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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 9 9 Chapter The Time Value of Money-Part 2 McGraw-Hill Ryerson©2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Based on: Terry Fegarty Seneca College Carol Edwards British Columbia Institute of Technology
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Chapter 9 - Outline Time Value of Money Future Value and Present Value Compounding and Discounting Compounding More Frequently Than Annually Nominal and Effective Interest Rates Multiple Cash Flows Annuity and Annuity Due Amortization Problems Summary and Conclusions PPT 9-2
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Multiple Cash Flows So far, we have looked at problems involving only a single cash flow. This is unrealistic – most business investments will involve multiple cash flows over time. We need a method for coping with such streams of cash flows!
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Multiple Cash Flows Future Value Calculations EXAMPLE Assume interest rates are 8%. You make 3 deposits to your bank account: $1,200 today $1,400 one year later. $1,000 two years later. How much money will you have in your account 3 years from now?
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Multiple Cash Flows Doing Future Value Calculations Calculate what each cash flow will be worth at the specified future date and add up these future values. 0123 $1,200$1,400$1,000 $1,080.00 = $1,000 x 1.08 $1,632.96 = $1,400 x (1.08) 2 $4,224.61 FV in Year 3: $1,511.65 = $1,200 x (1.08) 3
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Multiple Cash Flows Present Value Calculations Suppose we need to calculate the PV of a stream of future cash flows. We use basically the same procedure as for working with the FV of multiple cash flows: Calculate what each cash flow would be worth today, i.e. get its PV. Add up these present values.
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Multiple Cash Flows Present Value Calculations EXAMPLE Assume interest rates are 8%. You wish to buy a car making three installments: $8,000 today $4,000 one year later. $4,500 two years later. How much money would you have to place in an account today to generate this stream of cash flows?
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Multiple Cash Flows Present Value Calculations You would need to place $15,561.32 in an account today to generate the desired cash flows: 012 -$8,000-$4,000-$4,500 $8,000.00 $4,000 / (1.08) = $3,703.30 $4,500 / (1.08) 2 = $3,858.02 $15,561.32 PV today:
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Multiple Cash Flows Special Situations In the previous examples, we worked with multiple cash flows of different sizes. We will have also situations in which a series of equal cash flows is involved: How much should you deposit now to be able to withdraw $1,000 per year over 10 years, if interest rates are 4%? If you were to deposit $2,500 per year for 5 years at an interest rate of 7%, how much will your account balance be at the end of the 5 th year?
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Multiple Cash Flows Special Situations Any sequence of equally spaced, level cash flows is called an An Annuity occurs at the end of a period. An Annuity Due (or Annuity in Advance) occurs at the beginning of the period. Annuity.
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited PV of an Annuity PV of an Annuity: the Long Method So far, we have worked with multiple cash flows of different sizes. Suppose we now need to calculate the PV of a stream of level future cash flows. We could use the same procedure as before: Calculate what each cash flow would be worth today, i.e. get its PV. Add up these present values.
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited PV of an Annuity PV of an Annuity: the Long Method EXAMPLE Assume interest rates are 10%. You wish to buy a car making three installments: $4,000 a year from now. $4,000 two years later. $4,000 three years later. How much money would you have to place in an account today to generate this stream of cash flows?
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited PV of an Annuity PV of an Annuity: the Long Method You would need to place $9,947.41 in an account today to generate the desired cash flows: $4,000 / (1.10) = $3,636.36 $4,000 / (1.10) 2 = $3,305.79 $9,947.41 PV today: 0123 -$4,000 -4,000 $4,000 / (1.10) 3 = $3,005.26
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited PV of an Annuity PV of an Annuity: the Short Cut! We have calculated that we need to put aside $9,947.41 to fund the following cash flows: $4,000 a year from now. $4,000 two years later. $4,000 three years later. However, is there an easier way to reach this answer? Yes! When you have level cash flows there is a short cut you can use …
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited PV of an Annuity PV of an Annuity: the Short Cut! = A x PVIFA i,n Using the PV of an annuity calculation, we get the same answer as before: Put aside $9,947.41 to fund the cash flows. PV annuity = $4,000 x [1- (1/1.10) 3 /0.10] = $4,000 x 2.48685 = $9,947.41
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited PV of an Annuity Due PV of an Annuity Due: the Short Cut! = A x PVIFA i,n x (1+i) PV annuity = $4,000 x [1- (1/1.10) 3 /0.10] x (1.10) = $4,000 x 2.48685 x 1.10 = $4,000 x 2.7355 = $10,942.14
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited PV of an Annuity Our First Question … You now have all the tools necessary to answer the very first question we asked! Give it a try: Assume interest rates are 4.3884%. You have just won a lottery and must choose between the following two options Receive a cheque for $150,000 today. Receive $10,000 a year for the next 25 years. Which option gives you the biggest “winnings”?
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited PV of an Annuity Our First Question … Option 1 is worth $150,000. To value Option 2, find the PV of $10,000 per year for 25 years at 4.3884%: Both options are worth $150,000! PV= $10,000 x [1/0.043884 – 1/0.043884 (1 +.043884) 25 ] = $10,000 x 15.000 = $150,000
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited FV of an Annuity Calculating the FV of an Annuity Suppose interest rates are 10% and you decide to save $4,000 per year for 20 years. How much will you have saved for your retirement? This is a FV problem. We could use the same procedure as we used for multiple cash flows of different sizes: Calculate what each cash flow would be worth in, 20 years, i.e. get its FV. Add up these future values. Can you see the problem with using this method?
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited FV of an Annuity Calculating the FV of an Annuity Calculating the FV this way would mean working out the FV for 20 separate cash flows... Yes! When you have level cash flows there is a short cut you can use … Is there an easier way?
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited FV of an Annuity FV of an Annuity: the Short Cut! = A x FVIFA i,n Using the FV of an annuity calculation, we see that you will have $229,100 in your account when you retire in 20 years. FV annuity = $4,000 x [ ((1 + 0.10) 20 – 1) / 0.10 ] = $4,000 x 57.27499949 = $229,100
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited FV of an Annuity Due FV of an Annuity Due: the Short Cut! = A x FVIF i,n x (1+i) FV annuity = $4,000 x [ ((1 + 0.10) 20 – 1) / 0.10 ] x (1.10) = $4,000 x 57.27499949 x (1.10) = $4,000 x 63.0025 = $252,009.9978
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Loan Amortization Loan Amortization is the determination of the equal annual loan payments necessary to provide a lender with a specified interest return and to repay the loan principal over a specified period. From the Formula = A x PVIFA i,n We rearrange it as follows: A = PV A / PVIFA i,n
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Loan Amortization For example, you borrow $6,000 at 10% and agree to pay equal annual end-of-year payments over the 4-year period. Create an Amortization Schedule that shows the yearly payment, including the interest portion, principal and the loan balance. Using Appendix D and the re-arranged formula A = PV A / PVIFA, we obtain PVIFA at i=10% and n=4 is 3.170. Since PV A = $6,000, we have A = PMT as A = 6,000 / 3.170 = $1,892.94
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Loan Amortization Loan Amortization Schedule End- of-year Loan Payment (1) Beginning- of-year- balance (2) Interest [0.10 x (2)] (3) Principal [(1)-(3)] (4) End-of-year balance [(2)-(4)] (5) 1$1,892.74$6,000.00$600.00$1,292.74 $4,707.26 2$1,892.74 4,707.26 470.73 1,422.01 3,285.25 3$1,892.74 3,285.25 328.53 1,564.21 1,721.04 4$1,892.74 1,721.04 172.10 1,720.64 -
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Effective Interest Rates Revisited Effective Annual Rate (EAR) vs Stated Annual Rate (i) So far, we have used annual interest rates applied to annual cash flows. But interest can be applied daily, weekly, monthly, semi-annually – or for any other convenient time period.
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Effective Interest Rates Revisited Stated Annual Rate (i) is an interest rate that is annualized using simple interest. For example: Your credit card charges 1.5% per month. What is the Stated Annual Rate? APR = Quoted rate x Number of Periods Per Year = 1.5% x 12 = 18%
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Effective Interest Rates Revisited Effective Annual Interest Rate (EAR) The effective annual interest rate (EAR) is an interest rate that is annualized using compound interest. For example: Your credit card charges 1.5% per month. What is the Effective Annual Rate? EAR = (1 + Quoted rate) Number of Periods Per Year - 1 = (1 + 0.015) 12 - 1 = 19.5%
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Effective Interest Rates Revisited Calculating the EAR Convert the Stated Annual Rate (i) to a period rate (i/m) and then apply the equation: (1 + i/m) m - 1 (m = Number of periods per year) Stated Annual Rate (i) : 12% Compounding Period Periods per Year (m) Period Rate (= i/m) EAR = (1+ i/m) m - 1 1 year112.0000% Semiannually26.0000%12.3600% Quarterly43.0000%12.5509% Monthly121.0000%12.6825% Daily3650.0329%12.7475%
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 1....1.0101.0201.0301.0401.0601.0801.100 2....1.0201.0401.0611.0821.1241.1661.210 3....1.0301.0611.0931.1251.1911.2601.331 4....1.0411.0821.1261.1701.2621.3601.464 5....1.0511.1041.1591.2171.3381.4691.611 10....1.1051.2191.3441.4801.7912.1592.594 20....1.2201.4861.8062.1913.2074.6616.727 An expanded table is presented in Appendix A Future value of $1 (FV IF ) Periods1%2%3%4%6%8%10% PPT 9-6
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 1..... 0.9900.9800.9710.9620.9430.9260.909 2.....0.9800.9610.9430.9250.8900.8570.826 3.....0.9710.9420.9150.8890.8400.7940.751 4.....0.9610.9240.8880.8550.7920.7350.683 5.....0.9510.9060.8630.8220.7470.6810.621 10.....0.9050.8200.7440.6760.5580.4630.386 20.....0.8200.6730.5540.4560.3120.2150.149 Present value of $1 (PV IF ) Periods1%2%3%4%6%8%10% An expanded table is presented in Appendix B PPT 9-7
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Formula Appendix Future value—–single amount.. (9-1) A Present value—–single amount. (9-3) B Future value—–annuity....... (9-4a) C Future value—–annuity in advance................... (9-4b) – Present value—annuity....... (9-5a) D Determining the Yield on an Investment (a) PPT 9-15
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Formula Appendix Present value—annuity in advance................ (9-5b) – Annuity equalling a future value.................. (9-6a) C Annuity in advance equalling a future value............ (9-6b) – Annuity equalling a present value.................. (9-7a) D Annuity in advance equalling a present value........... (9-7b) – Determining the Yield on an Investment (b) PPT 9-16
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© 2003 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Summary and Conclusions The financial manager uses the time value of money approach to value cash flows that occur at different points in time A dollar invested today at compound interest will grow a larger value in future. That future value, discounted at compound interest, is equated to a present value today PPT 9-20
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