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Residential Financial Analysis
Chapter 6 Residential Financial Analysis
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Overview Incremental Borrowing Cost Loan Refinancing
Effective Cost of Multiple Loans Below Market Financing Cash Equivalency
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Incremental Borrowing Cost
Compare financing alternatives What is the real cost of borrowing more money at a higher interest rate? Alternatively, what is the required return to justify a lower down payment? Basic principle when comparing choices: What are the cash flow differences?
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Incremental Borrowing Cost – Continued
Example: Home Value = $150,000 Two Financing Alternatives: #1: 90% Loan-to-Value, 8.5% Interest Rate, 30 Years #2: 80% Loan-to-Value, 8.0% Interest Rate, 30 Years It appears there is only a 50bp interest rate difference, but…
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Incremental Borrowing Cost – Continued
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Incremental Borrowing Cost – Continued
20.57% represents the real cost of borrowing the extra $10,000 Can you earn an equivalent risk adjusted return on the $10,000 that is not invested in the home? Alternatively, can you borrow the additional $10,000 elsewhere at a lower cost?
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Incremental Borrowing Cost – Early Repayment
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Incremental Borrowing Cost – Origination Fees
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Incremental Borrowing Cost – Second Mortgage
In the first case we compared 80 and 90% LTV loans By borrowing $90,000, cost of additional $10,000 was 20.57% What if we borrow $80,000 (80% LTV) and shop for loan for $10,000 with 25 year term If we can borrow that $10,000 at a cost less than 20.57% then we would have loan with a lower cost than 90% LTV loan. Suppose a lender can loan us that $10,000 at 18% Composite cost of borrowing would be ($80,000 / $90,000) × 12% + ($10,000 / $90,000) × 18% This is 12.66% It is clear that break-even rate for second mortgage is 20.57%
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Incremental Borrowing Cost – Maturity Differences
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Loan Refinancing Borrower consideration
Lower interest rates in the market than on the current loan The borrower can secure lower monthly payments There is a cost to refinance Application of basic capital budgeting investment decision: What is our return on an investment in a new loan?
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Loan Refinancing for Remaining Term of Original Loan
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Loan Refinancing – Early Repayment of New Loan
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Borrowing the Financing Costs
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Effective Cost of Multiple Loans
Basic Technique Compute the payments for the loans Combine into a cash flow stream Compute the effective cost of the amount borrowed, given the cash flow stream Compare the cost to alternative financing options
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Effective Cost of Multiple Loans – Continued
Example: You need a $500,000 financing package. $100,000 at 7.0%, 30 Years $200,000 at 7.5%, 20 Years $200,000 at 8.0%, 10 Years
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Effective Cost of Multiple Loans – Continued
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Below Market Financing
A seller with a below market rate assumable loan may increase the home price All else equal, a buyer is paying a higher price for lower payments Similar to other problems, we compute interest rate and compare it to other equivalent risk investments
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Below Market Financing – Continued
The buyer can secure below market financing by paying $5,000 more for an identical home The below market financing results in a monthly payment of $85.63 less than if regular financing was used The buyer earns 19.41% on the $5,000 investment by reducing the monthly payment by $85.63
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Cash Equivalency How much more a borrower would be most willing to pay for a property with an assumable loan? This is same as PV of payment savings discounted at the rate a new loan could be obtained
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Cash Equivalency – Continued
Together with the financing premium, a buyer could be willing to pay $107,534 for this property to receive the benefit of below-market financing Does this mean the house is worth more than $100,000? Need to separate the value of the property with and without the effects of financing Note that the amount of cash invested in this property would be $100,000 if you take away the assumable loan benefit
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Cash Equivalency - Smaller Loan Balance
Need for additional borrowing due to relatively low balance on the assumable loan reduces the financing premium on the property
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