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Islamic Banking in Oman Oman First Islamic Finance and Banking Conference January 23 rd 2012
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Booz & Company Today’s discussion points 1 Why Islamic Banking? Size of the prize? Growth drivers? Main opportunities? How to win? Pent-up demand Availability of Islamic liquidity, particularly internationally Potential for innovation Up to USD 15 Bn, next 4-5 years Favourable macro-economics Attractive demographics New entrants Mass-affluent, mortgages and personal credit Infrastructure and real estate, SMEs First mover advantage; source deposits Cross border funding Selective, innovative strategies Sharia’h credibility with customers
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Booz & Company Why Islamic banking? 2 Pent-up demand Availability of Islamic liquidity, particularly internationally Potential for innovation Religious sentiment among large consumer segment Recent survey ~ 70% of customers likely to switch to Islamic banks Large (~ USD 800 Bn) and fast growing (25-30%) liquidity in Islamic finance globally Islamic banks can ‘bridge’ Islamic liquidity to the Sultanate Excess capacity and heightened competition… … drives greater product, service and channel innovation to build customer and deposit base and boost profitability
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Booz & Company Size of the Price? 3 Islamic Assets Penetration/ Total Assets Penetration/ GDP 2016 Up to USD 15 Bn 15-20% 12-15% 30% 3% 17% 35% 38% 28% 27% Asset Penetration 38% 4% 24% 18% 57% 37% 34% 25% Credit Penetration GCC Avg. 225% 28% 31% 1% 35 % 29% 45% 34% GDP Penetration
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Booz & Company Growth drivers? 4 Favorable macro-economic outlook Attractive demographics New entrants Economic diversification and greater infrastructure spend Higher capital inflows, vibrant private sector Growing FDIs and trading volumes Young population (62% under the age of 30), large and growing middle class ( >60% of total income) Growing affluence and income levels - improving education infrastructure and Omanization Two new licensed banks (Nizwa and Al-Izz), sizeable capitalization (USD 600-800 Mn) Main incumbents launching windows (Bank Muscat, Al Ahli, NBO, Oman Arab Bank etc.)
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Booz & Company Main opportunities? - Personal banking 5 SegmentsProducts Affluent (incl. mass affluent) Young High net- worth ~25-30% of bankable population; 10-15% growth; ~40-50% of revenue pool Underserved; needs differentiated/ tailored services/ channels High growth segment Future feeder for affluent Sizeable wallet and cross-sell potential (~20-30% of revenue pool) Needs offshore center and dedicated onshore coverage team 5% 7% 10% 15-20% 60-65% 7-10% 10-15% 15-20% 10-15% Personal Credit Mortgages AUMs and Bankatakaful Credit Cards Remittances And Others % of 2016 Revenue Pool Growth (2011-2016) 2016 Revenues ~ USD 1.5-2.0 Bn
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Booz & Company Main opportunities? Infrastructure financing 6 Project Finance Commitments 2005 - 2011 YTD 80% Foreign Domestic New Players PotentialNew Players PotentialNew Players PotentialNew Players Potential Local Foreign 50-60% Total Financing ~ USD 25-27 Bn Total Financing ~ USD 45-50 Bn 25-30% 15-25% Expected Project Finance Commitments 2011 - 2016 YTD Capabilities needed Long-term, stable funding End-to-end project finance solutions: –Structuring/ advisory, industry-specific (e.g., utilities, LNG, transport) –Syndications(Sukuks/ securitization) –Banking solutions (e.g., supplier financing, payment management)
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Booz & Company Main opportunities? Real estate and construction sector 7 Demand Construction finance fastest growing sector (~ 41% CAGR over past 5 years), ~ USD 3 Bn in 2010 Real estate and construction projects continuing ~ USD 6 Bn (next five years) Growth drivers: Need for affordable/ modern housing, urbanization (e.g., Sohar, Duqam, Salalah), and large Integrated Tourism Complexes Capabilities needed Shariah-compliant tailored solutions across the real estate value chain One-stop-shop for financing projects of local/ regional developers, offering: –Capital raising and distribution/ placement with own affluent/ HNW customers and regional investors (retail and institutional) –Channeling liquidity through funds, DCM, direct equity and/ or long-term financing vehicles (Istisnaa, Ijara, Musharaka) –Asset management –Financing for customers and investors
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Booz & Company Capabilities needed Main opportunities? SMEs 8 Demand 10,000 – 15,000 SMEs in the Sultanate SME contribution to grow given private sector boost (particularly in manufacturing, trade, logistics) SME financing to grow (SME financing in GCC still limited: 2-5% of total loan book vs. 10-15% in OECD) Tailored Solutions Easy and timely access to financing SME packages and bundles Advisory center Superior Service Technology Innovation Dedicated RMs Dedicated SME areas and contract center Simplified processes and custom pricing SME e-Platform Alternative and innovative channels
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Booz & Company How to win? 9 There will be losers - excess capital and rapid switching of deposits Launch early (First mover advantage) Focus on sourcing deposits early-on Pressure on local balance sheets to provide large-scale and long-term funding (infrastructure, real estate) Build cross border funding and FI relationships Attract long-term funding (e.g., government deposits) Tough to generate returns from mainstream segments (personal and corporate) Be selective on where to play Adopt innovative strategies ‘Man on the street’ is demanding stricter Shariah-compliance Build-up appropriate Shariah skills rapidly Use proven products to gain credibility
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Booz & Company Recap 10 Why Islamic Banking? Size of the prize? Growth drivers? Main opportunities? How to win? Pent-up demand Availability of Islamic liquidity, particularly internationally Potential for innovation Up to USD 15 Bn, next 4-5 years Favourable macro-economics Attractive demographics New entrants Mass-affluent, mortgages and personal credit Infrastructure and real estate, SMEs First mover advantage; source deposits Cross border funding Selective, innovative strategies Sharia’h credibility with customers
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