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Published byNeal Jenkins Modified over 9 years ago
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The Israeli Economy January 2012 Ministry of Finance
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Main Economic Indicators
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Strong and sustainable GDP growth Labor market Moderate levels of inflation Eight years of consecutive surplus in the current account
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GDP Growth Percentage Per Annum *Budget Estimate was 4.0% Source: Central Bureau of Statistics, Ministry of finance
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Unemployment and Participation Rates Participation rate (right axis) Unemployment rate (left axis) Source: CBS 57.3%
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6 Source: Bank of Israel Year-End Inflation Rate Central Bank’s Key Interest Rate Today = 2.75% Inflation is Under Control
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Balance of Payments - The Current Account US$ Billions & As Percent of GDP Source: CBS. * First three quarters annualized
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Fiscal Policy
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Expenditure growth is derived from two elements: Distance from debt target Permanent long term growth The New Fiscal Rule Debt/GDP ratio Expenditure growth rate= 60% * Average Growth Rate of 10 Years 2014 onwards 20132012201120102009 1.0%1.5%2.0%3.0%5.5%6.0% No change in the deficit ceiling One always functions as the effective limitation
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General Government Expenditure As a percentage of the GDP Source: CBS, The Ministry of Finance
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General Government Expenditure As a percentage of the GDP, International comparison 2010 * Weighted average; Source: OECD
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Tax Burden of the General Government 2009 % of GDP Source: OECD, Ministry of Finance
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Public Debt As a percentage of the GDP *Estimated Figures for 2011 Source: The Ministry of Finance
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Public Debt Increase Between the years 2007-2010 As a Percentage of the GDP, International comparison Maastricht: 60% Debt Source: OECD Outlook 90, Israel 2010 - MOF
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Central Government's Budget Deficit As a Percentage of the GDP, actual and according to the scheme * According to the Deficit Reduction and Budgetary Expenditure Limitation law 1992 Source: CBS, the Ministry of Finance ** Fiscal rule limitation was 3% in 2008 Latest Forecast
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Key Economic Policies Fiscal Responsibility – According to the Fiscal Rule Encouraging Growth by: Structural Reforms - Advancing Competitiveness Active Labor Market Policies Reducing Bureaucracy Automatic Stabilizers
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Committee for Social and Economic Reform (Trachtenberg Committee) Tax policy Cost of living and competitive markets Priority changes within the expenditure limitation Housing and real-estate market
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Tax policy Legislation has been completed Cancelling the direct tax reduction scheme (Individual and Corporate) Raising maximum marginal tax from 44% to 48% Lowering income tax for incomes between 8-14 thousand NIS a month (from 23% to 21%) Raising corporate tax from 23% to 25% Raising capital gains tax from 20% to 25% VAT will remain 16% Reducing duty free cigarette allowance Introducing Tax allowance for fathers Cancelling the rise in fuel taxes Increasing negative income tax for women
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