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Level and growth rate of per capita GDP In terms of level and rate of change of economic growth the performance across EU countries and regions is remarkably different. Level of per capita GDP (expressed in Purchasing Parity Standards) in 2010 Change of per capita GDP 2000-2009 (before the 2008 crisis) Change of per capita GDP 2008-2010 (after the 2008 crisis) 1
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Purchasing Parity Standard (PPS) In order to compare the GDP per capita of different countries data must be: –converted in a common currency (by means of exchange rates) – converted in a common purchasing power (by taking into account the different prices of a basket of typical goods and services) “The use of PPS series rather than the euro-based series tends to have a levelling effect, as those regions with very high GDP per inhabitant in euro terms also tend to have relatively high price levels (for example, the cost of living in central Paris or London is generally higher than the cost of living in rural areas of France or the United Kingdom).” Eurostat regional yearbook 2012 (page 28) 2
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3 “Calculations for GDP per inhabitant that are based on PPS series instead of euro series can result in considerable differences when ranking regions. For example, in 2009, the Swedish region of Ostra Mellansverige was recorded as having a GDP per inhabitant of EUR 26.600, ranking above the Italian region of Marche, with EUR 25.600. However, in PPS terms, Marche, at 24.600 PPS per inhabitant, was above of Ostra Mellansverige, at 23.800 PPS.” Eurostat regional yearbook 2012 (page 28)
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4 Nomenclature of territorial units for statistics – NUTS (Statistical Regions of Europe)
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8 Decomposition of per capita GDP Labor Productivity (per person employed)* Employment Rate*Dependency rate Working Age Population: 16-64 (Eurostat definition)
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9 Decomposition of per capita GDP Labor Productivity (per hour worked)* Work-Leisure Ratio*Employment Rate*Dependency rate
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10 From levels to growth rates GDP at constant prices. For computing growth rates the GDP in Purchasing Parity Power should not be used (because the level of prices may change differently between countries) Annual rate of change: (GDP t1 -GDP t0 )/GDP t0 or natural logarithmic difference, that is ∆lnGDP= lnGDP t1 - lnGDP t0 Decomposition of growth rates: ∆ln(GDP/Population)= ∆ln(GDP/Employment) + ∆ln(Employment/Population)
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From levels to growth rates Annual rate of change in a given period: more informative than the total variation between the initial and the final year –Mean of the annual rates of changes (or mean of the annual log differences) –Compound annual growth rate: requires only data for the initial and final year –Linear regression of the natural log of GDP at constant prices on time (uses all the annual information; it is suitable when the period of time considered is sufficiently long) 11
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19961997199819992000 Average 1995- 2000 EU (15 countries) GDP1.72.72.93.03.82.8 Employment0.61.11.81.92.21.5 Labour productivity1.11.61.1 1.61.3 GDP, employment and productivity: percentage change on previous year 12
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13 R&D intensity (total expenditures on GDP) Annual average growth (compound) 201220202012-2020 Finland3.554.001.50 Germany2.983.000.08 Austria2.843.763.57 Slovenia2.803.000.87 France2.293.003.43 EU282.073.004.75 Spain1.302.005.53 Hungary1.301.804.15 Italy1.271.532.36 Poland0.901.708.27 Romania0.492.0019.22 Compound annual growth rate= [(Rdint 20 /Rdint 12 ) 1/8 -1]x100
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