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Published byJack Robinson Modified over 9 years ago
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Regional Housing Market Outlook presented to Home Builders & Remodelers of Central New York March 14, 2008 Robert Denk ASVP, Forecasting & Analysis
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US Single Family Housing Starts Thousands of Units, SAAR Source: US Census Bureau, NAHB
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Local Local Local Local Local Local Local LocalLocal LocalLocal LocalKey Factors:Local LocalLocal LocalEconomic –Local LocalIncome, Employment,Local LocalPopulationLocal LocalLocal LocalHousing Market –Local LocalHouse Prices,Local LocalInventoriesLocal LocalLocal LocalSpecial –Local LocalSubprime ExposureLocal LocalLocal Local Local Local Local Local Local Local LocalLocal
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Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics
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Source: Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO)
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Source: OFHEO
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(un)Affordability Source: US Census Bureau, National Association of Realtors Median House Price / Median Income
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Source: Mortgage Bankers Assn, National Delinquency Survey
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The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly Source: US Census Bureau Single Family Building Permits, Thousands of Units, SAAR
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Houston, TX Source: US Census Bureau, OFHEO Single Family Building Permits, ThousandsPercent Change in Prices
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Baltimore, MD Source: US Census Bureau, OFHEO Percent Change in PricesSingle Family Building Permits, Thousands
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Cape Coral, FL Source: US Census Bureau, OFHEO Percent Change in PricesSingle Family Building Permits, Thousands
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Syracuse, NY Source: US Census Bureau, OFHEO Percent Change in PricesSingle Family Building Permits, Thousands
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(un)Affordability Source: US Census Bureau, National Association of Realtors Median House Price / Median Income
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US: -25% Single-Family Permits Growth (YTD_Dec’07 over Average YTD_Dec’00-Dec’03) <= -41% -41% to -31% -31% to -21% -21% to -11% -11% to 0% >0% Source: US Census Bureau
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<= -41% -41% to -31% -31% to -21% -21% to -11% -11% to 0% >0% Single-Family Permits Growth (YTD_Dec’07 over Average YTD_Dec’00-Dec’03 ) US: -25%
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Single Family Housing Starts US - Thousands of Units, Syracuse - Number of Units, SAAR Source: US Census Bureau, NAHB US Syracuse
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Contact Info: Robert Denk ASVP, Forecasting & Analysis 202-266-8698 RDENK@NAHB.COM
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