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GREATER BOSTON LODGING OUTLOOK 2003
Develop 2003 forecast and update summary slide. Rachel J. Roginsky, Principal Pinnacle Advisory Group
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U.S. Lodging Market
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Total United States Key Performance Indicators Percent Change May Year to Date
Update Monthly Source: Smith Travel Research Note: Preliminary May 2002
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New England Lodging Market
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New England States YTD May 2002 Change in Occupancy, Average Rate and RevPAR
Source: Smith Travel Research
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Suburban Boston Lodging Market
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Suburban Boston Occupancy 1996 - 2001
Source: Smith Travel Research
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Suburban Boston Average Daily Rate 1996- 2001
Source: Smith Travel Research
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Suburban Boston RevPAR 1996 - 2001
Source: Smith Travel Research
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Suburban Boston YTD May 2002
2001 2002 % Chg Occupancy % % % Average Daily Rate $ $ % RevPAR $ $ % Source: Smith Travel Research
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Suburban Boston Change in Occupancy, Average Rate and RevPAR by Quarter 1Q 2001 - 2Q 2002
Source: Smith Travel Research
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Suburban Boston 2002 * Limited Boston Related Demand
* Improved Corporate Demand * Slower Supply Growth * Limited ADR Growth * 9/11 Effect (Year over Year Growth)
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Suburban Boston 2002 Projection
2001 2002 % Chg Occupancy % % % Average Daily Rate $ $ % RevPAR $ $ %
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Suburban Boston 2003 * Lack of Boston-Related Demand
* Improved Corporate Demand * Limited Supply Growth * Minor ADR Growth
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Suburban Boston 2003 Projection
2002 2003 % Chg Occupancy % % % Average Daily Rate $ $ % RevPAR $ $ %
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Boston / Cambridge Lodging Market
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Boston/Cambridge Occupancy 1997 - 2001
Source: Pinnacle Perspective
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Boston/Cambridge Average Daily Rate 1997-2001
Source: Pinnacle Perspective
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Boston/Cambridge RevPAR 1997 - 2001
Source: Pinnacle Perspective
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Boston/Cambridge 2001 Change in RevPAR by Market Area
Source: Pinnacle Perspective
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Boston/Cambridge YTD June 2002
2001 2002 % Chg Occupancy % % % Average Daily Rate $ $ % RevPAR $ $ % Source: Pinnacle Perspective
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Boston/Cambridge YTD June 2002 RevPAR Change By Market Area
Source: Pinnacle Perspective
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Boston/Cambridge Occupancy by Quarter 1Q 2000 – Q4 2002
Source: Pinnacle Perspective
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Boston/Cambridge Average Daily Rate by Quarter 1Q 2000 – 2Q 2002
Source: Pinnacle Perspective
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Boston/Cambridge RevPAR by Quarter 1Q 2000 – 2Q 2002
Source: Pinnacle Perspective
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Boston/Cambridge Change in Occupancy, Average Rate and RevPAR by Quarter 1Q 2001 - 2Q 2002
Source: Pinnacle Perspective
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Boston/Cambridge 2002 * Corporate Demand * Leisure Demand
Some signs of improvement The recovery? * Leisure Demand Likely to remain strong Rate Driven and Regional * Group Demand Pace is ahead of ’01 the rest of the year * New Supply Minor – Only 1.9 percent
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Boston Cambridge 2002 Projection
2001 2002 % Chg Occupancy % % % Average Daily Rate $ $ % RevPAR $ $ %
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Boston/Cambridge 2003 * Corporate Demand * Leisure Demand
Continued Improvement Negotiated Rates are flat to –10% * Leisure Demand Return of International Increased Rates after 1Q * Group Demand Weak 1Q, Moderate Remainder * New Supply Major – 5.5%
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New Supply 2002 - 2003 Nine Zero – 6/02 Hampton Inn Cambridge – 6/02
Ritz Carlton – 11/02 Commonwealth Hotel – 9/02 Kimpton Cambridge – 3/03 Residence Inn C’Town – 3/03 Embassy Suites – 3/03
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Boston Cambridge 2003 Projection
2002 2003 % Chg Occupancy % % % Average Daily Rate $ $ % RevPAR $ $ %
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GREATER BOSTON LODGING OUTLOOK 2003
Develop 2003 forecast and update summary slide. Rachel J. Roginsky, Principal Matthew R. Arrants, Director Pinnacle Advisory Group
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