1. Dynamical control of ozone transport and chemistry from satellite observations and CCMs Mark Weber 1, Ingo Wohltmann 2, Veronika Eyring 3, Markus Rex 2, Sandip Dhomse 1, Folkard Wittrock 1, and Martin Dameris 3 (1)Institute of Environmental Physics, University Bremen, Bremen (2)Alfred-Wegner Institute for Polar and Marine Research, Potsdam (3)Institute of Atmospheric Physics, DLR Oberpfaffenhofen  Visit also Poster 4a-4 Wohltmann et al. Mark.Weber@uni-bremen.de Workshop Process-oriented Validation of GCMs, Garmisch-Partenkrichen, 16-19 Nov 2003

2. Overview Diagnostics: Planetary wave driving and total ozone (OClO) Data sources: GOME (O3 and OClO), TOMS, TOMS-SBUV merged dataset, sondes Met Analyses: ERA40, NCEP, UKMO Topics:  Planetary wave driving and ozone/temperature (introduction)  Tropospheric forcing and winter ozone gain  Dynamical control of summer ozone  Chlorine activation/chemical ozone loss (polar vortex)

3. Annual cycle in total ozone

4. Interannual variability Winter/spring ozone Photochem. summer decay

5. GOME 1996-2002 r=  0.74 Tropics -dO 3 /dt [DU/month] Ozone tendency in tropics and high latitudes after Fusco & Salby, 1999, Randel et al. 2002

6. K Temperature and zonal winds Cold tropical lowermost stratosphere/tropopause cold polar vortex Strong polar jet Link between T variability in tropics to planetary wave driving (Yulaeva et al. 1994) Link between planetary wave driving and Arctic T variability (Newmann et al. 2001)

7. EP (Heat) Flux and Residual Circulation

8. ozone production cold/warm winters heterogenous/gasphase chemistry Meridional circulation ~2-4 y EP (heat) flux Planetary scale wave activity Extratropical Pump Brewer-Dobson circulation Residual circulation Ozone & T variability chemistry/transport EP (Heat) Flux and Residual Circulation

9. Annual cycle of GOME and E39/C TOZ NH SH

10. Tropospheric forcing and spring/fall ozone ratio  GOME ozone ratio  50°-90°  Sep over Mar (SH) Mar over Sep (NH)  Winter heat flux  43°-70°  100 mbar  Sep-Mar (Mar-Sep) integrated and averaged SH anomaly 2002 Cold Arctic winter/spring seasons Weber et al. 2003  See Poster (Wohltmann et al.) for other met analyses and TOMS data

11. +5 m+6 m +8 m +7 m

12. spring/fall ratio for different months +10 m +11 m +9 m + 1 y

13. Ozone winter gain and summer transition  ERA40 vs UKMO  Interannual variability of winter heat flux correlates well with winter ozone gain  Winter heat flux higher in ERA40 (too much transport)  E39/C vs GOME  lower interannual variability in winter (NH)  weaker wave driving in SH (cold bias?)  Photochemical decay about 3m (>50°N) and 2.5 m (>62°N)  Good agreement between GOME and E39/C

14. Early 80s vs. late nineties  Correlation with ERA40 in early 80s and SH very poor ERA40

15. EP-Flux and polar ozone  TOMS/SBUV O3:  March 65°-70°N  NCEP EP-Flux:  15 Nov -28 Mar  100hPa  45°-75°N r=0.74  Lower correlation (0.69) in 80s  less O3 change for a given EP flux anomaly  Higher correlation (0.84) in 90s  more ozone transport for a given EP flux anomaly

16. Tropospheric forcing and chlorine activation  OClO  BrO+ClO –> OClO + O  Measured in twilight inside the polar vortex  Maximum vertical column at 90° solar zenith angle integrated over the winter  Below 92°SZA OClO is a measure of chlorine activation UKMO Weber et al. 2003 High chlorine activation persisted during SH anomaly 2002

17. Dynamical control of chemical ozone loss EP-Flux Anomaly [10 5 kg /s 2 ] Dec-Mar total ozone change [DU]  See Poster (Wohltmann et al.) for detrailed transport & chemistry diagnostics of E39/C and ERA40  Sonde total columns  NH pol. vortex average  Chemical depleted column  Dec-Mar difference  Corrected for diabatic descent  Dynamical supply  Observed minus chemical depeleted column

18. Summary & Conclusion  Compact relationship between winter ozone gain and seasonal heat flux for both hemispheres (late nineties/early 2000)  Connection between chlorine activation/chemical loss to planetary wave driving can be explored  Summer ozone levels are tied to wave activity of the previous winter (see also Fioletov et al. 2003)  Met. Analyses  good measure of interannual variability  differences in strength of high latitude ozone transport varies (ERA40 higher than NCEP/UKMO)  Correlations between wave driving & ozone particularly well in 90s  E39/C (and possibly other CCMs)  less interannual variability in winter  Summer bias of 20% to observations at mid- to high latitude  No summer minimum in SH  Data still to be explored: GOME NO 2 and ENVISAT

19. Record high absolute lower stratospheric heat flux on 20th/21st September (ERA40 1960-2002) Splitting of the polar vortex on 26th September 2002 First major stratospheric warming in SH

20. ERA15/ERA40