2. WELCOME! Many thanks to: Cornell Cooperative Extension A cast of thousands All the CDI Presenters All the CDI Participants

3. CaRDI is a multidisciplinary, cross-campus, applied social science unit. CaRDI seeks to strengthen the capacity, resiliency and sustainability of New York State communities across a variety of program and focal areas. We support informed decision-making at the local, regional and state level through applied research, training, teaching, engagement & outreach. The framework for all our activities involves a combination of perspectives and experiences across research, practice, and policy This approach requires relationships and networks with practitioners and policymakers, connections which we view as our “engagement infrastructure”. Read more about CaRDI, and access all our resources, including publications at: www.cardi.cornell.edu

4. Annual Community Development Institute Focus varies every year: 2013 - Informed Communities, Informed Decision-Making 2014 - Water Resources Infrastructure & Community Development 2015 - Strong families Strong Communities On-going goals: Facilitating dialogue around important themes of community development Strengthening connections between campus, PWTs, CCE partners & the communities they serve Creating applied research opportunities for engaged faculty Developing new relationships between practitioners, researchers & policymakers across the state Identifying issues that need additional attention

5. 2015 Strong Families Strong Communities Roadmap for the next 2 days: Sessions will feature panelists giving short presentations Panelists represent many different perspectives, experiences and topics We have purposely built in time for discussion in every session We want all participants to contribute to these discussions. We will cover many issue areas in these two days, including: poverty, labor force issues, health and well-being, financial hardship, changing demographics, data tools and methods, cultural differences, and innovative community programs. We invite you to bring up additional topics during discussions.

6. The Changing Composition of New York State Communities Robin Blakely-Armitage Community Development Institute: Strong Families Strong Communities July 14, 2015

7. Demographic change is important, whether the changes are in: Population size, Geographic distribution Socioeconomic composition But while demography and demographic change plays an important role, it is not destiny, for communities, families or individuals Demography shapes and is shaped by Society Economy Natural environment Change, not stability, is the norm Some changes enhance opportunities Other changes pose challenges for people, families, communities, and regions I will highlight some broad trends across NYS in recent years – throughout the Institute, please talk about the demographic changes your communities are experiencing, and the opportunities and challenges these changes pose. Demography & Demographic Change is Important for Communities, but it isn’t the Whole Story…..

8. Population Change is spatially uneven

9. Population Change 2000-2012 Even within counties, population change is uneven

10. International migration has been a source of population growth for NYS, although it slowed dramatically during the recession International migration gains are concentrated in metro areas, but non-metro also has positive migration from abroad Internal (domestic) migration has been a source of NYS population loss The components of population change vary, NYS vs. Non-Metro NYS, 2000-2014

11. Source: U.S. Decennial Censuses Age Migration is specific of certain ages: Upstate has been losing young adults since the 1960s

12. Aging of the Baby Boom – increasing median Age of NYS Counties, 2013 NYS Median Age increased by 1.8 years since 2000 More rapid aging in Upstate-- by 2.3 years Pct. 65+ reached 15% in 2010 in Upstate Estimated to reach 20% by 2030

13. Changing Landscape of Diversity NYS as a whole is much more diverse than Upstate – 15.2% African American vs. 7.8% – 16.8% Hispanic vs. 4.9% – 21.3% foreign born vs. 5.8% NYS County Percentage Change in Hispanic Population, 1990-2009 Source: Center for Disease Control, Race and Ethnicity dataset Hispanics are now the largest race/ethnic group in NYS. In Upstate, African Americans still outnumber Hispanics But, Hispanic rate of growth > African American Upstate metropolitan areas are more diverse than nonmetropolitan areas BUT, the most highly rural areas are more diverse than small and medium sized cities

14. Household Income varies across Upstate, with central city areas much worse off than surrounding suburbs

15. Poverty varies by household structure (2012)

16. Poverty varies by age group (2012)

17. Poverty varies by race and ethnicity (2012)

18. Broad trends include: population growth/decline, the geographic distribution of pop. change, migration flows, age structure shifts, changes in ethnic and racial diversity, income and poverty variations across space and demographic characteristics, and the intersection of all these trends. Demographic changes can propel communities upward or downward Can pose challenges Can enhance opportunities Impacts of population changes are not automatic Mediated by Local social structure National and international environments in which they are embedded Important to understand your community’s demographic trends, and to make sure local programs and policies are responsive. Community Demography is Not Community Destiny

19. Data Tools & Sources: PAD – Cornell Program on Applied Demographics http://pad.human.cornell.edu NYS County profiles: http://pad.human.cornell.edu/profiles/index.cfm Sub-County profiles (Cities, Towns, & Villages): http://pad.human.cornell.edu/profiles/subcounty/SchuylerMCD.pdf Headwaters Economics – Socioeconomic toolkit free download to run on Excel http://headwaterseconomics.org/tools/eps-hdt U.S. Census Bureau http://census.gov