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Patrick Kelly Presented to the State Higher Education Executive Officers Colorado Springs, CO July 20, 2005 National Center for Higher Education Management Systems P.O. Box 9752 Boulder, Colorado 80301-9752 (303) 497-0301 Piecing It All Together: Higher Education and Economic Development
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2 Implications for Higher Education D IFFERS BY S TATE In Some States, the Greatest Need Is to Produce More Graduates to Fill Available Jobs Georgia Illinois Minnesota Washington Colorado Texas Nevada
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3 Implications for Higher Education (cont.) In Other States, the Need Is to Create Jobs to Employ the Graduates Being Produced. Indiana Wisconsin Iowa North Dakota Nebraska Kansas
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4 Implications for Higher Education (cont.) In Other States, the Need Is Both Production of Graduates and Job Creation. West Virginia Montana Louisiana Oklahoma Arkansas New Mexico
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5 Production of College Graduates (Undergraduate Credentials and Degrees Awarded Per 1,000 Residents 18 to 44 with a High School Diploma or Some College – but No College Degree) Migration Rate of 22- to 29-Year- Olds with a College Degree States’ Ability to Produce Graduates vs. Ability to Keep and Attract Graduates AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE GA HI IL IN IA KS LA ME MD MA MS MT NE NV NJ NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD UT VT VA WA FL ID MI MN MO NH NM TN TX WV WI WY -350 -280 -210 -140 -70 0 70 140 210 280 350 102030405060 Low Production, Importer of CapitalHigh Production, Importer of Capital Low Production, Exporter of CapitalHigh Production, Exporter of Capital KY
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6 Production of College Graduates (Undergraduate Credentials and Degrees Awarded Per 1,000 Residents 18 to 44 with a High School Diploma or Some College – but No College Degree) Migration Rate of 22- to 29-Year- Olds with a College Degree States’ Ability to Produce Graduates vs. Ability to Keep and Attract Graduates AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE GA HI IL IN IA KS LA ME MD MA MS MT NE NV NJ NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD UT VT VA WA FL ID MI MN MO NH NM TN TX WV WI WY -350 -280 -210 -140 -70 0 70 140 210 280 350 102030405060 New Economy Index (2002) Top Tier Middle Tier Low Tier Low Production, Importer of CapitalHigh Production, Importer of Capital Low Production, Exporter of CapitalHigh Production, Exporter of Capital KY
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7 Production of College Graduates (Undergraduate Credentials and Degrees Awarded Per 1,000 Residents 18 to 44 with a High School Diploma or Some College – but No College Degree) Migration Rate of 22- to 29-Year- Olds with a College Degree States’ Ability to Produce Graduates vs. Ability to Keep and Attract Graduates AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE GA HI IL IN IA KS LA ME MD MA MS MT NE NV NJ NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD UT VT VA WA FL ID MI MN MO NH NM TN TX WV WI WY -350 -280 -210 -140 -70 0 70 140 210 280 350 102030405060 New Economy Index (2002) Top Tier Middle Tier Low Tier Low Production, Importer of CapitalHigh Production, Importer of Capital Low Production, Exporter of CapitalHigh Production, Exporter of Capital KY
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8 How Iowa Ranks Among Other States on Selected Measures for Education and Economic Development Note: For more information, see www.higheredinfo.org 50403020100 31st 48th 49th 46th 45th 2nd 4th 18th 7th 5th 39th State Ranking State New Economy Index Personal Income Per Capita Difference in Earnings bet. Bachelor's Degree and HS Diploma Difference in Earnings bet. Associate Degree and HS Diploma Migration Rate of Older College Graduates (Ages 30 to 64) Migration Rate of Young College Graduates (Ages 22 to 29) Overall Results on Student Pipeline (Transition Rates from 9th Grade to College Completion) Six-Year Graduation Rates of Bachelor's Students Three-Year Graduation Rates of Associate Students College-Going Rates of Students Directly Out of High School Public High School Graduation Rates Education MeasuresEconomic Development Measures
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9 How Colorado Ranks Among Other States on Selected Measures for Education and Economic Development Note: For more information, see www.higheredinfo.org Education MeasuresEconomic Development Measures State Ranking State New Economy Index Personal Income Per Capita Difference in Earnings Between Bachelor's Degree and HS Diploma Difference in Earnings Between Associate Degree and HS Diploma Migration Rate of Older College Graduates (Ages 30 to 64) Migration Rate of Young College Graduates (Ages 22 to 29) Overall Results on Student Pipeline (Transition Rates from 9th Grade to College Completion) Six-Year Graduation Rates of Bachelor's Students Three-Year Graduation Rates of Associate Students College-Going Rates of Students Directly Out of High School Public High School Graduation Rates 50403020100 5th 39th 17th 5th 2nd 20th 27th 23rd 37th 29th 4th
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10 Progressive Policy Institute—“State New Economy Index” (2002)
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Development Report Card for the States, 2003 Strengths (Top 10 Rank) RankMeasure 1Highway Deficiency 1Air Quality 1Involuntary Part-Time Employment 2Cost of Urban Housing 4Income Distribution 4Unemployment Rate 5Employment Growth: Short Term 5University R&D 7Basic Educational Skills Proficiency— Reading 7Employer Health Coverage 7Poverty Rate 8Voting Rate 8Basic Educational Skills Proficiency— Math 8Business Closings 9High School Attainment 9Uninsured Low Income Children 9Teen Pregnancy 41Private Lending to Small Businesses 43Venture Capital Investments 44Net Migration 46SBIR Grants 47Manufacturing Investment 49New Companies Weaknesses (Bottom 10 Rank) RankMeasure Source: Corporation for Enterprise Development Iowa EmploymentB Earnings and Job QualityA EquityB Quality of LifeB Resource EfficiencyC Competitiveness of Existing Bus.C Entrepreneurial EnergyD Human ResourcesA Financial ResourcesF Infrastructure ResourcesB Amenity ResourcesA Innovation AssetsC Performance Business Vitality Development Capacity BDBBDB
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EmploymentA Earnings and Job QualityB EquityC Quality of LifeC Resource EfficiencyB Competitiveness of Existing Bus.A Entrepreneurial EnergyA Human ResourcesD Financial ResourcesA Infrastructure ResourcesB Amenity ResourcesC Innovation AssetsA Performance Business Vitality Development Capacity BAABAA Strengths (Top 10 Rank) RankMeasure 1Air Quality 1Business Closings 2Technology Industry Employment 2New Companies 2College Attainment 3Deaths from Heart Disease 3SBIR Grants 4SBIC Financing 4Venture Capital Investments 4Sewage Treatment Needs 4Employment Growth: Long Term 5Science and Engineering Grad Students 5Bridge Deficiency 6Households with Computers 9Average Annual Pay 9PhD Scientists and Engineers 9Mass Layoffs Development Report Card for the States, 2003 41Basic Educational Skills Proficiency—Math 41Change in Average Annual Pay 42Cost of Urban Housing 43Income Distribution Change 44Basic Educational Skills Proficiency— Reading 44K-12 Educational Expenditures 46Recycling Rate 46High School Completion 47Electronic Public Services 48Uninsured Low Income Children Weaknesses (Bottom 10 Rank) RankMeasure Source: Corporation for Enterprise Development Colorado
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13 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5% Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) Files Net In-Migration by Degree Level and Age Group— Iowa 22- to 29-Year-Olds30- to 64-Year-Olds Less than High School High School Some College Associate Bachelor’s Graduate/Professional Total 5,020 1,539 -542 -2,041 -14,579 -2,323 -12,926 -20,000010,000 5,354 1,718 733 -552 -4,156 -3,833 -736 -6,00006,000
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14 Import/Export Ratio of First-Time Freshmen, Fall 2002 (>1=Importer, <1=Exporter) Source: NCES-IPEDS Residency and Migration Survey Iowa Imported 9,543 First-Time Freshmen and Exported 3,874 3.89 2.46 1.19 0.12 1 2 3 4 0 Utah Rhode IslandArizona Mississippi North CarolinaIowa Indiana Florida Wyoming Alabama West VirginiaSouth Carolina Delaware North Dakota PennsylvaniaOklahoma Massachusetts VermontKentuckyColoradoTennessee Louisiana Kansas Idaho ArkansasVirginia New Hampshire Oregon Missouri United States New York California Hawaii South DakotaGeorgia Texas Michigan Wisconsin Nebraska Ohio MinnesotaNew MexicoMontana NevadaMaryland Maine WashingtonConnecticut Illinois New Jersey Alaska
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15 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5% Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) Files Net In-Migration by Degree Level and Age Group— Colorado 22- to 29-Year-Olds30- to 64-Year-Olds Less than High School High School Some College Associate Bachelor’s Graduate/Professional Total 18,620 12,808 16,744 4,000 28,904 6,403 87,479 0100,000 22,985 12,375 16,438 8,093 34,590 19,074 113,555 0120,000
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16 Net Migration of Residents with College Degrees—Iowa, 1995-2000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau’s Public Use Microdata Samples (Based on 2000 Census) Ages 22-29 Health Diagnosing & Treating Practitioners Computer Specialists Primary, Secondary, & Special Education Teachers Financial Specialists Business Operations Specialists Advertising, Mktg., Promotions, Public Rel., & Sales Mgrs. Other Management Occupations Retail Sales Sales Representatives, Services Engineers Religious Workers Supervisors, Personal Care & Service Workers Material Moving Workers Material Recording, Scheduling, Dispatching, & Distributing Life Scientists Other Education, Training, & Library Occupations Agricultural Workers Nursing, Psychiatric, & Home Health Aides Life, Physical, & Social Science Technicians Postsecondary Teachers
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17 Net Migration of Residents with College Degrees—Iowa, 1995-2000 Health Diagnosing & Treating Practitioners Computer Specialists Other Management Occupations Retail Sales Business Operations Specialists Top Executives Financial Specialists Advertising, Mktg., Promotions, Public Rel., & Sales Mgrs. Sales Representatives, Services Engineers Supervisors of Installation, Maintenance, & Repair Food Processing Workers Sales Representatives, Wholesale & Manufacturing Religious Workers Life, Physical, & Social Science Technicians Other Education, Training, & Library Occupations Financial Clerks Nursing, Psychiatric, & Home Health Aides Physical Scientists Postsecondary Teachers Ages 30-64 Source: U.S. Census Bureau’s Public Use Microdata Samples (Based on 2000 Census)
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18 Net Migration of Residents with College Degrees— Colorado, 1995-2000 Air Transportation Military Officer Special & Tactical Operations Leaders/Managers Supervisors of Installation, Maintenance, & Repair Vehicle & Mobile Equipment Mechanics, Installers, & Repairers Occupational & Physical Therapist Assistants & Aides Assemblers & Fabricators Life Scientists Rail Transportation Media & Communication Equipment Workers Supervisors, Transportation & Material Moving Workers Supervisors, Sales Workers Retail Sales Business Operations Specialists Financial Specialists Health Diagnosing & Treating Practitioners Information & Record Clerks Other Management Occupations Primary, Secondary, & Special Education Teachers Engineers Computer Specialists Ages 22-29 -1,069 -172 -106 -103 -66 -50 -42 -39 -32 1,350 1,365 1,570 1,576 1,894 2,178 2,317 2,651 5,112 -88 -2,000-1,00001,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau’s Public Use Microdata Samples (Based on 2000 Census)
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19 Net Migration of Residents with College Degrees— Colorado, 1995-2000 Vehicle & Mobile Equipment Mechanics, Installers, & Repairers Transportation, Tourism, & Lodging Attendants Media & Communication Equipment Workers Occupational & Physical Therapist Assistants & Aides Supervisors, Farming, Fishing, & Forestry Workers Fire Fighting & Prevention Water Transportation Workers Agricultural Workers Air Transportation Communications Equipment Operators Financial Specialists Information & Record Clerks Top Executives Business Operations Specialists Primary, Secondary, & Special Education Teachers Operations Specialties Managers Engineers Health Diagnosing & Treating Practitioners Other Management Occupations Computer Specialists Ages 30-64 -321 -160 -78 -60 -43 -29 -18 -14 1,637 2,002 2,018 2,057 2,064 3,103 3,262 3,570 4,275 8,250 -46 -2,00002,0004,0006,0008,00010,000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau’s Public Use Microdata Samples (Based on 2000 Census)
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20 Where Degree Production Is the Priority, the Primary Focus Must Be on: College Entrance (Missouri, Texas) College Completion (Illinois, Minnesota, Texas)
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21 Where Job Creation Is the Priority, the Role of Higher Education Is More Complex. Fast-Response Workforce Training Entrepreneurship Education Research/Technology Transfer Contributing to Improvements in Quality of Life (Cultural Events, Quality of Public Schools, etc.) Some Things Beyond the Control of Higher Education Competitive Salaries
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22 Workforce Issues – How Does Higher Education Connect to Other Parts of the Enterprise? High School Completion Adult Education and Literacy Corrections Social Services
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23 These data are available at: http://www.higheredinfo.org http://www.higheredinfo.org
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