1. Climatic changes and evaluation of their effects on agriculture in Asian monsoon region (CAAM) Project leader: Prof. Masaru Mizoguchi Department of Global Agricultural Science The University of Tokyo 1 The First International Workshop of CAAM 3-5 March 2012

2. What is CAAM Project? under the research framework of the Green Network of Excellence (GRENE) – One of 7 selected-projects – Biodiversity, Climate, Land, Water, Agriculture, Health, DIAS from 2011 to 2015 (by the end of March 2016) supported by the Japanese Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology (MEXT) 2

3. Budget in 5 years (2011) 63 Million JPY (2012) 54 Million JPY (2013) 50 Million JPY (hopefully) (2014) 50 Million JPY (hopefully) (2015) 50 Million JPY (hopefully) (Total) Approx. 267 Million JPY 3

4. Objective of this workshop To discuss our research implementation and collaboration in each country – by exchanging present research activities related with CAAM project To make short presentation – about research activities on the related topic and expectation for CAAM project. 4

5. Background Asian monsoon region – Large population (more than 60 % in the world) – Many agricultural countries – Rapid development – Rapid change in land use Need for adaptation and mitigation strategies in agriculture – against the predicted climatic changes – Control of GHG from agricultural fields Problem – Lack of agro-meteorological and climatological data-bases 5

6. Research plan 6

7. Project aims To improve the reliability of future climate prediction To develop the information platform – which will be useful to design adaptation and mitigation strategies in agriculture – against the predicted climatic changes in Asian monsoon region 7

8. Research targets Development of agro-meteorological and climatological data-bases Evaluation of land surface conditions on climate Elucidation of the effects of climatic changes on major crops Development of the information platform to design adaptation and mitigation strategies of major crops against the predicted climatic changes – in Asian monsoon region 8

9. Objectives Development of information system on agrometeorological and climatological data in Asian monsoon region – that can be utilized in DIAS (Data Integration and Analysis System) Evaluation of land surface conditions on climate characteristic in Asian monsoon region – by utilizing climate model outputs available in DIAS 9

10. Objectives Elucidation of climate changes on major crops in Asian monsoon region – by field surveys and development of evaluation system utilizing meteorological data and crop models Development of information platform to design adaptation strategies of major crops – against the predicted climatic changes – to evaluate the mitigation potential – by reducing green house gasses from agricultural sector in Asian monsoon region 10

11. Planned benefits Development of information platform on climate changes, land use, and agro-meteorology, – that on the prediction of major crops against the predicted climatic changes for designing adaptation and mitigation strategies in Asian monsoon region Education of young scientists in Asian developing countries who will lead researches on – adaptation and mitigation strategies against the future climatic changes – development of regional collaboration network by them 11

12. Planned benefits Development of research platform – for adaptation and mitigation policies in Asian agricultural sector – against the future global warming in the coming post-Kyoto Protocol period 12

13. Members Climate change research team 1 (CCR-1) – Department of Geography, Tokyo Metropolitan University (GEO-TMU) – Leader: Dr. Hiroshi G. Takahashi Member: Ikumi Akasaka Climate change research team 2 (CCR-2) – Research Institute for Global Change, Japan Marine- Earth Science and Technology (RIGC-JMSTEC) – Leader: Prof. Jun Matsumoto Members: Shin-ya Ogino, Nobuhiko Endo, Hisayuki Kubota, Shuichi Mori 13

14. Members Agricultural effect research team 1 (AER-1) – Department of Global Agricultural Science, The University of Tokyo (GAS-UT) – Leader: Prof. Masaru Mizoguchi Members: Seishi Ninomiya, Kazuhiko Kobayashi Agricultural effect research team 2 (AER-2) – National Agricultural Research Center, National Agriculture and Food Research Organization (NARC- NARO) – Leader: Dr. Kei Tanaka Members: Takuji Kiura, Hiroe Yoshida 14

15. Members Agricultural effect research team 3 (AER-3) – National Institute for Agro-Environmental Sciences – Leader: Dr. Tsuneo Kuwagata – Members: Shigeto Sudo, Yusuke Takada, Kazunori Minamikawa 15

16. 1)Development of Agro-climatological Data-base in the Developing Countries in Asian Monsoon Region (Climate Change Research Team 1: CCR-1) (JAMSTEC) 2011 - 2012 Collection and digitization of agro-meteorological and climate data 2012 - 2013 Completion and opening of the agro-climate database 2014 - 2015 CCR2 Scenario data of agro-climatic conditions from AER1, 2 2013 - 2014 Overseas collaborating institutes 2012 - 2013 In-situ observation (Vietnam, Philippines) DIAS Routine obs. duration of sunshine, temperature, humidity, wind speed, rainfall Estimated values solar radiation longwave radiation potential evapotranspiration climatic wetness Comparisons Calculation Formulae Special obs. solar radiation longwave radiation Development of station-based and gridded database Improvement of surface water and energy budget model and calculation of agro-meteorological elements 16

17. 2) Impact of Land-Use/Land-Cover (LULC) Changes on the Asian Monsoon Climate - Land-Atmosphere Interaction Study - (Climate Change Research Team 2: CCR-2) (Tokyo Metropolitan University) 2011 - 2012 Long-term changes in rainfall (inter-comparison of several rainfall datasets) Boundary condition datasets for climate simulation (soil moisture etc.) 2012 - 2013 Impact of LULC changes on Asian monsoon climate using regional climate model 2014 - 2015 Meteorologica l data from AER2,3 2013 - 2014 Inter-comparison of CMIP3/5 in terms of Land- Atmospheric interaction. Long-term changes in Rainfall over 40 years in May ＋ ー DIAS Meteorological data from CCR1 ＋ ー Takahashi et al. (2010) Takahashi (2011) Rainfall Change due to land use change 17

18. Presets for joint research (Thailand, Indonesia) 3) Climatic Changes and Evaluation of Their Effects on Agriculture in Asian Monsoon Region Based on a Field Survey -Validation of evaluation system by field survey - (Agricultural Effect Research Team 1: AER-1) (Univ. of Tokyo) Cropping survey and understand their characteristics Examination of potential cultivation by crop models Possible cultivation test for suitable crop system 2011 2012 - 2013 - 2014 Development of infrastructure for Web applications use 2015 Spinach field ricecassavaspinach CCR-1 AER-2 Rain-fed rice field Cassava field Simulator for Cultivation Possibility of Rice AER-3 18

19. Rice cultivation possibility prediction tool Collecting crop models & params. （ for Asian Monsoon Region ） 4) Climatic Changes and Evaluation of Their Effects on Agriculture in Asian Monsoon Region Based on a Field Survey - Construction of an Assessment System Using Meteorological Data and Crop Models - (Agricultural Effect Research Team 2: AER-2) (NARO) Rice Cultivar A SpinachCassava ・・ ・ Implementing cultivation simulators with flexibility which can exchange a crop model Simulator execution ↓ Climate change evaluation Results of Climate Change Research Meteorological Data + Climate Change Coef. Clop models Web applications Framework for developing applications Existing Results 2011 - 2012 2013 - 2014 Improvement of the framework Verification Correction Implementing web applications → Deploying to DIAS 2015 Improvement of simulators Rain Fed Rice Field Rice Cultivar B 19

20. 5) Development of Information Platform to Design Adaptation and Mitigation Strategies of Major Crops against the Predicted Climatic Changes in Asian Monsoon Region (Agricultural Effect Research Team 3: AER-3) (NIAES) 2011 - 2014 Collecting data of meteorology, soil, land cover and agriculture Evaluation of soil temperature and moisture of cropland 2012 - 2014 Development of information platform for adaptation and mitigation strategies 2015 2014 2011 - 2014 Compilation of agro- climate change scenarios Measurement of greenhouse gas emissions from cropland CCR-1 AER-1, 2 Rice field Foreign Institutes for joint research Database for planning adaptation and mitigation strategies CCR-2 20

21. ありがとうございました ขอบคุณคุณ Terima kasih salamat sa inyo Cảm ơ n bạn 谢谢 Thank you 21