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Pricing Example 1 $100,000 with prob. 0.02

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Presentation on theme: "Pricing Example 1 $100,000 with prob. 0.02"— Presentation transcript:

1 Pricing Example 1 $100,000 with prob. 0.02
Loss = $20,000 with prob. 0.08 0 with prob. 0.90 Find Fair Premium if policy provides full coverage underwriting costs = 20% of pure premium claims are paid at end of year interest rate = 8% claim processing costs = $5,000 fair profit = 5% of pure premium

2 Pricing Example 1 Solution: pure premium = $3,600
PV of expected claims = $3600/1.08 underwriting costs + fair profit = ( ) x $3,600 = $900 expected claim processing costs = $5,000 x 0.10 = $500 PV of expected claim processing costs = 500/1.08 Fair premium = ,100/1.08 = ,796 = $4,696

3 Pricing Example 2 $100,000 with prob. 0.02
Loss = $20,000 with prob. 0.08 0 with prob. 0.90 Find Fair Premium if policy has a $20,000 deductible underwriting costs = 20% of pure premium claims are paid at end of year interest rate = 8% claim processing costs = $5,000 fair profit = 5% of pure premium

4 Pricing Example 2 Solution: pure premium = 0.02 x $80,000 = $1,600
PV of expected claims = $1600/1.08 underwriting costs + fair profit = ( ) x $1,600 = $400 expected claim processing costs = 0.02 x $5,000 = $100 PV of expected claim processing costs =$100/1.08 Fair premium = $400 + $1,700/1.08 = $400 + $1574 = $1,974

5 Comparison of the Two Examples
Note difference in loading on the two policies Full coverage Deductible Premium $4,696 $1,974 Expected claim cost $3,600 $1,600 Dollar loading $1, $374 Percentage loading % % (relative to exp. claim cost) Difference is due to the deductible policy eliminating expected claim processing cost on relatively frequent, low severity claims (see Chapter 8)


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