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The Forgotten War: US Foreign Policy in Afghanistan Esther Lin and Rachel Tang
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A History of US-Afghanistan Policy 1940s - 1960s US established embassy in Kabul, ran economic/military assistance programs April 1978- Saur Revolution Communist People's Democratic Party of Afghanistan overthrows monarchy 1979-US ambassador is killed; Soviet Union intervenes in Afghanistan o US terminates all assistance programs, begins aiding rebels with up to 3 million dollars
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A History of US-Afghanistan Policy 1996- Rebels (Taliban) seize Kabul and begin theocratic rule, supported by Al-Qaeda. 1997- Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, and Pakistan recognize the Taliban as legitimate government of Afghanistan 2001- 9/11 occurs, US declares war on Afghanistan with intent to eliminate terrorist havens/reconstruct government (Afghan Investment/Reconstruction Task Force)
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Who's Who President Obama: Commander in Chief General Petraeus: Current commander in Afghanistan Ex General McChrystal: Asked for the additional troops for Afghanistan, Obama sent 30,000 more troops Al Qaeda: terrorist group, responsible for the 9/11 crisis Osama Bin Laden: leader of Al Qaeda Taliban: terrorist group that houses Al Qaeda Hamid Karzai: President of Afghanistan Afghan Security Forces: protect the safety of Afghanistan ideally, being trained by US troops
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Background on Current Foreign Policy Obama's West Point Speech "Disrupt, dismantle, and defeat al-Qaeda" Prevent their return to either Afghanistan o Surge forces, targeting elements of the insurgency Securing key population centers, major cities Training Afghan forces Transferring responsibility to Afghan partner Increasing our partnership with Pakistanis (they face the same threat)
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Pro: Foreign Policy Deadline July 2011 o Afghan people deserve to know deadline for preparation o US combat forces deserve to know when their mission is over o Open-ended conflicts erode morale Do not want another drawn out war like Vietnam o "Taking into conditions on the ground" Afghanistan must be able to assume full control of country
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Pro: Foreign Policy Developments are underway to stabilize Afghanistan o Was a failed nation o What happens in Afghanistan affects US national security o Democracy in election of Karzai o Rebuilding infrastructure
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Evidence: 73% of Afghans feel that government is more democratic; less corrupt. (Afghan Conflict Monitor) Afghan armies are being trained; competency boosts confidence and stability, increases trust in government o Ratio of instructors:students => 1 : 79 in 2009 to 1 : 29 in 2010 Karzai's election and appointment of ethnically diverse ministers creates balance o Election was clear sign of rising democracy 75% eligible votes
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Con: Foreign Policy The war has gone for too long o Original intention : prevent terrorists from using Afghanistan as safe haven. o Iraq took attention away; Afghanistan lacked clear policy and resources so the war dragged on for too long. The goal should be ousting the Taliban and destroying terrorist groups, not nation-building o Legitimacy comes from the people
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Con: Foreign Policy Surge will not work: o In Iraq, situation turned b/c of al-Qaeda losing support of Sunni groups, not necessarily b/c of the troop surge No such similar groups in Afghanistan o Pumping money into a 'civilian surge' only fosters corruption, protection rackets for local warlords and Taliban.
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Evidence: Congressional Report: Warlords, Inc. o In depth congressional report about trucking companies paying protection fees to local warlords/Taliban 1 January to 30 June 2010, 3,268 conflict-related civilian casualties; 31 per cent increase compared to the first 6 months of 2009. 321 troops have died so far in 2010--highest since the war began.
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Recent Developments: Oct. 28, 2010: France announces plans to hand over some districts to Afghan forces and possibly begin pulling out of Afghanistan in 2011. (Currently has 3, 750 troops ) Oct. 27, 2010: Afghanistan is considering a schedule to terminate security contractors starting Nov. 15. Oct. 22, 2010: US proposes $2 billion security package for Pakistan to fight insurgents. Oct. 18, 2010: 1.3 mill out of 5.6 mill (over 20%) ballots in the parliamentary elections were canceled due to fraud. Oct. 6, 2010: Afghan forces seize 19 tons of explosives being smuggled across the Iranian border. o heightened suspicion of Iran
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Interest Groups Anti- Afghanistan War: Code Pink The Afghanistan War cannot be won We spent too many fruitless years in Afghanistan- no reduction of terrorism threats, no peace in country Need an exit strategy, now. Pro-Afghanistan War: Move America Forward Support our troops Supports troops' missions in the war on terror
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Public Opinion Polls Gallup http://www.gallup.com/poll/124490/In-U.S.-More-Support-Increasing- Troops-Afghanistan.aspx
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Gallup http://www.gallup.com/poll/116233/Afghanistan.aspx
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Gallup http://www.gallup.com/poll/116233/Afghanistan.aspx
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What do the parties think? Republicans: Support the troop increase Democrats: Generally do not support the war Would prefer Do not want to increase troops or war funding Socialists: bring the troops back not fighting for the Afghanistan citizens increased threat of terrorists
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Kal's Cartoons http://www.kaltoons.com/wordpress/2009/12/kal-economist-afghanistan-cartoons/
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Kal's Cartoons http://www.kaltoons.com/wordpress/2009/12/kal-economist-afghanistan-cartoons/
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