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Valuation of IPR 9th Feb 2008 Audit.Tax.Consulting.Financial Advisory

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1 Valuation of IPR 9th Feb 2008 Audit.Tax.Consulting.Financial Advisory
Presented by Deepika Maheshwari Financial Advisory Services Deloitte Haskins & Sells, Ahmedabad 9th Feb 2008 Audit.Tax.Consulting.Financial Advisory This document is confidential. No part of it may be be reproduced without express approval of Deloitte. © Deloitte 2008.

2 Overview Basics of Intellectual property rights Importance of Intellectual property rights Management of IPR Valuation of IPR

3 Intellectual Property Rights- Basics
Increasing investment in Intangibles. Shift in focus from Physical capital to Intellectual capital “Value of firm= Value of physical Assets+ Value of intangible assets” Value of Intangible Assets Value of future growth opportunities that are already in place Value of future growth opportunities from new assets Only a fraction of worldwide R&D spending is commercialized ; enormous pool of innovation lies unused Many great ideas never see the light of day. Despite substantial resources in R&D, yet many of their best innovations are never sold. The untapped technologies and know-how could be turned into substantial revenue. An example of second componet would be a patent resulted from R&d invetemnt already made. Example of third component would be a product that may be discovered or developed from future investments that may be made. Assets already in existence enable the firm to compete for the world as it exists. Future investments in assets can create growth opportunities which enable a firm to compete for the future.

4 Intellectual Property Rights- Importance
Source Of unexpected revenue Increases Shareholders Value Establishes Proprietary Market advantage Enhances Competitiveness Exploits new market opportunities Reduces risk

5 Intellectual Property Rights- Management
Valuation Approaches: Accounting Residual Value Cost Market value Income Real option Identify Design Process Method Software Trade Secrets Know-how Trademarks Brand names Formulations Literary work IP Trading M&A IPO/Fund raising Financial Reporting Licensing-In Licensing-Out Contract/ Royalty rates Transfer Pricing Litigations Technology transfer Patents Copyrights Design Trademarks Publishing rights Source: Deloitte Research To be able to reap benefits out of IP, a sound IP management programme is required

6 Valuation “The intangibility of a company’s most important assets makes it extremely hard to figure out what the company is really worth.”

7 Valuation Parameters What
Patents, Copyrights, Designs, Trade secrets, Know how, Trade marks, Brand name What is the IP to be valued Shareholders, Management, Licensor/Licensee, Investor, Court of Law, Acquiror , Investment banker Whom For whom the valuation is being done Corporate valuation for shareholders, M&A, Management buy-out or buy-in, IPO/Fund raising, Financial Reporting, Acquisition/Licensing of IP, Litigations,, and reorganization Why Why the firm has decided to value IP rights (Purpose) For the valuer, this process of understanding is not usually a problem when these rights have been formally protected through trademarks, patents or copyright.  This is not the case with intangibles such as know how, (which can include the talents, skill and knowledge of the workforce), training systems and methods, designs, technical processes, customer lists, distribution networks etc.  These assets are equally valuable but more difficult to identify in terms of the earnings and profits they generate.  With many intangibles a very careful initial due-diligence process needs to be undertaken together with IP lawyers and in-house accountants.  How How the valuation would be done in given circumstances Different approaches to valuation may be used

8 Understand Important features of IP and how it adds value to business
While valuing IP… Understand the value chain of business and understand how profits are generated Understand Important features of IP and how it adds value to business Obtain Adequate knowledge of trends in the industry and technology Consider scope & Strength of IP asset Assess the availability of competing IP in the market Ascertain the unpredictability of future returns Manufacturing Patent Distribution Sales Brand Scope of legal rights protecting the asset Level of codification: How effectively the codified information may be used Level of difficulty in infringing the Products IP rights

9 Valuation- A Daunting task
No active market for trading of intangible assets Difficult to identify the potential earnings and profits that can be generated Uniqueness of each IPR – Non Comparability Difficult to Segregate profits generated from tangibles and intangibles. Difficult to ascribe appropriate economic benefit to an individual IP Asset if there are more than one IP. Inadequate disclosure of Intangibles in financial reports Most valuation methods ignore managerial flexibility For the valuer, this process of understanding is not usually a problem when these rights have been formally protected through trademarks, patents or copyright.  This is not the case with intangibles such as know how, (which can include the talents, skill and knowledge of the workforce), training systems and methods, designs, technical processes, customer lists, distribution networks etc.  These assets are equally valuable but more difficult to identify in terms of the earnings and profits they generate.  With many intangibles a very careful initial due-diligence process needs to be undertaken together with IP lawyers and in-house accountants. 

10 Valuation Methods

11 Valuation Methods Static valuation models Dynamic valuation models
Accounting Approach Income Approach/Discounted cash flow Decision tree Analysis Cost Approach For the valuer, this process of understanding is not usually a problem when these rights have been formally protected through trademarks, patents or copyright.  This is not the case with intangibles such as know how, (which can include the talents, skill and knowledge of the workforce), training systems and methods, designs, technical processes, customer lists, distribution networks etc.  These assets are equally valuable but more difficult to identify in terms of the earnings and profits they generate.  With many intangibles a very careful initial due-diligence process needs to be undertaken together with IP lawyers and in-house accountants.  Real Option Model Market Approach Monte carlo Simulation

12 Accounting Approach IPRs are subset of Intangible Assets
As per AS-26 issued by ICAI, the recognition of an item as an intangible asset requires an enterprise to demonstrate that the item meets the: “definition of an intangible asset and recognition criteria set out in the standard” As per definition Intangible asset should be Identifiable Controllable Able to generate economic benefits An intangible asset should be recognized if, and only if: it is probable that the future economic benefits that are attributable to the asset will flow to the enterprise; and the cost of the asset can be measured reliably. definition of Intangible asset is as follows: “An intangible asset is an identifiable non-monetary asset, without physical substance, held for use in the production or supply of goods or services, for rental to others, or for administrative purposes.” Identifiability 11. The definition of an intangible asset requires that an intangible asset be identifiable. To be identifiable, it is necessary that the intangible asset is clearly distinguished fromgoodwill. Goodwill arising on an amalgamation inthe nature of purchase represents a payment made by the acquirer in anticipation of future economic benefits. The future economic benefitsmay result from synergy between the identifiable assets acquired or from assets which, individually, do not qualify for recognition in the financial statements but for which the acquirer is prepared to make a payment in the amalgamation. 12. An intangible asset can be clearly distinguished from goodwill if the asset is separable. An asset is separable if the enterprise could rent, sell, exchange or distribute the specific future economic benefits attributable to the asset without also disposing of future economic benefits that flow from other assets used in the same revenue earning activity. 13. Separability is not a necessary condition for identifiability since an enterprise may be able to identify an asset in some other way. For example, if an intangible asset is acquired with a group of assets, the transaction may involve the transfer of legal rights that enable an enterprise to identify the intangible asset. Similarly, if an internal project aims to create legal rights for the enterprise, the nature of these rights may assist the enterprise in identifying an underlying internally generated intangible asset. Also, even if an asset generates future economic benefits only in combination with other assets, the asset is identifiable if the enterprise can identify the future economic benefits that will flow Control 14. An enterprise controls an asset if the enterprise has the power to obtain the future economic benefits flowing from the underlying resource and also can restrict the access of others to those benefits. The capacity of an enterprise to control the future economic benefits from an intangible asset would normally stem from legal rights that are enforceable in a court of law. In the absence of legal rights, it is more difficult to demonstrate control. However, legal enforceability of a right is not a necessary condition for control since an enterprise may be able to control the future economic benefits in some other way. 15. Market and technical knowledge may give rise to future economic benefits. An enterprise controls those benefits if, for example, the knowledge is protected by legal rights such as copyrights, a restraint of trade agreement (where permitted) or by a legal duty on employees to maintain confidentiality. An enterprise may have a team of skilled staff and may be able to identify incremental staff skills leading to future economic benefits from training. The enterprise may also expect that the staff will continue to make their skills available to the enterprise. However, usually an enterprise has insufficient control over the expected future economic benefits arising from a team of skilled staff and from training to consider that these items meet the definition of an intangible asset. For a similar reason, specific management or technical talent is unlikely to meet the definition of an intangible asset, unless it is protected by legal rights to use it and to obtain the future economic benefits expected from it, and it also meets the other parts of the definition. 17. An enterprise may have a portfolio of customers or a market share and expect that, due to its efforts in building customer relationships and loyalty, the customerswill continue to tradewith the enterprise. However, in the absence of legal rights to protect, or other ways to control, the relationshipswith customers or the loyalty of the customers to the enterprise, the enterprise usually has insufficient control over the economic benefits fromcustomer relationships and loyalty to consider that such items (portfolio of customers, market shares, customer relationships, customer loyalty) meet the definition of intangible assets. Future Economic Benefits 18. The future economic benefits flowing from an intangible asset may include revenue from the sale of products or services, cost savings, or other benefits resulting from the use of the asset by the enterprise. For example, the use of intellectual property in a production process may reduce future production costs rather than increase future revenues.

13 Accounting Approach- Acquisition
Valuation Cost of intangible would be the purchase consideration paid either in form of cash or in Fair value of shares or assets exchanged Cost =Purchase consideration+ Import Duty+ Taxes+ Any direct attributable exp. Separate Acquisition Valuation Allocation of purchase consideration to individual identifiable assets (including IPs) and liabilities based on their fair values at amalgamation date Valuation method must: Estimate Fair Value, and Reflect current transactions and practices in industry As a part of Amalgamation Internally Generated Goodwill 35. Internally generated goodwill should not be recognised as an asset. 36. In some cases, expenditure is incurred to generate future economic benefits, but it does not result in the creation of an intangible asset thatmeets the recognition criteria in this Statement. Such expenditure is often described as contributing to internally generated goodwill. Internally generated goodwill is not recognised as an asset because it is not an identifiable resource controlled by the enterprise that can be measured reliably at cost. 37. Differences between the market value of an enterprise and the carrying amount of its identifiable net assets at any point in time may be due to a range of factors that affect the value of the enterprise. However, such differences cannot be considered to represent the cost of intangible assets controlled by the enterprise. Judgement is required to determine whether the cost (i.e. fair value) of an intangible asset acquired in an amalgamation can be measured with sufficient reliability for the purpose of separate recognition. Quoted market prices in an active market provide the most reliable measurement of fair value. The appropriate market price is usually the current bid price. If current bid prices are unavailable, the price of the most recent similar transaction may provide a basis from which to estimate fair value, provided that there has not been a significant change in economic circumstances between the transaction date and the date at which the asset's fair value is estimated. 29. If no active market exists for an asset, its cost reflects the amount that the enterprise would have paid, at the date of the acquisition, for the asset in an arm's length transaction between knowledgeable and willing parties, based on the best information available. In determining this amount, an enterprise considers the outcome of recent transactions for similar assets. 30. Certain enterprises that are regularly involved in the purchase and sale of unique intangible assets have developed techniques for estimating their fair values indirectly. These techniques may be used for initialmeasurement of an intangible asset acquired in an amalgamation in the nature of purchase if their objective is to estimate fair value as defined in this Statement and if they reflect current transactions and practices in the industry to which the asset belongs. These techniques include, where appropriate, applying multiples reflecting current market transactions to certain indicators driving the profitability of the asset (such as revenue, market shares, operating profit, etc.) or discounting estimated future net cash flows from the asset.

14 Accounting Approach – Valuing Internally Generated IP
ECONOMIC BENEFITS Research Phase Development Phase Commercial Phase EXPENSES Direct + Indirect Expensed Capitalized Expensed Technical feasibility Intention to complete and use/sell Ability to use/sell Probable future economic benefits Resource availability Ability to measure Available for use Internally generated goodwill can not be recognized as an intangible asset

15 Cost Approach Historical cost trending Method Assumptions :
Cost to purchase or develop new property is commensurate with the economic value of service An investor would pay no more to purchase an asset than would be required to reproduce the asset Recreation Cost Method Value (Rs) Helpful information: Scientists and engineers who worked on the product development effort Salaries and benefits of people involved in the project Overhead costs for utilities and research space Overhead costs for clerical support and technicians Cost of inputs used in the development process Prototype construction and testing expenses Outside services for independent evaluation and certifications Lack of accurate record keeping often requires this approach Technical risk: If the buyer chooses to develop an IP alternative, there is no certainty that the alternative would work as successfully or enjoy the same level of IP protection as the IP asset in question Factoring Technical Risk: probability of failure = 40% Risk Premium = 100/(100 – 40) = 1.67 Replacement cost method This method seeks to measure the future benefits of IP assets by calculating the amount of money that would be required to replace the future service capability of the subject intellectual property

16 Cost Approach- Examples
Historical Cost Replacement Cost Example : Cost incurred on R&D to develop a new technology know-how: INR 100 for Y1 and INR 200 for Y2 Inflation index: Y1 = 100, Y2=105, Current = 110 Estimated Value of IP 100 x 110/ x 110/105 = INR 320 Example : Cost incurred on R&D to develop a new technology know-how: INR 100 for Y1 and INR 200 for Y2 Inflation index: Y1 = 100, Y2=105, Current = 110 Chances of Success : 60% Estimated value of IP would be (100 x 110/ x 110/105)/0.6 = Rs 533 Historical cost is the actual cost incurred in creating and developing an intellectual property . Funds invested to be factored with “time cost” of money It provides a guide for minimum return needed to justify an investment in an IP asset but it should not be the sole basis for valuing an IP asset

17 Cost Approach- Pros & Cons
Good for internally developed intangibles or in liquidation scenario When comparable market data is not available When intangible is not income producing Requires numerous adjustment to financial data Difficult to apply if historical records are not there No direct correlation between price and value Risk is not factored No direct correlation between expenditure and economic benefit e.g Early stage R&D and patenting can be very costly, but the process or product may never be commercialized. Minimal investment in IP, but sudden market growth leads to increase in revenues. No emphasis on duration over which the economic benefits would be utilized Lesser the economic life, lesser the valuation Risk associated with receiving the expected economic benefits is not directly factored More the risk, lesser the valuation Information about trend of economic benefits More valuation of an IP with increasing growth trend and vice versa

18 Market value Approach – Comparable Market value
Value of an IP = prices paid for comparable IP as part of arm’s length transactions The transaction price, as a ratio of an asset attribute such as sales, is used to derive a market multiple This market multiple is then applied to the attribute of the asset being valued Requirements Active market involving comparable property Past transactions of comparable property Access to price information at which comparable property exchanged Arm’s length transactions between independent parties

19 Market value Approach – Comparable Market value
Factors to be considered while comparing Industry Market Share Profits Impact of New Technologies Barriers to Entry Growth Prospects Strength of Legal Protection Remaining Economic Life

20 Market value Approach – Comparable Market value
Annual sale of products with ‘XYZ’ trademark = INR 100 Comparable transaction: Purchase of 32 medical remedy trademarks by M&J Labs for INR Annual sale of all 32 trademarked products just prior to purchase was INR 4000 Value-to-sales multiple of comparable trademark = 5000/4000 = 1.25 Value of ‘XYZ’ trademark = Annual sale from ‘XYZ’ trademarked products x Value-to-Sales multiple of comparable trademarked products = INR 100 x 1.25 = INR 125 Objective: To value a trademark ‘XYZ’ of a pharma co. ‘Pharma Co.’. Solution

21 Market value Approach- Pros & Cons
Relatively easy to apply Conceptually attractive Provides evidence of value Most of the information is not publicly available Low Frequency of comparable transactions Each intangible transaction is unique. Frequency of transactions Evidence of an active market? Comparability of “market” transactions Transactions of specific IP are scarce licenses, more often than sale/assignment of IP circumstances of transaction (e.g. cross-license, license agreed in settlement of litigation) Headline data only? Summary royalty terms, but what about the rights and obligations under the license? Summary transaction terms, but what about manufacturing and distribution contracts?

22 Residual Value Approach
Starts with the company’s value of equity (as measured by its stock price) plus the value of its liabilities. From such amount, value of the company’s tangible assets, plus the value of any intangibles not transferred (Unidentifiable Intangible Assets) is reduced. The result is the lump-sum value of the intangibles being valued. Value of IP = MC-(N+U) Where MC= Market Capitalization N= Net Tangible Assets as shown in book (Total assets- total liabilities) U= Unidentifiable Intangible Assets Assumption : Markets are efficient. i.e, all future economic benefits from assets (tangible and intangible) and IP of the firm are factored into the market price of firm’s equity and debt Drawback: Valuation would fluctuate with market. IP assets would not be valued individually. Is the market really efficient to factor in all the benefits

23 Income Approach Variations Method Premium Pricing method
Premium over generic product/services Excess earnings over the company that does not possess intangible Excess Profit method License fee/ Royalty saved by owning the intangible Royalty saving method Key parameters: Economic benefits Discount rate Economic life This component measures the compensation of investor for commitment of capital. Must be commensurate with the risk of economic benefits Factors that affect this component include inflation, liquidity, real interest rates and measures of relative risk. K = r + u + a Where r = risk-free rate (time value) u = firm specific risk a = risk differential between IP and firm risk As per Dividend Growth model K = Div/P + g As per CAPM model E(r) = Rf + ß (Rm – Rf) Factors affecting economic life: Technological breakthroughs Government regulations Changes in market dynamics Cost saved by owning the asset Cost savings method Value of IP = Present Value of expected future economic benefits from ownership of IP

24 Approaches Direct Capitalization Discounted Future Economic Benefits
Estimate an appropriate measure of economic benefit for one period future to the valuation date and multiply it by an appropriate capitalization rate (r) r = 1/discount Rate Where, r is a measure of economic benefit Does not consider future economic benefits Discounted Future Economic Benefits Value of IP = Economic Benefit Period 1 Economic Benefit Period 2 Economic Benefit Period n (1 + k)1 (1 + k)2 (1 + k)n .. Plus The terminal value of the business at the terminal year TV = Economic Benefit n (K - growth)*(1+k)^n

25 Source: Damodaran online
Illustration Year Stable Cash flows Present 7% Volatile Cashflows Present 10% 1 60,000 56,075 90,000 81,818 2 52,406 74,380 3 48,978 67,618 4 40,000 30,516 40,981 5 28,519 37,255 Total 216494 302053 The book is expected to generate $150,000 in after-tax cash flows for the first three years and $100,000 a year for the following two years. These are the cash flows after author royalties, promotional expenses and production costs. About 40% of these cash flows are from large organizations that make bulk orders and are considered predictable and stable. The cost of capital applied to these cash flows is 7%. The remaining 60% of the cash flows are to the general public and this segment of the cash flows is considered much more volatile. The cost of capital applied to these cashflows is 10%. Source: Damodaran online

26 DCF Approach- Pros & Cons
Captures economic benefit flowing due to Intangibles Considers appropriate risk based rate of return at which to discount cash flows and estimates economic life Reliable financial projections Estimating income attributable to intangibles, its economic life, appropriate discount rate/ cost of capital Use of same discount rate in R&D as well as Market phase Managerial flexibility is completely ignored No accommodation to option like nature of investments Reliable financial projections Estimating income attributable to intangibles, its economic life, appropriate discount rate/ cost of capital Using of same discount rate in R&D as well as Market phase Managerial flexibility is completely ignored No accommodation to option like nature of investments Valuation process: Forecast income and costs associated with using the property over the life of the property Compute Net Present Value of future cash flows (use appropriate discount rate reflecting risk of investment)

27 Matrix- Accounting for Risk & flexibility
Valuation process: Forecast income and costs associated with using the property over the life of the property Compute Net Present Value of future cash flows (use appropriate discount rate reflecting risk of investment) Source:Crystal ball confrence

28 Source:Crystal ball confrence
Real option model Investment in intangibles does not generate immediate payoff Each intangible may have a bundle of options Valuation process: Forecast income and costs associated with using the property over the life of the property Compute Net Present Value of future cash flows (use appropriate discount rate reflecting risk of investment) Source:Crystal ball confrence

29 Decision Tree Analysis
Patent failed P = 0.70 NPV5= (0.20 x NPV x NPV2) Lapse P = 0.20 NPV1 Patent Application Cost Product fails P = 0.20 Low Revenue P = 0.40 NPV10 = NPV9 x0.3 - Cost Patent granted P = 0.30 Renew P = 0.80 NPV2 Product Success P = 0.80 NPV8= NPV7 x0.8 Status Quo P = 0.60 NPV3 High Revenue P = 0.=60 NPV7= NPV5 x0.4 + NPV6 x 0.6 File patent in UK P = 0.40 NPV4 NPV6= (0.60 x NPV x NPV4) Application to Grant Grant to Commercialization End of first year of commercialization PHASES

30 Real Option Technique Valuation under uncertainty
Use Black-Scholes (1973) Option Pricing Model Option parameters Value of Underlying = Present Value of Economic Benefits Exercise Price = PV of investment in IP Time to Expiry = Remaining economic life of IP Standard Deviation = Standard Deviation of Economic Benefits Risk free Rate = Riskless interest rate that corresponds to the economic life of IP Dividend (Value Leakage) = 1/Economic Life of IP

31 Patent Payoff Diagram Net payoff from Patent
PV of Cost of developing and commercializing the Patent Present Value of Economic Benefits from Patent

32 Problems Estimation of future economic benefits Economic benefits may not follow a continuous process Variance may be unknown and may change over the economic life of IP Exercise may not be instantaneous Compound options

33 Source: Damodaran website
Categorizing Valuation Independent and Cash flow generating intangibles Not independent and cash flow generating to the firm No cash flows now but potential for cashflows in future Examples Copyrights, trademarks, licenses, franchises, professional practices (medical, dental) Brand names, Quality and Morale of work force, Technological expertise, Corporate reputation Undeveloped patents, operating or financial flexibility (to expand into new products/markets or abandon existing ones) Valuation approach Estimate expected cash flows from the product or service and discount back at appropriate discount rate. Compare DCF value of firm with intangible with firm without (if you can find one) Assume that all excess returns of firm are due to intangible. Compare multiples at which firm trades to sector averages. Option valuation Value the undeveloped patent as an option to develop the underlying product. Value expansion options as call options Value abandonment options as put options. Challenges Life is usually finite and terminal value may be small. Cashflows and value may be person dependent (for professional practices) With multiple intangibles (brand name and reputation for service), it becomes difficult to break down individual components. Need exclusivity. Difficult to replicate and arbitrage (making option pricing models dicey) Source: Damodaran website

34 Concluding Remarks IP valuation calls for co-ordinated efforts from a CA, IP attorney, and a technology person Adopt as many appropriate valuation techniques as possible, understand the pros and cons of each valuation method, and make a best estimate

35 Thank You Deloitte Haskins & Sells ‘Heritage’, 6th Floor
Near Gujarat Vidhyapith Off Ashram Road Ahmedabad Gujarat Deepika Maheshwari Assistant Manager


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