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LTISD Demographic Update Session V – February 26, 2015.

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Presentation on theme: "LTISD Demographic Update Session V – February 26, 2015."— Presentation transcript:

1 LTISD Demographic Update Session V – February 26, 2015

2 Overview - History of LTISD Established in 1981, originally part of Dripping Springs ISD LTISD Began with a single, permanent schoolhouse with two portable buildings home to approximately 500 students At the time, the population of Lakeway “resort/retirement” community was approximately 800 residents Today, LTISD’s 118 square mile boundary includes cities of Lakeway, The Hills, Bee Cave, and Briarcliff serving approximately 8800 students and 22,000 residents

3 Overview Texas 5 million students 13% African American 51% Hispanic 30% White 6% Other 60% Eco Disadvantaged 80,000 new students a year 1030 Districts Over 8200 campuses Over 640,000 employees Lake Travis ISD 8800 students 1% African American 19% Hispanic 72% White 8% Other 14% Eco Disadvantaged 600 new students this year 9 campuses 1050 employees

4 Student Enrollment

5 Fast Growth School Coalition 90 out of 1030 districts quality Account for 80% of state’s growth over last five years 5285 8805 Previous 10 Years: 66.6% increase (3520 students)

6 Student Enrollment - Projection 8805

7 Student Enrollment - Projection 8805 14,472 Our demographer predicts that in the 10 years between 2014 and 2024, LTISD will add: 5667 students - or 64% Compared to 3520 or 66% over past 10 years

8 Population & Survey Analysts L.T.I.S.D. Demographic Trends Employment Trends Housing Projections Ratios: Students per Household Projected Student Enrollment

9 Total Enrollment (Pre-PEIMS) 4 th Week Survey, 2010-11 Numeric Change in Student Enrollment Fall 2013 to Fall 2014 (pre-PEIMS)

10 Total Enrollment (Pre-PEIMS) 4 th Week Survey, 2010-11 Percent Change in Student Enrollment Fall 2013 to Fall 2014 (pre-PEIMS)

11 Total Enrollment (Pre-PEIMS) 4 th Week Survey, 2010-11 Numeric Change in Student Enrollment Fall 2009 to Fall 2014 (pre-PEIMS)

12 Total Enrollment (Pre-PEIMS) 4 th Week Survey, 2010-11 Percent Change in Student Enrollment Fall 2009 to Fall 2014 (pre-PEIMS)

13 Past Growth Rates Enrollment 5.11% 5.25% 4.65% 7.05% 5.52% 6.80% 4.57% 5.34% 5.75% 5.33% 6.53%

14 Historical Growth Trends

15 Kindergarten Enrollment vs. Births

16 Total Enrollment (Pre-PEIMS) 4 th Week Survey, 2010-11 Economically Disadvantaged Student Population 2013-14

17 Economically Disadvantaged Student Population: 2013-14 * Of 131 Districts with 7,500 or more students

18 Total Enrollment (Pre-PEIMS) 4 th Week Survey, 2010-11 Percent of Students Passing STAAR (Level II or III) 3 rd -8 th Grade 2013-14

19 2013-14 STAAR Results - 3 rd -8 th Grade Districts with >7,500 Students

20 Unique Demographic Characteristics Lake Travis I.S.D. Low Economically Disadvantaged population (12.6%) [59.8% in Texas] Lake Travis ISD ranked 5 th in Texas High STAAR passage rate (92.9%) [71.8% in Texas] Lake Travis ISD ranked 4 th in Texas Highly educated population (57% have bachelor’s degree) [41% in Austin and 27.6% in Texas] High median income level ($96,235) [$61,750 in the Austin metro area]

21 Private Schools

22

23 L.T.I.S.D. Demographic Trends Employment Trends Housing Projections Ratios: Students per Household Projected Student Enrollment Population & Survey Analysts

24 Annual Employment Trends

25 Pie chart Employment

26 L.T.I.S.D. Demographic Trends Employment Trends Housing Projections Ratios: Students per Household Projected Student Enrollment Long Range Planning Population & Survey Analysts

27 Development Density

28 Inhibitors to Development

29 Utility Districts in Lake Travis I.S.D. (per CAPCOG)

30 Utility Districts in Lake Travis I.S.D. (per TCAD )

31 Parcels for Sale >5 acres November 2014

32 Ownership Changes 2011 to 2012 and 2012 to 2014

33 Latest Improvements  Highlands Blvd.  Rough Hollow/Highlands  Serene Hills Dr.  Serene Hills  Bee Cave Pkwy.  Ladera Ranch  Pedernales Summit Pkwy.  Sweetwater Future Improvements Current Improvements and Widening of SH 71  Potential Reimers-Peacock Rd.  Pedernales Summit Pkwy. Extension  Long-term: Potential Bee Creek Rd. Widening Lake Travis I.S.D. Future Transportation Transportation and Other Infrastructure Improvements Act as Local Economic Development Stimuli

34 Student Growth by Type of Housing

35 Largest Growth Single-Family Developments

36 Largest Growth Multi-Family Developments

37 Projected New Housing Occupancies 2014 – 2024

38 Projected New Housing Occupancies December 2014 to October 2015

39 Projected New Housing Occupancies December 2014 to October 2019

40 Projected New Housing Occupancies October 2019 to October 2024

41 Projected New Housing Occupancies December 2014 to October 2024

42 L.T.I.S.D. Demographic Trends Employment Trends Housing Projections Ratios: Students per Household Projected Student Enrollment Population & Survey Analysts

43 Ratios of Students per Occupied Household Average Ratio of Students per Occupied Single-Family Home: 0.45 Average Ratio of Student per Occupied Multi-Family Unit/Condo: 0.26

44 Highest Ratios of Students per Household

45 Lowest Ratios of Students per Household

46 L.T.I.S.D. Demographic Trends Employment Trends Housing Projections Ratios: Students per Household Projected Student Enrollment Population & Survey Analysts

47 Moderate Growth Scenario

48 Three Scenarios of Growth Enrollment Moderate Growth 2019 – 11,682 2024 – 14,472 High Growth 2019 – 11,942 2024 – 15,230 Low Growth 2019 – 11,472 2024 – 13,845

49 Projected Resident EE-5 th Grade Students by Current Elementary Attendance Zone

50 Elementary Long Range Planning

51 Projected Resident 6 th -8 th Grade Students by Current Middle School Attendance Zone

52 Middle School Long Range Planning

53 High School Long Range Planning

54 Lake Travis I.S.D. Demographic Update February 26, 2015


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