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 Urban Revitalization Professor: Patrick McGuigan Executive Director, ProvPlan Lessons from The Providence Plan PP170.

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Presentation on theme: " Urban Revitalization Professor: Patrick McGuigan Executive Director, ProvPlan Lessons from The Providence Plan PP170."— Presentation transcript:

1  Urban Revitalization Professor: Patrick McGuigan Executive Director, ProvPlan Lessons from The Providence Plan PP170

2 What is this? College Hill Federal Hill Elmwood

3 How big is Providence? Providence Boston New York 8,175,133 305 mi 2 617,594 48.3 mi 2 178,042 18.4 mi 2 ? Population data from 2010 U.S. Census Bureau estimates Total Population

4 How economically successful are Providence families? Boston New York $51,270 $51,739 Providence $36,925 College Hill ElmwoodFederal Hill $42.069 - $60.938 $28.750 - $31.436 $19.801 - $39.412 Economic data from ACS 2006-2010 U.S. Census Ranges represent the lowest and highest value census tracts within the neighborhood. Median Household Income ?

5 How economically successful are Providence families? Boston New York 16.2% 15.9% Providence 21.5% College Hill ElmwoodFederal Hill 0% - 28.5% 25.3% - 28.8% 4.5% - 9.5% Economic data from ACS 2006-2010 U.S. Census Ranges represent the lowest and highest value census tracts within the neighborhood. Families Living Below Poverty Level ?

6 How well educated are Providence families? Providence 72.7% College Hill ElmwoodFederal Hill 95.3% - 100% 60% - 62.4% 67.5% - 73.7% Education data from ACS 2006-2010 U.S. Census Ranges represent the lowest and highest value census tracts within the neighborhood. Adults with a High School Degree

7 How much does property cost in Providence? Providence (Median) $110,000 College Hill ElmwoodFederal Hill $846,967 $120,122 $197,694 Housing data from: City of Providence, 3/22/12 – 4/5/13 Average Property Sales Value

8 Why is neighborhood level data on urban communities important?  Recognize that cities are complex places that can simultaneously experience success and failure  Allows for statistical comparisons of geographies within a city  Offers meaningful level of analysis for policymakers and residents  Helps to inform allocation of limited resources within cities  Provides a framework to measure the impact of policy-based and programmatic interventions

9 ` Poverty in Providence 47%+ 35% - 46% 31% - 34% 24% - 30% 16% - 23% 7% - 15% 4% - 6% Households in Poverty Tracts with highest proportion of families in Poverty Upper/Lower S. Prov. Tract 4: 48% Upper S. Prov. Tract 7: 64.2% Data from ACS 2006 - 2010 U.S. Census Wanskuck Tract 27: 51.3%

10 Overall Population Change 14% - 65% 6.7% - 13% 2.5% - 6.6% 0.0% - 2.4% -4.3% - -0.1% -8.9% - -4.4% Pop. Change 2010 (as % of 2000 pop.) Largest Population Increase Federal Hill (-8.9) Elmwood (-6.8%) Manton (57.4%) Downtown (65.3%) 2000 - 2010 Largest Population Decrease Data from 2000 & 2010 U.S. Census

11 Change in Latino Population 93% - 139% 57% - 92% 25% - 56% 0.0% - 24% -2.6% - -0.1% -2.7% - -19% Pop. Change 2010 (as % of 2000 pop.) Largest Population Increase Smith Hill (-2.6) Federal Hill (- 19.4%) Manton (138%) Downtown (120%) 2000 - 2010 Population Decrease Data from 2000 & 2010 U.S. Census

12 Change in Non-Latino White Population 15% - 44% 4.6% - 14% 4.1% - 4.5% 0.0% - 4.0% -23% - -0.1% -54% - -24% Pop. Change 2010 (as % of 2000 pop.) Largest Population Increase South Elmwood decline (-37%) coincides with decrease in black population (-17%) and increase in vacant housing units (140%) Manton (15.1%) Downtown (44.4%) 2000 - 2010 Notable Population Decrease Data from 2000 & 2010 U.S. Census

13 Key challenges facing Providence (and most other urban communities)  Jobs  Education  Housing  Safety  Declining Revenue & Increasing Costs

14 Jobs in Providence Unemployment Providence 10.3% Rhode Island 8.8% Unemployment data from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, April 2013  How do we expand industry in Rhode Island and ensure residents are ready to meet the needs of growing employers?

15 Unemployment in Providence  Why is unemployment distributed unevenly across the city?

16 Education in Providence Math Proficiency Test score data from Rhode Island Department of Education (neighborhood data derived as median of neighborhood schools)  How do we improve the quality of education for Providence youth without leaving more disadvantaged students behind? (8th grade) Providence 26% Rhode Island 54%

17 Education in Providence Source: http://infoworks.ride.ri.govhttp://infoworks.ride.ri.gov

18 4-Year High School Outcomes in Providence and Statewide Source: http://infoworks.ride.ri.gov http://infoworks.ride.ri.gov

19 NECAP Scores Source: http://infoworks.ride.ri.gov http://infoworks.ride.ri.gov

20 Housing in Providence 2009-2011 Foreclosures Foreclosure Data: HousingWorksRI Annual Report Spring 2012  How can we mitigate the impact of foreclosures on families living in urban areas and combat the blight of abandoned homes? Providence 9.78% Rhode Island 3.65% (as % of mortgaged housing stock) 6,740 Homes 1672 Homes

21 Public Safety in Providence Violent Crime Rate  How does Providence continue to build on the success of its community policing approach to improve public safety? (per 1000) Providence 6.93 Rhode Island 2.9 Crime Data from: 2011 Uniform Crime Report (Crime in Rhode Island)

22 Snapshot: Crime in Providence

23 Declining Revenue & Increasing Costs Projected 2012 Deficit Deficit Projection $110,000,000 Budget data from City of Providence  In an era of tightening budgets, how do we make hard decisions about where to cut and where to invest? As % of Approved Budget 17.8%

24 How to address the range of challenges facing Providence & other urban communities (all key themes for course)  Be Strategic  Build Strong Partnerships  Advance Comprehensive Solutions  Take “What Works” to Scale  Align Revitalization with Political Action

25 The Work of The Providence Plan  Provide residents and public agencies with data and information that can support smart decision making  Launch innovative service programs that address unmet community needs

26 ProvPlan’s Programmatic Initiatives Info Group YouthBuild Providence New Roots Ready to Learn (R2LP) Building Futures

27 Course Structure  Weeks 1-3: Analysis of the economic and political forces that have brought cities to where they are today  Weeks 4-9: An examination of four issues that must be addressed as an essential component of any urban agenda:  Weeks 10-13: Uphill battles and prospects for success – seeking comprehensive solutions for Providence Housing Public Safety Jobs Education

28 Course Assignments  Student-Led Classes  Policy Briefs (2)  Final Group Project

29 Urban Revitalization PP170 local.provplan.org/pp170


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