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The Forgotten War: US Foreign Policy in Afghanistan Esther Lin and Rachel Tang.

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Presentation on theme: "The Forgotten War: US Foreign Policy in Afghanistan Esther Lin and Rachel Tang."— Presentation transcript:

1 The Forgotten War: US Foreign Policy in Afghanistan Esther Lin and Rachel Tang

2 A History of US-Afghanistan Policy 1940s - 1960s US established embassy in Kabul, ran economic/military assistance programs April 1978- Saur Revolution Communist People's Democratic Party of Afghanistan overthrows monarchy 1979-US ambassador is killed; Soviet Union intervenes in Afghanistan o US terminates all assistance programs, begins aiding rebels with up to 3 million dollars

3 A History of US-Afghanistan Policy 1996- Rebels (Taliban) seize Kabul and begin theocratic rule, supported by Al-Qaeda. 1997- Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, and Pakistan recognize the Taliban as legitimate government of Afghanistan 2001- 9/11 occurs, US declares war on Afghanistan with intent to eliminate terrorist havens/reconstruct government (Afghan Investment/Reconstruction Task Force)

4 Who's Who President Obama: Commander in Chief General Petraeus: Current commander in Afghanistan Ex General McChrystal: Asked for the additional troops for Afghanistan, Obama sent 30,000 more troops Al Qaeda: terrorist group, responsible for the 9/11 crisis Osama Bin Laden: leader of Al Qaeda Taliban: terrorist group that houses Al Qaeda Hamid Karzai: President of Afghanistan Afghan Security Forces: protect the safety of Afghanistan ideally, being trained by US troops

5 Background on Current Foreign Policy Obama's West Point Speech "Disrupt, dismantle, and defeat al-Qaeda" Prevent their return to either Afghanistan o Surge forces, targeting elements of the insurgency  Securing key population centers, major cities  Training Afghan forces  Transferring responsibility to Afghan partner  Increasing our partnership with Pakistanis (they face the same threat)

6 Pro: Foreign Policy Deadline July 2011 o Afghan people deserve to know deadline for preparation o US combat forces deserve to know when their mission is over o Open-ended conflicts erode morale  Do not want another drawn out war like Vietnam o "Taking into conditions on the ground"  Afghanistan must be able to assume full control of country

7 Pro: Foreign Policy Developments are underway to stabilize Afghanistan o Was a failed nation o What happens in Afghanistan affects US national security o Democracy in election of Karzai o Rebuilding infrastructure

8 Evidence: 73% of Afghans feel that government is more democratic; less corrupt. (Afghan Conflict Monitor) Afghan armies are being trained; competency boosts confidence and stability, increases trust in government o Ratio of instructors:students => 1 : 79 in 2009 to 1 : 29 in 2010 Karzai's election and appointment of ethnically diverse ministers creates balance o Election was clear sign of rising democracy  75% eligible votes

9 Con: Foreign Policy The war has gone for too long o Original intention : prevent terrorists from using Afghanistan as safe haven. o Iraq took attention away; Afghanistan lacked clear policy and resources so the war dragged on for too long. The goal should be ousting the Taliban and destroying terrorist groups, not nation-building o Legitimacy comes from the people

10 Con: Foreign Policy Surge will not work: o In Iraq, situation turned b/c of al-Qaeda losing support of Sunni groups, not necessarily b/c of the troop surge  No such similar groups in Afghanistan o Pumping money into a 'civilian surge' only fosters corruption, protection rackets for local warlords and Taliban.

11 Evidence: Congressional Report: Warlords, Inc. o In depth congressional report about trucking companies paying protection fees to local warlords/Taliban 1 January to 30 June 2010, 3,268 conflict-related civilian casualties; 31 per cent increase compared to the first 6 months of 2009. 321 troops have died so far in 2010--highest since the war began.

12 Recent Developments: Oct. 28, 2010: France announces plans to hand over some districts to Afghan forces and possibly begin pulling out of Afghanistan in 2011. (Currently has 3, 750 troops ) Oct. 27, 2010: Afghanistan is considering a schedule to terminate security contractors starting Nov. 15. Oct. 22, 2010: US proposes $2 billion security package for Pakistan to fight insurgents. Oct. 18, 2010: 1.3 mill out of 5.6 mill (over 20%) ballots in the parliamentary elections were canceled due to fraud. Oct. 6, 2010: Afghan forces seize 19 tons of explosives being smuggled across the Iranian border. o heightened suspicion of Iran

13 Interest Groups Anti- Afghanistan War: Code Pink The Afghanistan War cannot be won We spent too many fruitless years in Afghanistan- no reduction of terrorism threats, no peace in country Need an exit strategy, now. Pro-Afghanistan War: Move America Forward Support our troops Supports troops' missions in the war on terror

14 Public Opinion Polls Gallup http://www.gallup.com/poll/124490/In-U.S.-More-Support-Increasing- Troops-Afghanistan.aspx

15 Gallup http://www.gallup.com/poll/116233/Afghanistan.aspx

16 Gallup http://www.gallup.com/poll/116233/Afghanistan.aspx

17 What do the parties think? Republicans: Support the troop increase Democrats: Generally do not support the war Would prefer Do not want to increase troops or war funding Socialists: bring the troops back not fighting for the Afghanistan citizens increased threat of terrorists

18 Kal's Cartoons http://www.kaltoons.com/wordpress/2009/12/kal-economist-afghanistan-cartoons/

19 Kal's Cartoons http://www.kaltoons.com/wordpress/2009/12/kal-economist-afghanistan-cartoons/


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