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Factor Analysis and Inference for Structured Covariance Matrices
Shyh-Kang Jeng Department of Electrical Engineering/ Graduate Institute of Communication/ Graduate Institute of Networking and Multimedia
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History Early 20th-century attempt to define and measure intelligence
Developed primarily by scientists interested in psychometrics Advent of computers generated a renewed interest Each application must be examined on its own merits
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Essence of Factor Analysis
Describe the covariance among many variables in terms of a few underlying, but unobservable, random factors. A group of variables highly correlated among themselves, but having relatively small correlations with variables in different groups represent a single underlying factor
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Example 9.8 Examination Scores
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Orthogonal Factor Model
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Orthogonal Factor Model
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Orthogonal Factor Model
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Orthogonal Factor Model
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Orthogonal Factor Model
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Example 9.1: Verification
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Example 9.2: No Solution
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Ambiguities of L When m>1
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Principal Component Solution
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Principal Component Solution
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Residual Matrix
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Determination of Number of Common Factors
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Example 9.3 Consumer Preference Data
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Example 9.3 Determination of m
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Example 9.3 Principal Component Solution
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Example 9.3 Factorization
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Example 9.4 Stock Price Data
Weekly rates of return for five stocks X1: Allied Chemical X2: du Pont X3: Union Carbide X4: Exxon X5: Texaco
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Example 9.4 Stock Price Data
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Example 9.4 Principal Component Solution
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Example 9.4 Residual Matrix for m=2
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Maximum Likelihood Method
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Result 9.1
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Factorization of R
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Example 9.5: Factorization of Stock Price Data
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Example 9.5 ML Residual Matrix
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Example 9.6 Olympic Decathlon Data
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Example 9.6 Factorization
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Example 9.6 PC Residual Matrix
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Example 9.6 ML Residual Matrix
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A Large Sample Test for Number of Common Factors
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A Large Sample Test for Number of Common Factors
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Example 9.7 Stock Price Model Testing
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Example 9.8 Examination Scores
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Example 9.8 Maximum Likelihood Solution
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Example 9.8 Factor Rotation
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Example 9.8 Rotated Factor Loading
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Varimax Criterion
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Example 9.9: Consumer-Preference Factor Analysis
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Example 9.9 Factor Rotation
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Example 9.10 Stock Price Factor Analysis
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Example 9.11 Olympic Decathlon Factor Analysis
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Example 9.11 Rotated ML Loadings
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Factor Scores
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Weighted Least Squares Method
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Factor Scores of Principal Component Method
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Orthogonal Factor Model
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Regression Model
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Factor Scores by Regression
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Example 9.12 Stock Price Data
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Example 9.12 Factor Scores by Regression
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Example 9.13: Simple Summary Scores for Stock Price Data
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A Strategy for Factor Analysis
1. Perform a principal component factor analysis Look for suspicious observations by plotting the factor scores Try a varimax rotation 2. Perform a maximum likelihood factor analysis, including a varimax rotation
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A Strategy for Factor Analysis
3. Compare the solutions obtained from the two factor analyses Do the loadings group in the same manner? Plot factor scores obtained for PC against scores from ML analysis 4. Repeat the first 3 steps for other numbers of common factors 5. For large data sets, split them in half and perform factor analysis on each part. Compare the two results with each other and with that from the complete data set
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Example 9.14 Chicken-Bone Data
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Example 9.14:Principal Component Factor Analysis Results
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Example 9.14: Maximum Likelihood Factor Analysis Results
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Example 9.14 Residual Matrix for ML Estimates
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Example 9.14 Factor Scores for Factors 1 & 2
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Example 9.14 Pairs of Factor Scores: Factor 1
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Example 9.14 Pairs of Factor Scores: Factor 2
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Example 9.14 Pairs of Factor Scores: Factor 3
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Example 9.14 Divided Data Set
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Example 9.14: PC Factor Analysis for Divided Data Set
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WOW Criterion In practice the vast majority of attempted factor analyses do not yield clear-cut results If, while scrutinizing the factor analysis, the investigator can shout “Wow, I understand these factors,” the application is deemed successful
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Structural Equation Models
Sets of linear equations to specify phenomena in terms of their presumed cause-and-effect variables In its most general form, the models allow for variables that can not be measured directly Particularly helpful in the social and behavioral science
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LISREL (Linear Structural Relationships) Model
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Example h: performance of the firm x: managerial talent Y1: profit
Y2: common stock price X1: years of chief executive experience X2: memberships on board of directors
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Linear System in Control Theory
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Kinds of Variables Exogenous variables: not influenced by other variables in the system Endogenous variables: affected by other variables Residual: associated with each of the dependent variables
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Construction of a Path Diagram
Straight arrow to each dependent (endogenous) variable from each of its source also to each dependent variables from its residual Curved, double-headed arrow between each pair of independent (exogenous) variables thought to have nonzero correlation
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Example 9.15 Path Diagram
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Example 9.15 Structural Equation
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Covariance Structure
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Estimation
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Example 9.16 Artificial Data
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Example 9.16 Artificial Data
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Example 9.16 Artificial Data
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Assessing the Fit of the Model
The number of observations p for Y and q for X must be larger than the total number of unknown parameters t < (p+q)(p+q+1)/2 Parameter estimates should have appropriate signs and magnitudes Entries in the residual matrix S – S should be uniformly small
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Model-Fitting Strategy
Generate parameter estimates using several criteria and compare the estimates Are signs and magnitudes consistent? Are all variance estimates positive? Are the residual matrices similar? Do the analysis with both S and R Split large data sets in half and perform the analysis on each half
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