GBP/CHF 5 Minute Scatter

23 GBP/CHF 5 Min GBP/CHF 5 Minute Scatter GBP/CHF 5 Minute Distribution

24 Average:0 Maximum:487 Minimum:-531 STDEV:95 2 STDEV:191 GBP/CHF 5 Min GBP/CHF 5 Minute Summary Statistics

25 GBP/CHF 5 Min 200 pips below 800 GBP/CHF 5 Minute Chart Example

26 USD/CHF 5 Minute Scatter

27 USD/CHF 5 Min USD/CHF 5 Minute Distribution

28 Average:-3 Maximum:311 Minimum:-316 STDEV:71 2 STDEV:139 USD/CHF 5 Min USD/CHF 5 Minute Summary Statistics

29 USD/CHF 5 Min 140 pips below 800 USD/CHF 5 Minute Chart Example

30 Crude Oil 5 Minute Scatter

31 Crude Oil (CL) 5 Min Crude Oil 5 Minute Distribution

32 Average:.10 Maximum:5.47 Minimum:-4.97 STDEV:1.75 2 STDEV:3.60 Crude Oil (CL) 5 Min Crude Oil Summary Statistics

33 AUD/USD 5 Min AUD/USD Trade Example Crude Oil Summary Statistics Price Exceeds Lower Band

34 AUD/USD 5 Min AUD/USD Trade Example 2 Crude Oil Summary Statistics Buy on Re-Entry

35 AUD/USD 5 Min AUD/USD Trade Example 3 Crude Oil Summary Statistics Take Sweet Profit

36 AUD/USD 5 Min AUD/USD Trade Example A1 Crude Oil Summary Statistics Price Breaks Out Like a Spitzer Prison Break

37 Client #9 Crude Oil Summary Statistics

38 AUD/USD 5 Min AUD/USD Trade Example A2 Crude Oil Summary Statistics Price hits 800 SMA

39 AUD/USD 5 Min AUD/USD Trade Example A3 Crude Oil Summary Statistics Price hits the Opposite Band

40 AUD/USD 5 Min AUD/USD Trade Example B1 Crude Oil Summary Statistics Price Smokes Band Like a Crackhead on Payday

41 AUD/USD 5 Min Support Line Break Entry Crude Oil Summary Statistics Price Breaks Below A Support Level

42 AUD/USD 5 Min Trendline Break Entry Crude Oil Summary Statistics Price Breaks Below A Trendline

43 Crude Oil 1 Hour Oil is Way Overextended Now Crude Oil Summary Statistics Price is WAY Out

44 Crude Oil 1 Hour Stopped Out Crude Oil Summary Statistics Holy Crap

45 Using the 200 SMA Using the 200 Simple Moving Avg. Crude Oil Summary Statistics An Early Entry?

46 The GBP/JPY Holy Crap Bear Stearns Implodes Crude Oil Summary Statistics Bear Stearns Implodes

47 Beans 5 Minute Scatter


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