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Watch in slide show mode to observe (modest) animation. comments questions: dan.kahan@yale.edudan.kahan@yale.edu papers, etc: www.culturalcognition.netwww.culturalcognition.net
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Dan M. Kahan Yale University & many x 10 3 others www.culturalcognition.net Three Points About “Belief In” Evolution
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Three points about “belief in" evolution: 1. Empirical 2.Political 3.Philosophical
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Three points about “belief in" evolution: 1. Empirical: The measurement problem 2.Political 3.Philosophical
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“Belief” in evolution
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“Ordinary Science Intelligence” Assessment OSI_1.0OSI_2.0
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“Ordinary Science Intelligence” Assessment 18 items 6 “Basic facts” (NSF Indicators, Pew) 3 “Theory of science” (NSF Indicators) 6 Numeracy (Peters et al. 2006) 3 Cognitive reflection (Frederick 20 05)
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Ordinary science intelligence: item response functions
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“Religiosity” (Cronbach’s α = 0.80)
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OSI_2.0 items plus Evolution & Religiosity items
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Ordinary science intelligence: item response functions
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Teaching evolution to “nonbelievers”
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Disentanglement principle: “Don’t make reasoning, free people choose between knowing what’s known & being who they are!”
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Disentanglement principle: “Don’t make reasoning, free people choose between knowing what’s known & being who they are!”
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Disentanglement principle: “Don’t make reasoning, free people choose between knowing what’s known & being who they are!”
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Disentanglement principle: “Don’t make reasoning, free people choose between knowing what’s known & being who they are!”
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Three points about “belief in" evolution: 1. Empirical: The measurement problem 2.Political 3.Philosophical
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Three points about “belief in" evolution: 1. Empirical: The measurement problem 2.Political: The disentanglement project 3.Philosophical
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“Belief” in global warming Annenberg Center for Public Policy & Cultural Cognition Project. N’ = 1957. Nationally representative sample, April/May 2014 (YouGov). CIs reflect 0.95 confidence intervals. Source: Kahan, D. The Science Communication Measurement Problem, Adv. in Pol. Psych. (in press).
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“Belief” in global warming Annenberg Center for Public Policy & Cultural Cognition Project. N’ = 1957. Nationally representative sample, April/May 2014 (YouGov). CIs reflect 0.95 confidence intervals. Source: Kahan, D. The Science Communication Measurement Problem, Adv. in Pol. Psych. (in press).
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“Belief” in global warming Annenberg Center for Public Policy & Cultural Cognition Project. N’ = 1957. Nationally representative sample, April/May 2014 (YouGov). CIs reflect 0.95 confidence intervals. Source: Kahan, D. The Science Communication Measurement Problem, Adv. in Pol. Psych. (in press).
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“Belief” in global warming Annenberg Center for Public Policy & Cultural Cognition Project. N’ = 1957. Nationally representative sample, April/May 2014 (YouGov). CIs reflect 0.95 confidence intervals. Source: Kahan, D. The Science Communication Measurement Problem, Adv. in Pol. Psych. (in press).
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Ordinary science intelligence: item response functions
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“Ordinary Climate Science Intelligence” (OCSI) battery
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Ordinary climate science intelligence: item response functions
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Ordinary climate science intelligence r = 0.32, p < 0.01 Ordinary science intelligence 1st percentile 86th percentile 14th percentile 99th percentile 50th percentile 1st percentile 86th percentile 14th percentile 99th percentile OSI & Ordinary Climate Science Intelligence (OCSI)
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Ordinary climate science intelligence r = 0.32, p < 0.01 Ordinary science intelligence 50th percentile 1st percentile 86th percentile 14th percentile 99th percentile 1st percentile 86th percentile 14th percentile 99th percentile 50th percentile > avg Left_Right < avg Left_Right OSI & Ordinary Climate Science Intelligence (OCSI)
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OCSI & positions on global warming Human causedNaturally causedNo warming Positions on global warming in “past few decades” No. correct
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Ordinary climate science intelligence: item response functions
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What we know Who we are vs. Evolution-science communication measurement problem:
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Climate-science communication measurement problem: What we know Who we are vs.
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Disentanglement principle: “Don’t make reasoning, free people choose between knowing what’s known & being who they are!”
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Climate-science communication measurement problem: What we know Who we are vs.
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Climate-science communication measurement problem: What we know Who we are How to disentangle from
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Climate-science communication measurement problem: What we know Who we are from How to disentangle
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Climate-science communication measurement problem: What we know Who we are from How to disentangle
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Evolution-science communication measurement problem: What we know Who we are from How to disentangle
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Three points about “belief in" evolution: 1. Empirical: The measurement problem 2.Political: The disentanglement project 3.Philosophical
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Three points about “belief in" evolution: 1. Empirical: The measurement problem 2.Political: The disentanglement project 3.Philosophical: Cognitive dualism...
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The “nonacceptance” problem
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The Pakistani Dr. paradox
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“Beliefs” as dispositions to action....
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Cognitive dualism
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The “nonacceptance” problem
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Three points about “belief in" evolution: 1. Empirical: The measurement problem 2.Political: The disentanglement project 3.Philosophical: Cognitive dualism...
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New data: shame & critical reasoning! www.culturalcognition.net
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