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ADDIS ABABA – DJIBOUTI STANDARD GAUGE RAILWAY PROJECT ES MAY 2, 2012 1
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Topics of Discussion 2 1.Background Information 2.Development of A.A – Djibouti New Standard Gauge Railway Line 3.Techno-Economic Feasibility Study 4.Conclusion
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1.Background 3 A)Socio-Economic Conditions Ethiopia Area: about 1 million square kilometer Population: 74 million (2007 Census); 80 million in 2011 Addis Ababa (capital city) Population: 2.74 Million (2007) cover 32.27% all cities population annual growth rate 2.1% Growing City : size of 540 sq. km About 110 Embassies/Consulates Head Quarters of AU and UNECA
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Djibouti Border countries: Eritrea 109 km, Ethiopia 349 km, Somalia 58 km Area: 23,200 square kilometer Population : 774,389 with a growth rate of 2.285% (2012 Census) Capital: Djibouti Two-third of the population of the country live in the capital city 4 Background continued
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The Economy of the two countries (Ethiopia and Djibouti) is highly integrated and is at the stage of convergence Various Preferential & Bilateral Agreements Closely work at different levels The Heads of State and Government Joint Ministerial Commission Joint Border Administration Technical Committees Members of IGAD, COMESA 5 Background continued
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6 B)Transport and other infrastructure NoParameterUnit of Measure Prior to 1991Cumulative 2010 2011 – 2015 1Roadkm26,050 (FRA + RRA) 48,800 (FRA + RRA) 64,500 (FRA + RRA) 71,523 (URARP) 2RailwaykmAbout 800 (old meter gauge) Preparation for standard gauge 2,395 (new standard gauge) 3PowerMW<8002,00010,000 including Millennium Dam ) 4Importmill T/yr< 1reached 8.7estimated 10 in 2015 5Exportmill T/yr<< 1reached 0.98Estimated 3 in 2015 Note: FRA = Federal Roads Authority; RRA = Regional Roads Authority, URAR P= Universal Rural Access Road Project; FRA and RRA are Asphalt and Gravel while URAR P is all weather rural road
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Background continued 7 C) History of Railway in Ethiopia and Djibouti Railway service began before 100 yrs (1915) The Legacy Railway is 1,000 mm gauge with diesel traction It is owned and administered by the governments of Djibouti and Ethiopia (Bi-lateral ownership and operation) It stretches from Addis Ababa – Djibouti (about 780 km: 680 in Ethiopia and 100 in Djibouti
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Background continued 8 One Meter gauges were very popular in East African Countries (Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania ) In all of these countries, all suffer from old-age, lack of spares, technology obsolescence High operating cost, worn out track, too old Locomotives, low capacity (12 -16 Ton/Axle) Intermittent service only in few one segment (Dire Dawa to Port of Djibouti – 459 km) A legacy system and historical tie of sisterly countries
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Ethiopian National Railway Network 9
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Background continued 10 G) Railway Development Approach Two Phases of development 1 st Phase/GTP (2010/11- 2014/15) about 2,395 km 2 nd Phase (2015/16 – 2020/21) about 2,665 km Deploy multiple Lots in parallel National Railway Network Characteristics Standard Gauge (1,435 mm) Electric Traction High Capacity (22 - 25 Ton/axle) Moderate Speed (120- 160 km/hr for passenger and 120 km/hr for freight) Concrete Sleeper (160cm x20.5cmx22cm)
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11 Development of A.A – Djibouti continued
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12 b) Consultation: Bilateral (with Republic of Djibouti) Signed MoU on June 10, 2010 “The Development and Operation of Standard Gauge Railway Line between Ethiopia and Djibouti” Follow-up meetings and work visits by Ministers Establishment of technical working group Technical experts experience sharing Submission of draft Bilateral agreement on “The Development and Operation of a Standard Gauge Railway Network” by FDRE to the RoD Development of A.A – Djibouti continued
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13 c) Consultation with EPC/Turnkey Contractors Construction contract for Addis Ababa – Mieso Signed on October 25, 2011 Construction contract for Mieso – Dawanle (border of Ethiopia with Djibouti) signed December 16, 2011. Construction Contract Project from Ethiopian border to the Port of Djibouti has signed Development of A.A – Djibouti continued
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14 Techno-Economic Feasibility Continued Cargo Type 09/10 Base yr 10/1111/1212/1313/1414/1515/1616/1717/1818/1919/20 Export79189497812621597182420842221237025352631 Import Dry5256 5529526157046189672173047944864694169597 Fuel2880 3148345237904114447148625293576763446401 Total8927 957196911075611900130161425015458167831829518629 3.3Transport Demand Forecast - Volume
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15 3.3Transport Demand Forecast - Volume Cargo Type 09/10 Base yr 20/2121/2222/2323/2424/2525/2626/2727/28 Export79129203241359839944433492054626063 Import Dry5256 1065311825131251456916172179501992522117 Fuel2880 710678878754.7971810787119731329014752 Total8927 2067822953254782828031391348443867742932 Techno-Economic Feasibility Continued
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3.4 Project Financing and Cost Estimate Financing o 15% Equity and 85% loan Cost Estimate 16 Techno-Economic Feasibility Continued Investment Costs (million USD Equivalent) Cost Category Equity Financing Debt Financing Total (USD) Railway Works * 535.1 3,032.29 3,567.4 Telecom Supply ** 4.40.04.4 Power Supply ** 62.20.0 62.2 Right-of-way 29.50.0 29.5 ESIA 7.60.0 7.6 Rolling stock0.0366.2 Total 638.93,398.5 4,037.4
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5. Conclusion The project has great socio economic significance or the Peoples and Governments of Ethiopia and Djibouti The Corridor has sub-regional, regional and continental importance The Project is Socially Acceptable; Technically Feasible; Economically Viable Environment Friendly 17
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Thank You 18
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