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LTISD Demographic Update Session V – February 26, 2015
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Overview - History of LTISD Established in 1981, originally part of Dripping Springs ISD LTISD Began with a single, permanent schoolhouse with two portable buildings home to approximately 500 students At the time, the population of Lakeway “resort/retirement” community was approximately 800 residents Today, LTISD’s 118 square mile boundary includes cities of Lakeway, The Hills, Bee Cave, and Briarcliff serving approximately 8800 students and 22,000 residents
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Overview Texas 5 million students 13% African American 51% Hispanic 30% White 6% Other 60% Eco Disadvantaged 80,000 new students a year 1030 Districts Over 8200 campuses Over 640,000 employees Lake Travis ISD 8800 students 1% African American 19% Hispanic 72% White 8% Other 14% Eco Disadvantaged 600 new students this year 9 campuses 1050 employees
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Student Enrollment
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Fast Growth School Coalition 90 out of 1030 districts quality Account for 80% of state’s growth over last five years 5285 8805 Previous 10 Years: 66.6% increase (3520 students)
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Student Enrollment - Projection 8805
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Student Enrollment - Projection 8805 14,472 Our demographer predicts that in the 10 years between 2014 and 2024, LTISD will add: 5667 students - or 64% Compared to 3520 or 66% over past 10 years
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Population & Survey Analysts L.T.I.S.D. Demographic Trends Employment Trends Housing Projections Ratios: Students per Household Projected Student Enrollment
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Total Enrollment (Pre-PEIMS) 4 th Week Survey, 2010-11 Numeric Change in Student Enrollment Fall 2013 to Fall 2014 (pre-PEIMS)
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Total Enrollment (Pre-PEIMS) 4 th Week Survey, 2010-11 Percent Change in Student Enrollment Fall 2013 to Fall 2014 (pre-PEIMS)
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Total Enrollment (Pre-PEIMS) 4 th Week Survey, 2010-11 Numeric Change in Student Enrollment Fall 2009 to Fall 2014 (pre-PEIMS)
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Total Enrollment (Pre-PEIMS) 4 th Week Survey, 2010-11 Percent Change in Student Enrollment Fall 2009 to Fall 2014 (pre-PEIMS)
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Past Growth Rates Enrollment 5.11% 5.25% 4.65% 7.05% 5.52% 6.80% 4.57% 5.34% 5.75% 5.33% 6.53%
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Historical Growth Trends
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Kindergarten Enrollment vs. Births
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Total Enrollment (Pre-PEIMS) 4 th Week Survey, 2010-11 Economically Disadvantaged Student Population 2013-14
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Economically Disadvantaged Student Population: 2013-14 * Of 131 Districts with 7,500 or more students
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Total Enrollment (Pre-PEIMS) 4 th Week Survey, 2010-11 Percent of Students Passing STAAR (Level II or III) 3 rd -8 th Grade 2013-14
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2013-14 STAAR Results - 3 rd -8 th Grade Districts with >7,500 Students
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Unique Demographic Characteristics Lake Travis I.S.D. Low Economically Disadvantaged population (12.6%) [59.8% in Texas] Lake Travis ISD ranked 5 th in Texas High STAAR passage rate (92.9%) [71.8% in Texas] Lake Travis ISD ranked 4 th in Texas Highly educated population (57% have bachelor’s degree) [41% in Austin and 27.6% in Texas] High median income level ($96,235) [$61,750 in the Austin metro area]
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Private Schools
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L.T.I.S.D. Demographic Trends Employment Trends Housing Projections Ratios: Students per Household Projected Student Enrollment Population & Survey Analysts
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Annual Employment Trends
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Pie chart Employment
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L.T.I.S.D. Demographic Trends Employment Trends Housing Projections Ratios: Students per Household Projected Student Enrollment Long Range Planning Population & Survey Analysts
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Development Density
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Inhibitors to Development
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Utility Districts in Lake Travis I.S.D. (per CAPCOG)
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Utility Districts in Lake Travis I.S.D. (per TCAD )
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Parcels for Sale >5 acres November 2014
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Ownership Changes 2011 to 2012 and 2012 to 2014
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Latest Improvements Highlands Blvd. Rough Hollow/Highlands Serene Hills Dr. Serene Hills Bee Cave Pkwy. Ladera Ranch Pedernales Summit Pkwy. Sweetwater Future Improvements Current Improvements and Widening of SH 71 Potential Reimers-Peacock Rd. Pedernales Summit Pkwy. Extension Long-term: Potential Bee Creek Rd. Widening Lake Travis I.S.D. Future Transportation Transportation and Other Infrastructure Improvements Act as Local Economic Development Stimuli
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Student Growth by Type of Housing
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Largest Growth Single-Family Developments
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Largest Growth Multi-Family Developments
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Projected New Housing Occupancies 2014 – 2024
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Projected New Housing Occupancies December 2014 to October 2015
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Projected New Housing Occupancies December 2014 to October 2019
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Projected New Housing Occupancies October 2019 to October 2024
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Projected New Housing Occupancies December 2014 to October 2024
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L.T.I.S.D. Demographic Trends Employment Trends Housing Projections Ratios: Students per Household Projected Student Enrollment Population & Survey Analysts
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Ratios of Students per Occupied Household Average Ratio of Students per Occupied Single-Family Home: 0.45 Average Ratio of Student per Occupied Multi-Family Unit/Condo: 0.26
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Highest Ratios of Students per Household
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Lowest Ratios of Students per Household
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L.T.I.S.D. Demographic Trends Employment Trends Housing Projections Ratios: Students per Household Projected Student Enrollment Population & Survey Analysts
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Moderate Growth Scenario
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Three Scenarios of Growth Enrollment Moderate Growth 2019 – 11,682 2024 – 14,472 High Growth 2019 – 11,942 2024 – 15,230 Low Growth 2019 – 11,472 2024 – 13,845
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Projected Resident EE-5 th Grade Students by Current Elementary Attendance Zone
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Elementary Long Range Planning
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Projected Resident 6 th -8 th Grade Students by Current Middle School Attendance Zone
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Middle School Long Range Planning
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High School Long Range Planning
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Lake Travis I.S.D. Demographic Update February 26, 2015
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