1. ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN MARCH 12, 2015 JAY GANDHI, DIRECTOR OF ADMINISTRATIVE AND INFORMATION MANAGEMENT SERVICES JON DAVIDSON, DIRECTOR OF UNDERGRADUATE ADMISSIONS BRAD MAKI, DIRECTOR OF GRADUATE ADMISSIONS VAHID LOTFI, SENIOR VICE PROVOST LORI VEDDER, DIRECTOR OF FINANCIAL AID DEB WHITE, DIRECTOR OF EXTENDED LEARNING

2. MICHIGAN ENROLLMENT TRENDS Fall 2009 Fall 2010 Fall 2011 Fall 2012 Fall 2013 % Annual Total Enrollment Change1.94%1.17%0.60%-0.47%-0.46% % Annual UM-Flint Enrollment Change7.07%4.70%1.52%0.33%3.21% Total Enrollment298,240301,734303,554302,129300,730 UM-Flint Enrollment7,7738,1388,2628,2898,555

3. UM-FLINT TEN-YEAR TREND 33.5 % increase since 2005

4. UNDERGRADUATE ENROLLMENT TRENDS 24.8% increase since 2005

5. DECREASING PRODUCTION OF HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATES NATIONWIDE Michigan among most affected nationwide Anticipated contraction of 20% by 2020 in Michigan Source: WICHE Knocking at the College Door

6. DECREASING PRODUCTION OF HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATES - MICHIGAN Source: WICHE Knocking at the College Door, Michigan projections

7. DECREASING PRODUCTION OF HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATES – GENESEE COUNTY 10.6% drop 2010 – 2014 25.3% drop 2010 – 2020

8. DECLINE IN COMMUNITY COLLEGE ENROLLMENT 17.7% drop overall 26.5% drop Mott CC Transfer students make up 66% of new undergraduates each year Approximately 45% of transfer students come from Mott Community College

9. POPULATION SHIFTS Sources: U.S. Census, Michigan CEPI Counts

10. UM-FLINT GRADUATE ENROLLMENT 99% increase in headcount since 2005!

11. POPULATION SHIFTS 2010 Population 2013 Population Estimate Change 2010 to 2013 % 25+ w/Bach. Degree Total GR students Fall 14 % resident GR Genesee425,790415,376-2.50%18.9%38433.0% Oakland1,205,5081,231,6402.10%43.1%17314.9% Wayne9,883,6409,898,1930.10%21.3%585.0% Washtenaw344,791354,2402.70%51.3%554.7% Saginaw200,169196,542-1.80%19.1%494.2% Livingston180,967184,4431.90%32.9%453.9% Kent602,622621,7003.10%31.7%423.6% Macomb840,978854,7691.60%22.5%413.5% Lapeer88,31988,3890.10%17.0%393.4% Ingham280,891282,2340.50%36.5%272.3% Michigan9,883,6409,898,1930.10%25.9% USA308,745,538316,497,5312.40%28.8% Sources: U.S. Census, Michigan CEPI Counts

12. GRADUATE ENROLLMENT

14. DEMAND FOR GRADUATE EDUCATION Ongoing growth in master’s and doctoral degree program enrollment through 2019 (Institute of Education Sciences National Center for Educational Statistics) In Michigan, highest number of master’s degrees completed in: Education Business, Management, Marketing, and related support services Health Professions and related Clinical Sciences Engineering Public Administration and Social Services (including Social Work) Computer and Information Sciences and support services Psychology

15. INTERNATIONAL ENROLLMENT

16. INTERNATIONAL ENROLLMENT COUNTRIES OF ORIGIN FALL 2014 1.Saudi Arabia 2.India 3.China 4.South Korea 5.Nigeria

17. INTERNATIONAL STANDING AND DEMAND United States is the top destination for international students State of Michigan ranks 9 th for number of International students

18. INTERNATIONAL STANDING AND DEMAND Growth fueled by China, Saudi Arabia, Vietnam Emerging markets in Oman, Iraq, Kuwait, Iran, and Brazil due to government scholarship programs

19. AFFORDABILITY AND STATE FUNDING “Michigan is seeing very moderate increases in State Appropriations from FY 11-12 to FY 14-15.” Source: President’s Council State Universities of Michigan “Michigan has seen 5 th largest decline in state funding from 2009-14… Today, state funding covers about 22 percent of the cost of an education (vs. 70 percent in 1985)” Source: President’s Council State Universities of Michigan 2005-2010

20. AFFORDABILITY AND STATE FUNDING The latest reduction in appropriations occurred in 2012-13 when a 15% cut across-the-board was assessed to the public universities in Michigan. To date these funds have not been fully restored, as tuition and fees become the driving source of general fund revenue. Boulus, Michael A. Michigan’s Public Universities Moving Michigan into the Knowledge Economy, February 12, 2013.

21. AFFORDABILITY AND STATE FUNDING CONT. As state disinvestment continues, an article by the Young Invincibles (YI) demonstrates how states fair using a scoring system that takes into account the relationship between state budgets and college affordability.

22. ONLINE LEARNING TRENDING AS A STRATEGY 70.8% of chief academic leaders say online learning is critical to long-term strategy. Online enrollments have increased at rates far in excess of those of overall higher education. IPEDS: 73.7% of the 1.2% overall student enrollment growth was distance students (2013) Decreasing online growth rates since 2009

23. ONLINE LEARNING TRENDING AS A STRATEGY Public 4-year: 7.2% growth 2012 to 2013

24. UM-FLINT: STUDENTS TAKING ONLINE COURSES ONLY 20072008200920102011201220132014 Undergrad 6.72%8.01%7.21%8.87%9.92%12.27%13.66%14.21% Graduate 3.4%4.43%6.38%8.39%14.27%18.01%20.61%22.59%

25. UM-FLINT ONLINE COURSE ENROLLMENT GROWTH RATES

26. SEM DATA TEAM Roy Barnes, Associate Dean, College of Arts and Sciences Jay Gandhi, Director of Administrative and Information Management Services Dan Adams, Director of International Center Karen Arnould, Registrar Jon Davidson, Director of Undergraduate Admissions Brad Maki, Director of Graduate Admissions Aimi Moss, Director of Student Success Center Fawn Skarsten, Director of Institutional Analysis Lori Vedder, Director of Financial Aid Deb White, Director of Extended Learning