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Interest Rates and Monetary Policy
Chapter 16 Interest Rates and Monetary Policy
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4 Goals of Monetary Policy 1) Price Stability 2) High Employment
-- Initiatives by Federal Reserve to influence the money supply and interest rates in pursuit of financial objectives 4 Goals of Monetary Policy 1) Price Stability -- minimize amount of inflation (traditionally less than 4%) 2) High Employment 3) Economic Growth 4) Stability of Financial Markets and Institutions Fed has 3 primary tools for conducting monetary policy 1) Open Market Operations – buying/selling of bonds 2) Discount Policy – adjusting discount rate 3) Altering Reserve Requirements
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Demand for Money (MD) -- demand for money by individuals and firms -- Wealth comes in two forms: a) money: means of payment but does not earn interest b) bonds: not a means of payment but earns interest -- Demand for money depends on 3 variables 1) Price Level -- as price levels ↑, demand for money ↑ -- as goods become more expensive, it will take more money to buy these goods
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2) Real GDP -- as real GDP ↑, demand for money ↑
-- increase in real GDP indicates that buying/selling of goods will increase, increasing the demand for money 3) Interest Rate -- opportunity cost of holding money -- as interest rates (r) ↑, quantity demanded of money ↓
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Money Demand Curve (MD)
-- describes the relationship between interest rates and quantity of money demanded, with all other influences on money demand remaining constant As interest rates ↑, quantity of money demanded ↓
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Shifts in MD Curve -- Changes in Real GDP or Price Levels a) As real GDP ↑ or price levels ↑, MD ↑, shifting MD to the right
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b) As real GDP ↓ or price levels ↓, MD ↓, shifting MD to the left
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Supply of Money (MS) -- Describes the relationship between quantity supplied of money and the interest rate -- As we learned, the Fed can control the money supply through open market purchases or open market sales -- Since the Fed has direct control over this variable, the MS curve is represented by a vertical line (not influenced by changes in the interest rate)
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Shifts in Money Supply -- Open market purchases (purchases of bonds) increases the money supply and causes MS to shift to the right. -- Open market sales (sales of bonds) decreases the money supply and shifts MS to shift to the left Equilibrium -- point where MS and MD intersect -- quantity of money being held (MS) = quantity of money wanting to be held (MD)
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How Market Obtains Equilibrium
-- Bonds and money are the two assets people can choose as wealth -- At Pt A, MD = $2 billion and MS = $6 billion. Since MS > MD, there is excess supply of money = $4 billion. Since people would want to hold less money than they’re currently holding, they would also like to hold more bonds (excess demand for bonds). -- With excess supply money/excess demand for bonds, people will now try to convert money into bonds, so price of bonds ↑. As price bonds ↑, interest rates ↓ and we move down the curve toward pt E. -- At Pt B, MD = $8 billion and MS = $6 billion. Since MD > MS, there is excess demand for money = $2 billion. Since people want to hold more money than they’re currently holding, they would also like to hold less bonds (excess supply for bonds). -- With excess demand money/excess supply for bonds, people will now sell their bonds for money, so price of bonds ↓. As price bonds ↓, interest rates ↑ and we move up the curve toward pt E.
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Manipulation of Interest Rate by Fed
-- Through open market purchases and sales of bonds, the Fed can shift the Ms curve, thus influencing the interest rate -- Open market purchase Ms ↑ Excess Supply for Money/Excess Demand for Bonds Price Bonds ↑ Interest Rates ↓
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-- Open market sale Ms ↓ Excess Demand for Money/Excess Supply for Bonds Price Bonds ↓ Interest Rates ↑
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Other Ways to Control Money Supply
1) ∆ in Required Reserve Ratio (RR) -- if RR ↑, money supply ↓ -- if RR ↓, money supply ↑ 2) Discount Window Lending -- commercial banks borrow money from the Federal Reserve -- A decrease in the discount rate encourages borrowing from Fed which would increase borrowed reserves of the bank and ↑ money supply -- An increase in the discount rate discourages borrowing from Fed which would decrease amount of borrowed reserves of the bank and cause a ↓ in money supply
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How Interest Rates Affect the economy Federal Funds Rate
-- interest rate that commercial banks charge each other for short-term loans -- most watched interest rate in the economy -- changes in the Federal Funds Rate are decided by the FOMC -- steers the direction of monetary policy -- directed through open market operations open market purchase increase in money supply and decrease in Federal Funds Rate open market sale decrease in money supply and increase in Federal Funds Rate
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-- Federal Funds Rate affects changes in other interest rates, causing them to move in the same direction (i.e. mortgage rates, interest rates on Gov’t bonds) -- since interest rates all flow in the same direction, we can speak of changes in interest rates very generically. -- In order to fight recessions, FOMC will announce a drop in the Federal Funds Rate ↓ r ↑ C and IP ↑ PAE (via multiplier) and ↑ Y -- In order to fight inflation, FOMC will announce an increase in the Federal Funds Rate ↑ r ↓C and IP ↓ PAE (via multiplier) and ↓ Y
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