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Published byFerdinand Osborne Williamson Modified over 9 years ago
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Systems Thinking drawing causal loop diagrams to effect change Marc Evers – Piecemeal Growth www.piecemealgrowth.net Willem van den Ende – Living Software www.willemvandenende.com
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complex systems
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linear cause-effect thinking is not sufficient
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need a different way of thinking & seeing
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the whole interrelations
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self-reinforcing and balancing loops nonlinearity
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firefighting tackle root causes
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let's play...
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perceived competencenew balls thrown in balls in air + + +
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perceived competencenew balls thrown in balls in air + + + - avg time to catch % unsuccessful catches balls dropped - + -
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- avg time to catch % unsuccessful catches balls dropped - + - perceived competencenew balls thrown in balls in air + + + balls on the floor people chasing balls people catching + + - +
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water temperature + desired temperature difference warm water supply + + - delay variable causal relation (same) causal relation (opposite) loop (balancing) diagram of effects aka causal loop diagram
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B A + B A - B A S B A O B A B A same effectopposite effect B A management decision
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creating a diagram 1. tell the story – ask questions, determine scope and focus question 2. collect variables – observable or measurable – behaviour over time 3. determine cause effect relations 4. look for loops – reinforcing, stabilizing 5. simplify – 7 ± 2 variables - remove unrelated variables – split up the diagram 6. identify possible interventions
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background systems theory cybernetics system dynamics organizational learning
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Peter M. Senge The Fifth Discipline Gerald M. Weinberg Quality Software Management
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Linda Booth Sweeney Dennis Meadows Systems Thinking Playbook
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systems thinking in context
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questions
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