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GREATER BOSTON LODGING OUTLOOK 2003

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Presentation on theme: "GREATER BOSTON LODGING OUTLOOK 2003"— Presentation transcript:

1 GREATER BOSTON LODGING OUTLOOK 2003
Develop 2003 forecast and update summary slide. Rachel J. Roginsky, Principal Pinnacle Advisory Group

2

3 U.S. Lodging Market

4 Total United States Key Performance Indicators Percent Change May Year to Date
Update Monthly Source: Smith Travel Research Note: Preliminary May 2002

5 New England Lodging Market

6 New England States YTD May 2002 Change in Occupancy, Average Rate and RevPAR
Source: Smith Travel Research

7 Suburban Boston Lodging Market

8 Suburban Boston Occupancy 1996 - 2001
Source: Smith Travel Research

9 Suburban Boston Average Daily Rate 1996- 2001
Source: Smith Travel Research

10 Suburban Boston RevPAR 1996 - 2001
Source: Smith Travel Research

11 Suburban Boston YTD May 2002
2001 2002 % Chg Occupancy % % % Average Daily Rate $ $ % RevPAR $ $ % Source: Smith Travel Research

12 Suburban Boston Change in Occupancy, Average Rate and RevPAR by Quarter 1Q 2001 - 2Q 2002
Source: Smith Travel Research

13 Suburban Boston 2002 * Limited Boston Related Demand
* Improved Corporate Demand * Slower Supply Growth * Limited ADR Growth * 9/11 Effect (Year over Year Growth)

14 Suburban Boston 2002 Projection
2001 2002 % Chg Occupancy % % % Average Daily Rate $ $ % RevPAR $ $ %

15 Suburban Boston 2003 * Lack of Boston-Related Demand
* Improved Corporate Demand * Limited Supply Growth * Minor ADR Growth

16 Suburban Boston 2003 Projection
2002 2003 % Chg Occupancy % % % Average Daily Rate $ $ % RevPAR $ $ %

17 Boston / Cambridge Lodging Market

18 Boston/Cambridge Occupancy 1997 - 2001
Source: Pinnacle Perspective

19 Boston/Cambridge Average Daily Rate 1997-2001
Source: Pinnacle Perspective

20 Boston/Cambridge RevPAR 1997 - 2001
Source: Pinnacle Perspective

21 Boston/Cambridge 2001 Change in RevPAR by Market Area
Source: Pinnacle Perspective

22 Boston/Cambridge YTD June 2002
2001 2002 % Chg Occupancy % % % Average Daily Rate $ $ % RevPAR $ $ % Source: Pinnacle Perspective

23 Boston/Cambridge YTD June 2002 RevPAR Change By Market Area
Source: Pinnacle Perspective

24 Boston/Cambridge Occupancy by Quarter 1Q 2000 – Q4 2002
Source: Pinnacle Perspective

25 Boston/Cambridge Average Daily Rate by Quarter 1Q 2000 – 2Q 2002
Source: Pinnacle Perspective

26 Boston/Cambridge RevPAR by Quarter 1Q 2000 – 2Q 2002
Source: Pinnacle Perspective

27 Boston/Cambridge Change in Occupancy, Average Rate and RevPAR by Quarter 1Q 2001 - 2Q 2002
Source: Pinnacle Perspective

28 Boston/Cambridge 2002 * Corporate Demand * Leisure Demand
Some signs of improvement The recovery? * Leisure Demand Likely to remain strong Rate Driven and Regional * Group Demand Pace is ahead of ’01 the rest of the year * New Supply Minor – Only 1.9 percent

29 Boston Cambridge 2002 Projection
2001 2002 % Chg Occupancy % % % Average Daily Rate $ $ % RevPAR $ $ %

30 Boston/Cambridge 2003 * Corporate Demand * Leisure Demand
Continued Improvement Negotiated Rates are flat to –10% * Leisure Demand Return of International Increased Rates after 1Q * Group Demand Weak 1Q, Moderate Remainder * New Supply Major – 5.5%

31 New Supply 2002 - 2003 Nine Zero – 6/02 Hampton Inn Cambridge – 6/02
Ritz Carlton – 11/02 Commonwealth Hotel – 9/02 Kimpton Cambridge – 3/03 Residence Inn C’Town – 3/03 Embassy Suites – 3/03

32 Boston Cambridge 2003 Projection
2002 2003 % Chg Occupancy % % % Average Daily Rate $ $ % RevPAR $ $ %

33 GREATER BOSTON LODGING OUTLOOK 2003
Develop 2003 forecast and update summary slide. Rachel J. Roginsky, Principal Matthew R. Arrants, Director Pinnacle Advisory Group


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